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Sagan Tosu v Omiya Ardija : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

Akio Kogiku's Sagan Tosu side enjoy home advantage in the J2-League on Saturday morning, as Tetsu Nagasawa's Omiya Ardija visit the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu). The odds you see on the page are delivered straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We focus especially on J2-League match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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Sagan Tosu's next match is v Kataller Toyama at 05:00 on Sunday 23rd March
Omiya Ardija's next match is v Mito at 05:00 on Sunday 23rd March
The last Japanese J2-League meeting between Sagan Tosu and Omiya Ardija was on Saturday 15th March 2025
Japanese J2-League
March 15th 2025
Sagan Tosu 1
0 Omiya Ardija
 
K. Nishizawa 38'
 
SAG
OMI
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
3
2
Corners
5
4
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
8
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
Sagan TosuOmiya Ardija
 
H. Yang
R. Morishita
S. Ogawa
T. Inoue
K. Nishizawafootball icon (S. Hino 84')
H. Arai
T. Sakurai (S. Shinkawa 75')
K. Sakaiya (E. Matsuda 16')
K. Nishiya
V. Slivka
J. Nishikawa (Y. Horigome 75')
T. Kasahara
W. Shimoguchi
G. Costa França
R. Ichihara
(K. Sekiguchi 77') R. Motegi
T. Izumi
(K. Nakayama 85') M. Kojima
A. Silva Feitoza
(M. Caprini Pinto 77') Y. Toyokawa
K. Sugimoto
(T. Yachida 77') K. Fujii

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Sagan Tosu and Omiya Ardija will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Akio Kogiku or Tetsu Nagasawa has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sagan Tosu are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sagan Tosu
28%
12/5
51%
21/10
41%
Draw
25%
5/2
6%
23/10
3%
Omiya Ardija
47%
1/1
31%
1/1
29%
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Omiya Ardija 1-0
10%
7/1
20%
13/2
12%
Omiya Ardija 2-1
9%
8/1
18%
7/1
16%
Omiya Ardija 2-0
8%
9/1
33%
17/2
27%
Sagan Tosu 1-0
7%
10/1
29%
17/2
27%
Sagan Tosu 2-1
7%
11/1
26%
9/1
18%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/117/2
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
10/1
Omiya Ardija 3-1
5%
16/1
26%
12/1
24%
Sagan Tosu 2-0
4%
18/1
73%
12/1
30%
Omiya Ardija 3-0
4%
18/1
44%
14/1
29%
Omiya Ardija 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
16/1
19%
Sagan Tosu 3-1
3%
28/1
53%
18/1
27%
Sagan Tosu 3-2
2%
33/1
31%
20/1
11%
Omiya Ardija 4-1
2%
33/1
33%
22/1
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20
3%
3/4
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20
3%
17/20
1%
Home 1st Goal
45%
7/5
39%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/13
28%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
8/117/10
BTTS - No
44%
1/121/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
14%
11/2
44%
19/4
37%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3/1
33%
29/10
26%
Home/draw
53%
4/5
29%
7/10
25%
Away/draw
72%
3/10
20%
1/3
17%
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
3%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
7%
12/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/415/8
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/31/3
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
8%
4/1
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
1/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/115/2
Home DNB
46%
6/4
54%
11/8
44%
Away DNB
64%
1/2
32%
8/15
27%
Sagan Tosu win to nil
14%
5/1
50%
-
Omiya Ardija win to nil
24%
5/2
36%
-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
14%
5/1
60%
17/4
46%
Sagan Tosu / Omiya Ardija
4%
22/1
21%
18/1
17%
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Sagan Tosu
11%
13/2
36%
6/1
33%
Draw / Omiya Ardija
16%
4/1
29%
4/1
23%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
4%
Omiya Ardija / Sagan Tosu
3%
28/1
26%
22/1
21%
Omiya Ardija / Omiya Ardija
25%
9/4
35%
9/4
32%
Omiya Ardija / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sagan Tosu 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Kashiwa
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Kyoto Sanga
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Tokyo
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Nagoya
Sagan Tosu5 - 2Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
Sagan Tosu4 - 2Kashima
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Vissel Kobe
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Cerezo
Sagan Tosu4 - 0Sapporo
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Vissel Kobe
ASagan Tosu3 - 5Sapporo
HSagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
ASagan Tosu0 - 3Kashima
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
HSagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Omiya Ardija 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roasso0 - 4Omiya Ardija
Shimizu4 - 0Omiya Ardija
Fujieda MYFC2 - 3Omiya Ardija
Oita Trinita0 - 1Omiya Ardija
Tokushima0 - 1Omiya Ardija
Jubilo Iwata3 - 2Omiya Ardija
Montedio1 - 1Omiya Ardija
Vegalta1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Kanazawa1 - 2Omiya Ardija
Mito0 - 0Omiya Ardija
TK Gunma2 - 0Omiya Ardija
Machida3 - 2Omiya Ardija
V-V Nagasaki2 - 0Omiya Ardija
Ventforet5 - 1Omiya Ardija
Iwaki2 - 1Omiya Ardija
Fagiano1 - 1Omiya Ardija
JEF United1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Blaublitz2 - 1Omiya Ardija
Tokyo Verdy1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Tochigi2 - 1Omiya Ardija
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HOmiya Ardija2 - 1Renofa
AOmiya Ardija4 - 0Roasso
HOmiya Ardija1 - 0Ventforet
HOmiya Ardija2 - 1Montedio
HOmiya Ardija0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
AOmiya Ardija0 - 4Shimizu
HOmiya Ardija0 - 2Ventforet
AOmiya Ardija3 - 2Fujieda MYFC
HOmiya Ardija2 - 1Renofa
AOmiya Ardija1 - 0Oita Trinita
AOmiya Ardija1 - 0Tokushima
HOmiya Ardija0 - 3Roasso
AOmiya Ardija2 - 3Jubilo Iwata
AOmiya Ardija1 - 1Montedio
HOmiya Ardija0 - 4V-V Nagasaki
AOmiya Ardija0 - 1Vegalta
HOmiya Ardija1 - 1Fagiano
HOmiya Ardija1 - 0Blaublitz
AOmiya Ardija2 - 1Kanazawa
AOmiya Ardija0 - 0Mito
Goal Statistics
Sagan Tosu 17th Omiya Ardija 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Omiya Ardija will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Omiya Ardija’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289358/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sagan Tosu
PG (predicted goals)
Omiya Ardija
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
SAG
OMI
67%
better
view stats
Games scored2
4
Failed to score2
0
Scored first1
3
Goals scored2
9
Avg. goals scored0.5
2.3
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal15
4
Conversion rate for7
23
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+67%
Defence rating
SAG
OMI
62%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first3
1
Goals conceded7
2
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
11
Conversion rate against21%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+62%

Sagan Tosu v Omiya Ardija J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5102
H YangV SlivkaR Morishita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Yang GLK5
-
T. Inoue DEF5
-
R Morishita DEF5
2
-
S Ogawa DEF5
-
K. Sakaiya MID3
-
K. Nishiya MID5
-
T Sakurai MID5
-
H Arai MID5
-
J Nishikawa MID3
-
V Slivka MID51
1
-
K Nishizawa MID51
1
-
Subs
K Uchiyama GLK
-
S Nagasawa DEF2
-
S Hino MID2
-
E Matsuda MID1
-
R. Watanabe MID
-
Y Horigome MID5
-
S. Shinkawa MID4
-
M Uehara MID3
-
Omiya Ardija J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5412
T KasaharaK. FujiiGabrielGabriel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Kasahara GLK5
-
Gabriel DEF51
2
-
R Ichihara DEF2
-
W Shimoguchi DEF5
-
R Motegi DEF5
-
Arthur MID511
1
-
M Kojima MID511
1
-
T Izumi MID51
-
Y Toyokawa FWD51
2
-
K Sugimoto FWD5
-
K. Fujii FWD541
1
-
Subs
Y Kato GLK
-
N Urakami DEF3
-
M Hamada DEF31
-
K Sekiguchi DEF51
-
T Ishikawa MID1
-
K. Nakayama MID2
-
T Yachida MID4
-
O Sunday FWD1
-
Caprini FWD41
-