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Sagan Tosu v Renofa Yamaguchi : J2-League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu), Tosu

the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu) is the stage on Saturday morning, as Akio Kogiku's Sagan Tosu host Ryo Shigaki's Renofa Yamaguchi in the J2-League. The predictions shown are based on complex statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included for all.

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Sagan Tosu's next match is v Oita Trinita at 06:00 on Tuesday 29th April
Renofa Yamaguchi's next match is v Imabari at 06:00 on Saturday 26th April
The last Japanese J2-League meeting between Sagan Tosu and Renofa was on Saturday 19th April 2025
Japanese J2-League
April 19th 2025
Sagan Tosu 2
2 Renofa
 
H. Arai 9'50' R. Shimodo
K. Sakaiya 90'55' T. Suenaga
 
SAG
REN
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
6
1
Possession
59%
41%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
Sagan TosuRenofa
 
R. Izumori
R. Morishita
S. Ogawa
T. Inoue
T. Sakurai (S. Hino 80')
K. Nishiya
H. Araifootball icon (F. Kitajima 69')
S. Shinkawa (D. Suzuki 61')
V. Slivka
E. Matsuda (K. Sakaiya 61')
J. Nishikawa (Y. Horigome 61')
N. Marsman
football iconR. Shimodo
S. Okaniwa
K. Matsuda
(K. Noyori 67') R. Yokoyama
(H. Naruoka 46') J. Ikegami
(S. Kobayashi 76') Y. Okuyama
K. Tanabe
(D. Furukawa 67') R. Arita
football iconT. Suenaga

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we don't predict a goal-fest here. The statistics suggest Sagan Tosu and Renofa both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sagan Tosu are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sagan Tosu
42%
27/20
7%
-
Draw
30%
2/1
6%
-
Renofa
29%
9/4
2%
-
Sagan Tosu 1-0
14%
11/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1-
Draw 0-0
12%
11/2
19%
-
Renofa 1-0
11%
7/1
6%
-
Sagan Tosu 2-0
8%
9/1-
Sagan Tosu 2-1
8%
9/1
5%
-
Renofa 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
-
Renofa 2-0
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-0
3%
22/1
10%
-
Sagan Tosu 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
-
Renofa 3-1
2%
28/1-
Renofa 3-0
2%
33/1-
Sagan Tosu 3-2
1%
40/1
21%
-
Renofa 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
7/5
7%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
65%
8/15
6%
-
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
7/5-
No 1st Goal
9%
11/2
19%
-
BTTS - Yes
42%
11/10
10%
-
BTTS - No
58%
4/6
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
14%
5/1
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
7/1
7%
-
Home/draw
71%
1/3-
Away/draw
58%
4/7
6%
-
Home/away
70%
4/11-
Over 1.5 Goals
62%
4/9
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
38%
13/8
5%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
16%
7/2
13%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
84%
2/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
6%
10/1
22%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
94%
1/20
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
22/1
21%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/80
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
12%
6/1
13%
-
Home DNB
62%
8/13
3%
-
Away DNB
50%
6/5
2%
-
Sagan Tosu win to nil
27%
5/2-
Renofa win to nil
19%
4/1
9%
-
Sagan Tosu / Sagan Tosu
21%
3/1
7%
-
Sagan Tosu / Renofa
2%
33/1-
Sagan Tosu / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Sagan Tosu
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Renofa
13%
11/2
7%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
9%
-
Renofa / Sagan Tosu
3%
28/1-
Renofa / Renofa
15%
9/2-
Renofa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Sagan Tosu 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
2
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
Sagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
Sagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
Sagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
Sagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
Sagan Tosu1 - 1Urawa Reds
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Hiroshima
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Gamba Osaka
Sagan Tosu1 - 4Kashiwa
Sagan Tosu3 - 0Kyoto Sanga
Sagan Tosu0 - 1Tokyo
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Nagoya
Sagan Tosu5 - 2Kawasaki
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
Sagan Tosu4 - 2Kashima
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASagan Tosu2 - 0V-V Nagasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Fujieda MYFC
ASagan Tosu1 - 3Roasso
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Kataller Toyama
HSagan Tosu1 - 0Omiya Ardija
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Iwaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 4Imabari
ASagan Tosu0 - 1Jubilo Iwata
HSagan Tosu0 - 1Vegalta
HSagan Tosu3 - 0Jubilo Iwata
ASagan Tosu3 - 0Nagoya
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Yokohama FM
HSagan Tosu2 - 1Machida
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Kyoto Sanga
ASagan Tosu1 - 1Tokyo
HSagan Tosu0 - 0Avispa
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
ASagan Tosu2 - 3Kawasaki
HSagan Tosu1 - 2Shonan
ASagan Tosu0 - 2Vissel Kobe
Renofa 19TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kataller Toyama2 - 2Renofa
Blaublitz1 - 0Renofa
Omiya Ardija2 - 1Renofa
Ventforet1 - 0Renofa
Ehime1 - 1Renofa
Roasso1 - 1Renofa
Montedio2 - 0Renofa
JEF United4 - 1Renofa
Shimizu4 - 1Renofa
V-V Nagasaki1 - 2Renofa
Fujieda MYFC3 - 0Renofa
Blaublitz1 - 0Renofa
Mito1 - 1Renofa
TK Gunma0 - 1Renofa
Oita Trinita0 - 0Renofa
Iwaki1 - 2Renofa
Vegalta2 - 1Renofa
Kagoshima0 - 1Renofa
Tochigi0 - 0Renofa
Ventforet0 - 2Renofa
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARenofa2 - 2Kataller Toyama
HRenofa1 - 1Ehime
ARenofa0 - 1Blaublitz
HRenofa0 - 1Roasso
HRenofa1 - 1Oita Trinita
ARenofa1 - 2Omiya Ardija
HRenofa2 - 0Sapporo
HRenofa2 - 2V-V Nagasaki
ARenofa0 - 1Ventforet
HRenofa0 - 0Yokohama
ARenofa1 - 1Ehime
HRenofa2 - 0Ventforet
ARenofa1 - 1Roasso
ARenofa0 - 2Montedio
HRenofa0 - 1Vegalta
ARenofa1 - 4JEF United
ARenofa1 - 4Shimizu
HRenofa1 - 2Tokushima
HRenofa0 - 2Fagiano
ARenofa2 - 1V-V Nagasaki
Goal Statistics
Sagan Tosu 5th Renofa 19th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Sagan Tosu will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Renofa scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Sagan Tosu’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Renofa have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
J2-League - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289401/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Sagan Tosu
PG (predicted goals)
Renofa
1.2
0.9
Attack rating
4%
better
SAG
REN
view stats
Games scored7
6
Failed to score2
3
Scored first5
5
Goals scored8
9
Avg. goals scored0.9
1
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
18%
better
SAG
REN
view stats
Games conceded5
8
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first4
4
Goals conceded10
11
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
15%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+18%

Sagan Tosu v Renofa J2-League lLine ups will show here when available.

Sagan Tosu J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11223
R MorishitaT. InoueT SakuraiR Morishita
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Izumori GLK7
-
T. Inoue DEF112
1
-
R Morishita DEF11
3
-
S Ogawa DEF11
2
-
E Matsuda MID7
-
K. Nishiya MID11
-
T Sakurai MID112
-
H Arai MID111
-
J Nishikawa MID92
2
-
V Slivka MID1111
2
-
S. Shinkawa MID10
-
Subs
K Uchiyama GLK
-
Y Imazu DEF4
-
F. Kitajima DEF31
-
N Matsumoto MID4
-
K. Sakaiya MID41
-
S Hino MID611
-
Y Horigome MID10
-
M Uehara MID7
-
D Suzuki FWD2
1
-
Renofa J2-League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8221
N MarsmanT. SuenagaS OkaniwaT. Itakura
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Marsman GLK8
-
R. Shimodo DEF7
-
K Matsuda DEF8
-
S Okaniwa MID82
-
T. Suenaga MID72
-
K. Tanabe MID5
-
J Ikegami MID
-
R Yokoyama MID82
-
Y Okuyama FWD3
-
R Arita FWD81
-
Subs
J Taguchi GLK
-
T. Itakura DEF5
1
-
S. Isotani DEF2
-
O Yamamoto MID4
-
K Noyori MID81
-
H Naruoka MID8
-
T Miyayoshi FWD2
-
S Kobayashi FWD81
-
D Furukawa FWD821
-