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Atlas v Mazatlán : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Mazatlán are away from home on Saturday night, as manager Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola takes his men to visit Atlas and Diego Martín Cocca Pera at the Estadio Jalisco in the Liga MX. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Atlas's next match is v Pumas UNAM at 01:05 on Sunday 8th February
Mazatlán's next match is v S. Laguna at 23:00 on Sunday 15th February
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Atlas and Mazatlan was on Saturday 31st January 2026
Mexican Liga MX
January 31st 2026
Atlas 1
0 Mazatlan
 
U. Đurđević 11'
 
ATL
MAZ
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
4
4
Possession
56%
44%
Fouls
18
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
AtlasMazatlan
 
A. Sánchez Montes De Oca
G. Ferrareis
G. Aguirre Ledesma
R. Schlegel
M. García (E. Aguirre Lara 57')
A. Rocha González
M. Capasso
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba
S. Hernández Flores (A. Mora Barraza 90')
U. Đurđevićfootball icon
A. González González (E. Zaldivar Valverde 70')
F. Almada
L. Merolla
(M. Laínez Leyva 89') M. Zaleta
(G. López 89') L. Teodora da Silva
(J. Hernández Casiano 83') O. Moreno Villegas
E. Bárcenas Herrera
(A. Ben Rhouma Torres 83') B. Rubio Rodríguez
S. Santos
(?. Saavedra 72') ?. Leyva
R. Rodríguez Mazzocco
J. Sierra Flores

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of Atlas and Mazatlan serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Liga MX tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atlas are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atlas
53%
4/6
9%
1/4
Draw
23%
13/5
7%
16/5
Mazatlan
24%
17/4
14%
10/1
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
17/4
Atlas 1-0
10%
13/227/10
Atlas 2-1
10%
15/211/2
Atlas 2-0
9%
7/1
6%
10/3
Mazatlan 1-0
6%
14/1
13%
17/2
Mazatlan 2-1
6%
16/1
12%
14/1
Atlas 3-1
6%
12/1
15%
11/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
8%
13/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/114/1
Atlas 3-0
5%
12/1
25%
15/2
Mazatlan 2-0
3%
25/1
21%
16/1
Atlas 3-2
3%
25/125/1
Atlas 4-1
3%
25/1
26%
25/1
Mazatlan 3-1
2%
40/1
17%
40/1
Atlas 4-0
2%
25/1
26%
18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20
3%
23/20
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20
3%
3/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
3%
13/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/8
5%
17/10
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
13/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/5
3%
1/1
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
3%
8/11
BTTS - Home Win
25%
13/5
10%
3/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
5%
16/5
BTTS - Away Win
12%
17/2
11%
11/1
Home/draw
76%
1/6
4%
1/40
Away/draw
47%
11/10
11%
5/2
Home/away
77%
2/7
3%
2/11
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
2%
2/9
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
6%
13/5
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
9%
10/3
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
3%
1/6
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
9%
9/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
1%
1/40
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
22/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
13/2
Home DNB
69%
1/4
7%
1/3
Away DNB
40%
11/4
15%
2/1
Atlas win to nil
27%
2/1
18%
-
Mazatlan win to nil
12%
8/1
10%
-
Atlas / Atlas
30%
13/8
10%
2/7
Atlas / Mazatlan
3%
33/1
17%
12/1
Atlas / Draw
6%
14/1
13%
18/5
Draw / Atlas
18%
7/2
6%
28/1
Draw / Mazatlan
9%
9/1
14%
33/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
25/1
Mazatlan / Atlas
4%
20/11/50
Mazatlan / Mazatlan
11%
7/1
12%
125/1
Mazatlan / Draw
6%
14/1125/1
Win / draw / win form
Atlas 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Mazatlan 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
Draw
8
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Mazatlan have not lost to Atlas in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Atlas since 2020
Atlas
Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
5
7
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
ATL
1
D
2
MAZ
2
League games at Mazatlan since 2021
Mazatlan
Atlas
Goals: Scored
8
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
D
2
MAZ
4
Goal Statistics

Atlas's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday night, not least because Mazatlán have conceded in each of their last 19 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.8 for D. Cocca Pera's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been an issue for Mazatlán of late. It has been 5 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday night against Atlas.

Atlas 14th Mazatlan 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Atlas will score 1 or more goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Mazatlan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Atlas have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-38
Mazatlan have scored 38% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Atlas
PG (predicted goals)
Mazatlan
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
1%
better
ATL
MAZ
view stats
Games scored13
15
Failed to score7
5
Scored first8
6
Goals scored26
23
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.1
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
18%
better
ATL
MAZ
view stats
Games conceded16
19
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first11
13
Goals conceded37
38
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded12
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against1.9
2
KickOff rating
+18%

Atlas v Mazatlan Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
219310
G FerrareisU DjurdjevicG FerrareisU Djurdjevic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sánchez GLK2
1
-
G Ferrareis DEF213
1
-
R Schlegel DEF41
1
-
G Aguirre DEF2011
4
-
S. Hernández Flores DEF151
1
-
M Capasso  MID4
1
-
A González MID161
-
A Rocha MID162
4
1
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID19
4
-
M García MID1321
1
-
U Djurdjevic FWD2091
10
-
Subs
C Becerra GLK
-
J. San Martín DEF5
-
A Mora DEF152
3
-
J Lozano DEF911
3
1
R Pier DEF51
-
E Zaldívar MID4
-
G Prete FWD921
1
-
E Lara FWD1511
1
-
José Martín FWD
-
L. Gamboa Carillo FWD
-
Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22526
F AlmadaF AlmadaL MerollaL Merolla
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rodríguez GLK5
-
S Santos DEF2
1
-
?. Leyva DEF13
3
1
F Almada DEF225
2
-
L Merolla DEF162
6
-
M Zaleta DEF151
2
-
O Villegas MID1211
1
-
Y Bárcenas MID1811
3
-
J Sierra MID193
2
-
B Rubio MID3
1
-
Dudu FWD171
1
1
Subs
V. Alcaráz Díaz GLK
-
J Vázquez DEF12
3
-
M Laínez MID172
4
-
A Herrera MID41
1
-
S. Godínez MID2
-
Ángel Saavedra MID91
2
-
J Casiano FWD171
-
G López FWD51
-
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD2
-
Jaime Estrada FWD1
-