Sagan Tosu's team badge Montedio Yamagata's team badge

Sagan Tosu v Montedio Yamagata : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 25th Apr, 11:00 BST, Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

Home advantage can be vital in the J2-League, and Akio Kogiku’s Sagan Tosu will have the joy of it on Friday morning. Susumu Watanabe’s Montedio Yamagata are their opponents at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu). Below there are predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all via the tabs below.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sagan Tosu or Montedio are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 74% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Montedio coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sagan Tosu
36%
6/4
7%
-
Draw
26%
12/5-
Montedio
38%
17/10
8%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Montedio 1-0
10%
8/1-
Sagan Tosu 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
-
Montedio 2-1
8%
9/1-
Sagan Tosu 2-1
8%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
Montedio 2-0
7%
12/1-
Sagan Tosu 2-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
-
Montedio 3-1
4%
20/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-1
3%
20/1-
Montedio 3-0
3%
25/1
13%
-
Sagan Tosu 3-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
Montedio 3-2
2%
28/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
19/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
17/20-
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/6
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/10
15%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
8/11-
BTTS - No
47%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
62%
4/9
4%
-
Away/draw
64%
1/2
4%
-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
12/5
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
3/10
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
6/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/10
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
54%
4/5
6%
-
Away DNB
56%
10/11
6%
-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
19%
10/3
4%
-
Montedio win to nil
20%
7/2
4%
-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
21%
3/1
11%
-
Sagan Tosu / Montedio
3%
28/1
12%
-
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Sagan Tosu
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Montedio
13%
11/2
8%
-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Montedio / Sagan Tosu
3%
25/1-
Montedio / Montedio
19%
10/3
8%
-
Montedio / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sagan Tosu 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Kashiwa
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Kyoto Sanga
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Tokyo
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Nagoya
Sagan Tosu5 - 2Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSagan Tosu2 - 2Renofa
ASagan Tosu2 - 0V-V Nagasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
ASagan Tosu1 - 3Roasso
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Montedio 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Iwaki0 - 1Montedio
Imabari2 - 2Montedio
Roasso1 - 3Montedio
JEF United3 - 2Montedio
Mito1 - 0Montedio
Omiya Ardija2 - 1Montedio
Mito1 - 3Montedio
Shimizu1 - 2Montedio
Ventforet1 - 2Montedio
Ehime1 - 3Montedio
Oita Trinita0 - 3Montedio
Fujieda MYFC0 - 1Montedio
Fagiano1 - 1Montedio
Blaublitz0 - 3Montedio
Kagoshima2 - 1Montedio
TK Gunma0 - 0Montedio
Roasso0 - 1Montedio
Renofa2 - 0Montedio
Tokushima2 - 1Montedio
Vegalta2 - 0Montedio
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMontedio2 - 3Ehime
AMontedio1 - 0Iwaki
HMontedio0 - 0Jubilo Iwata
AMontedio2 - 2Imabari
HMontedio0 - 0Tokushima
AMontedio3 - 1Roasso
HMontedio4 - 2Blaublitz
AMontedio2 - 3JEF United
AMontedio0 - 1Mito
AMontedio1 - 2Omiya Ardija
HMontedio0 - 3Fagiano
HMontedio4 - 0JEF United
AMontedio3 - 1Mito
HMontedio1 - 0Roasso
AMontedio2 - 1Shimizu
HMontedio2 - 0Renofa
AMontedio2 - 1Ventforet
AMontedio3 - 1Ehime
HMontedio4 - 1TK Gunma
AMontedio3 - 0Oita Trinita
Goal Statistics
Sagan Tosu 8th Montedio 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Montedio will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Montedio have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289408/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sagan Tosu
PG (predicted goals)
Montedio
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
SAG
MON
4%
better
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score2
3
Scored first6
5
Goals scored10
15
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
22
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
6%
better
SAG
MON
view stats
Games conceded6
7
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first4
3
Goals conceded12
14
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+6%

Sagan Tosu v Montedio J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8112
S OgawaT. InoueK NishizawaR Morishita
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ogawa DEF8
-
R Morishita DEF8
2
-
T. Inoue DEF81
1
-
K. Nishiya MID8
-
Y Horigome MID8
-
V Slivka MID81
1
-
T Sakurai MID8
-
H Arai MID8
-
S. Shinkawa MID7
-
K Nishizawa MID611
1
-
J Nishikawa FWD61
1
-
H Yang GLK5
-
M Uehara DEF5
-
H Yamada FWD5
-
R. Izumori GLK4
-
S Hino MID41
-
N Sakai FWD4
-
K. Sakaiya MID3
-
Jô FWD31
-
S Nagasawa DEF2
-
F. Kitajima DEF21
-
Y Imazu DEF1
-
R. Watanabe MID1
1
-
Montedio J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8332
H NodakeS KokubuA DisaroT Abe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Nodake DEF81
-
T Abe DEF811
2
-
L Takae MID8
2
-
Z Issaka MID811
1
-
S Kokubu MID83
1
-
S Doi MID82
-
J Takahashi FWD82
-
K Nishimura DEF7
1
-
R Kida MID7
-
A Disaro FWD713
1
-
K Okamoto DEF6
-
W Tanaka MID61
1
-
R Terakado GLK5
-
Y Fujimoto FWD5
-
S. Horikane FWD51
-
Y Kumamoto DEF4
-
K Yoshio MID4
-
K Sakamoto MID3
-
K Hasegawa GLK2
-
T Yamada DEF2
-
R Nakamura MID2
-
T Heward-Belle GLK1
-
H Shirowa DEF1
-
A Kawai DEF1
-
Japanese J2-League match betting previews, predictions and odds
Fujieda MYFC v Roasso
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Omiya Ardija v Sapporo
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
JEF United v Blaublitz
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Sagan Tosu v Montedio
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Mito v Ventforet
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Jubilo Iwata v Oita Trinita
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
V-V Nagasaki v Iwaki
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Vegalta v Ehime
Fri 25th Apr, 11:00
Tokushima v Kataller Toyama
Sat 26th Apr, 06:00
Renofa v Imabari
Sat 26th Apr, 06:00
Blaublitz v Tokushima
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Roasso v JEF United
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Iwaki v Omiya Ardija
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Oita Trinita v Sagan Tosu
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Ventforet v Vegalta
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Sapporo v V-V Nagasaki
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Kataller Toyama v Montedio
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Mito v Imabari
Tue 29th Apr, 06:00
Ehime v Fujieda MYFC
Tue 29th Apr, 07:00
Jubilo Iwata v Renofa
Tue 29th Apr, 07:00
Iwaki v Blaublitz
Sat 3rd May, 05:00
Vegalta v Renofa
Sat 3rd May, 05:00
Ventforet v Tokushima
Sat 3rd May, 05:30
Omiya Ardija v Kataller Toyama
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Imabari v Jubilo Iwata
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Montedio v Sapporo
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Fujieda MYFC v Mito
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Oita Trinita v Roasso
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
Sagan Tosu v JEF United
Sat 3rd May, 06:00
V-V Nagasaki v Ehime
Sat 3rd May, 08:00
Vegalta v Fujieda MYFC
Tue 6th May, 05:00
Kataller Toyama v V-V Nagasaki
Tue 6th May, 05:55
Montedio v Oita Trinita
Tue 6th May, 06:00
Sapporo v Jubilo Iwata
Tue 6th May, 06:00
Renofa v Mito
Tue 6th May, 06:00
Ehime v Iwaki
Tue 6th May, 07:00
Blaublitz v Ventforet
Tue 6th May, 07:00
Roasso v Imabari
Tue 6th May, 07:00
Tokushima v Sagan Tosu
Tue 6th May, 07:50
JEF United v Omiya Ardija
Tue 6th May, 08:00