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Omiya Ardija v Sagan Tosu : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Jun, 11:00 BST, NACK5 Stadium Ōmiya, Saitama

Omiya Ardija and Sagan Tosu clash at the NACK5 Stadium Ōmiya on Saturday morning, with both Tetsu Nagasawa and Akio Kogiku seeking a win in the J2-League. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 78% chance of Omiya Ardija and Sagan Tosu a maximum of 3 goals combined during this J2-League fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Omiya Ardija are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Omiya Ardija 49%	10/11	17/20
Draw 27%	12/5	23/10
Sagan Tosu 24%	29/10	13/5
Omiya Ardija 1-0 13%	6/1	11/2
Draw 1-1 12%	11/2	11/2
Omiya Ardija 2-0 10%	8/1	7/1
Omiya Ardija 2-1 9%	8/1	7/1
Draw 0-0 9%	17/2	15/2
Sagan Tosu 1-0 9%	10/1	8/1
Sagan Tosu 2-1 6%	12/1	10/1
Omiya Ardija 3-0 5%	16/1	12/1
Omiya Ardija 3-1 4%	16/1	12/1
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	12/1
Sagan Tosu 2-0 4%	18/1	14/1
Omiya Ardija 3-2 2%	28/1	18/1
Sagan Tosu 3-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Omiya Ardija 4-0 2%	33/1	22/1
Omiya Ardija 4-1 2%	33/1	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	1/1	10/11
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	4/5	8/11
Home 1st Goal 52%	4/7	4/6
Away 1st Goal 42%	13/8	6/4
No 1st Goal 6%	17/2	15/2
BTTS - Yes 47%	5/6	17/20
BTTS - No 53%	5/6	17/20
BTTS - Home Win 19%	10/3	3/1
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 10%	7/1	6/1
Home/draw 76%	1/4	1/4
Away/draw 51%	5/6	5/6
Home/away 73%	3/10	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	3/10	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	12/5	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	5/2	9/4
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	2/7	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 10%	6/1	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/10	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	-
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/16	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	17/2	13/2
Home DNB 68%	2/5	2/5
Away DNB 43%	7/4	7/4
Omiya Ardija win to nil 30%	9/4	-
Sagan Tosu win to nil 14%	11/2	-
Omiya Ardija / Omiya Ardija 26%	21/10	2/1
Omiya Ardija / Sagan Tosu 3%	33/1	25/1
Omiya Ardija / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Omiya Ardija 17%	4/1	18/5
Draw / Sagan Tosu 10%	15/2	7/1
Draw / Draw 16%	4/1	19/5
Sagan Tosu / Omiya Ardija 4%	22/1	18/1
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu 13%	11/2	5/1
Sagan Tosu / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Omiya Ardija have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Omiya Ardija	1 - 1	Ehime
Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
Omiya Ardija	3 - 0	Vegalta
Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Kataller Toyama
Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	Sapporo
Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Oita Trinita
Omiya Ardija	2 - 0	Mito
Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	Renofa
Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	Ventforet
Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	Montedio
Omiya Ardija	0 - 2	Tokyo Verdy
Omiya Ardija	0 - 2	Ventforet
Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	Renofa
Omiya Ardija	0 - 3	Roasso
Omiya Ardija	0 - 4	V-V Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija	1 - 1	Fagiano
Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	Blaublitz
Omiya Ardija	0 - 0	Tochigi
Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	JEF United
Omiya Ardija	1 - 5	Iwaki

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Omiya Ardija	3 - 3	V-V Nagasaki
H	Omiya Ardija	1 - 1	Ehime
H	Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Jubilo Iwata
A	Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
H	Omiya Ardija	3 - 0	Vegalta
A	Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	JEF United
H	Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Kataller Toyama
A	Omiya Ardija	1 - 2	Iwaki
H	Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	Sapporo
A	Omiya Ardija	0 - 0	Imabari
A	Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	Blaublitz
H	Omiya Ardija	2 - 2	Oita Trinita
A	Omiya Ardija	0 - 1	Tokushima
H	Omiya Ardija	2 - 0	Mito
A	Omiya Ardija	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
H	Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	Renofa
A	Omiya Ardija	4 - 0	Roasso
H	Omiya Ardija	1 - 0	Ventforet
H	Omiya Ardija	2 - 1	Montedio
H	Omiya Ardija	0 - 2	Tokyo Verdy

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mito	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Blaublitz	1 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Tokushima	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Oita Trinita	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
V-V Nagasaki	0 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Roasso	3 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Iwaki	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Jubilo Iwata	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Nagoya	0 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Kyoto Sanga	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Tokyo	1 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Tokyo Verdy	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Kawasaki	3 - 2	Sagan Tosu
Vissel Kobe	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Sapporo	5 - 3	Sagan Tosu
Kashima	3 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Albirex	3 - 4	Sagan Tosu
Yokohama FM	0 - 1	Sagan Tosu
Cerezo	1 - 0	Sagan Tosu
Avispa	2 - 0	Sagan Tosu

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Mito
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Ehime
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Sapporo
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Blaublitz
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 0	Ventforet
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Tokushima
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	JEF United
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Oita Trinita
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 1	Montedio
H	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Renofa
A	Sagan Tosu	2 - 0	V-V Nagasaki
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Fujieda MYFC
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 3	Roasso
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Kataller Toyama
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 0	Omiya Ardija
A	Sagan Tosu	1 - 1	Iwaki
H	Sagan Tosu	1 - 4	Imabari
A	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Jubilo Iwata
H	Sagan Tosu	0 - 1	Vegalta
H	Sagan Tosu	3 - 0	Jubilo Iwata

Goal Statistics

Omiya Ardija have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive J2-League games. Their PG of 1.5 against Sagan Tosu on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Omiya Ardija 2nd	Sagan Tosu 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Omiya Ardija will score 1 or more goals	0 39% 1 37% 2 17% 3 4+ There is a 76% probability of Sagan Tosu scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Omiya Ardija have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	-5 Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.6 conceded

Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season

11%

better

OMI

SAG

view stats

Games scored	11		11
Failed to score	3		3
Scored first	8		9
Goals scored	21		14
Avg. goals scored	1.1		0.7
Avg. shots per game	6		5
Avg. shots per goal	6		7
Conversion rate for	18		14
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		+11%

better

OMI

SAG

view stats

Games conceded	9		9
Clean sheets	5		5
Conceded first	5		5
Goals conceded	12		15
Avg. goals conceded	0.6		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		14%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		+9%

Omiya Ardija v Sagan Tosu J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Omiya Ardija J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	5	4	4
T Kasahara	Y Toyokawa	M Kojima	Gabriel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
T Kasahara GLK	19			1 -
W Shimoguchi DEF	19		3	2 -
T Izumi MID	19	1	2	-
M Kojima MID	19	1	4	2 -
Y Toyokawa FWD	19	5	1	3 -
Gabriel DEF	18		2	4 -
K Sugimoto FWD	18	2	1	2 1
K. Fujii FWD	18	5	1	2 -
K Sekiguchi DEF	17		2	2 -
Caprini FWD	17	4	1	1 -
T Yachida MID	15	1		-
R Ichihara DEF	14	1	1	1 -
R Motegi DEF	11			2 -
F González FWD	10	3	1	1 1
O Sunday FWD	10	3	1	-
K. Nakayama MID	9			1 -
T Wada DEF	8			-
T Ishikawa MID	6			-
Arthur MID	6	1	1	1 -
M Hamada DEF	5	1		-
S. Yasumitsu MID	5			-
T Tomiyama FWD	5			-
Y. Murakami DEF	4	1		1 -
N Urakami DEF	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	4	1
Y Toyokawa	T Izumi	M Kojima	W Shimoguchi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Toyokawa FWD	5	8	1
K. Fujii FWD	5	7	1
Caprini FWD	4	10	1
F González FWD	3	6	1
O Sunday FWD	3	2	1
K Sugimoto FWD	2	8	1
Arthur MID	1	6	1
T Izumi MID	1	11	2	1
M Kojima MID	1	6	4	1
Y. Murakami DEF	1	1
T Yachida MID	1	3
R Ichihara DEF	1	1	1
M Hamada DEF	1	1
R Motegi DEF		1
W Shimoguchi DEF		2	3	1
K Sekiguchi DEF			2
Gabriel DEF		1	2	1
N Urakami DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
756	19	111
M Kojima	Gabriel	Gabriel

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Kojima MID	756	5	76
Gabriel DEF	694	19	111
W Shimoguchi DEF	692	9	99
T Izumi MID	547	1	108
K Sugimoto FWD	464	5	84
R Ichihara DEF	455	3	89
T Kasahara GLK	275		10
T Yachida MID	268	2	23
Y Toyokawa FWD	241	7	72
K Sekiguchi DEF	228		58
Caprini FWD	213	5	58
K. Fujii FWD	209	1	48
R Motegi DEF	204	3	30
Arthur MID	204	3	31
K. Nakayama MID	142		23
M Hamada DEF	126	2	26
T Wada DEF	88	2	10
F González FWD	75	3	41
O Sunday FWD	59	1	22
N Urakami DEF	56	1	6
Y. Murakami DEF	52		12
T Ishikawa MID	32	1	7
S. Yasumitsu MID	24		4
T Tomiyama FWD	13		9

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
19	2	2	3
S Ogawa	T. Inoue	V Slivka	S Ogawa

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
S Ogawa DEF	19			3 -
T. Inoue DEF	19	2		1 -
K. Nishiya MID	19	1		1 -
V Slivka MID	19	2	2	3 -
H Arai MID	19	2		-
T Sakurai MID	18		2	-
J Nishikawa FWD	17	2		2 -
R Morishita DEF	16			3 -
Y Horigome MID	16			1 -
R. Izumori GLK	15			-
S. Shinkawa MID	15			-
M Uehara DEF	14			-
K Nishizawa MID	13	1	2	2 -
S Hino MID	11	1	1	-
N Matsumoto MID	10			-
E Matsuda FWD	10			-
D Suzuki FWD	9			1 -
Y Imazu DEF	8	2		1
H Yamada FWD	7	2		1 -
S Nagasawa DEF	6	2	1	-
H Yang GLK	5			-
N Sakai FWD	5			-
F. Kitajima DEF	4		1	-
K. Sakaiya MID	4	1		-
Jô FWD	4		1	-
T Ando DEF	2			-
R. Watanabe MID	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	8	2	2
T. Inoue	K Nishizawa	V Slivka	V Slivka

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Imazu DEF	2	3
V Slivka MID	2	6	2	2
H Arai MID	2	3
J Nishikawa FWD	2	3		1
T. Inoue DEF	2	4
S Nagasawa DEF	2	2	1	2
H Yamada FWD	2	3
S Hino MID	1	3	1	1
K. Nishiya MID	1	5
K. Sakaiya MID	1
K Nishizawa MID	1	8	2
Jô FWD		1	1
F. Kitajima DEF			1
S Ogawa DEF		3
D Suzuki FWD		1
M Uehara DEF		2
S. Shinkawa MID		4
Y Horigome MID		1
T Sakurai MID		3	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1001	5	139
T. Inoue	T. Inoue	H Arai

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
T. Inoue DEF	1001	5	89
S Ogawa DEF	962		110
R Morishita DEF	901	3	113
K. Nishiya MID	794	3	75
T Sakurai MID	639	2	37
V Slivka MID	454	2	122
H Arai MID	416	3	139
R. Izumori GLK	413		14
J Nishikawa FWD	299	1	34
K Nishizawa MID	264	1	48
N Matsumoto MID	234	4	24
Y Horigome MID	192	1	11
M Uehara DEF	183		25
Y Imazu DEF	183		25
E Matsuda FWD	182	1	33
H Yang GLK	104		5
H Yamada FWD	101	1	16
S Hino MID	98	3	24
S. Shinkawa MID	69		40
S Nagasawa DEF	68		14
F. Kitajima DEF	54		4
T Ando DEF	46		2
K. Sakaiya MID	30		5
D Suzuki FWD	29	1	23
N Sakai FWD	29		21
R. Watanabe MID	22	1	3
Jô FWD	4		7

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Omiya Ardija v Sagan Tosu : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Omiya Ardija v Sagan Tosu J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

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