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Atlético San Luis v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez, San Luis de Potosi

Thursday morning sees Domenec Torrent Font’s Atlético San Luis and Patrick Glockner’s Toluca go head to head in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez. Stats power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them shows bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and much more besides. Odds are also provided. Click on the tabs below to find out more.

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The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between A. San Luis and Toluca was on Thursday 17th April 2025
Mexican Liga MX
April 17th 2025
A. San Luis 0
1 Toluca
 
16' J. Gallardo Vasconcelos
 
SAN
TOL
Shots On
2
5
Shots Off
7
5
Corners
11
7
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
12
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
A. San LuisToluca
 
A. Sánchez Rodríguez
R. Torres Acosta
E. Águila Castro
A. Cruz Sánchez
S. Salles Lamonge (B. Galdames Millán 79')
Ó. Macías Mora
M. Garcia Alvarez
R. Dourado Cunha
J. Sanabria Magole
V. Ferreira Arantes
D. Abitia (M. Klimowicz 65')
P. López Sabata
D. Barbosa Zaragoza
A. Pereira Castelnoble
E. López
football iconJ. Gallardo Vasconcelos
L. Garcia Teixeira
M. Ruiz Suárez
(J. Domínguez Chonteco 70') H. Nunes de Castro
(H. Herrera López 77') F. Romero
(J. Angulo Uriarte 77') E. Vega Rojas
(R. Morales 90') J. Dias Fernandes

Best Tip: Both teams to score
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A. San Luis
32%
4/1-
Draw
22%
31/10
14%
-
Toluca
46%
13/20
3%
-
Draw 1-1
9%
15/2
21%
-
Toluca 2-1
9%
8/1
6%
-
A. San Luis 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1-
Toluca 1-0
6%
11/1
26%
-
Toluca 2-0
6%
10/1
16%
-
Toluca 3-1
6%
11/1-
A. San Luis 1-0
5%
20/1
24%
-
Toluca 3-2
4%
16/1
19%
-
A. San Luis 2-0
4%
28/1-
A. San Luis 3-1
4%
33/1-
A. San Luis 3-2
4%
28/1
15%
-
Toluca 3-0
4%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 0-0
3%
20/1
40%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
18/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
4/9
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
17/10
17%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/9-
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
40%
-
BTTS - Yes
67%
4/9
8%
-
BTTS - No
33%
13/8
16%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
6/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
28%
7/4
11%
-
Home/draw
54%
6/5
5%
-
Away/draw
68%
1/6-
Home/away
78%
2/9
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
1/9
5%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
11/2
30%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
1/1
16%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
54%
8/11
13%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
27%
12/5
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
73%
3/10
8%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
5/1
33%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/8
5%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/66
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/1
40%
-
Home DNB
48%
11/4
7%
-
Away DNB
61%
1/4
3%
-
A. San Luis win to nil
12%
10/1
10%
-
Toluca win to nil
18%
11/4
10%
-
A. San Luis / A. San Luis
11%
13/2-
A. San Luis / Toluca
5%
16/1
11%
-
A. San Luis / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / A. San Luis
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / Toluca
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
11%
13/2
15%
-
Toluca / A. San Luis
3%
28/1
15%
-
Toluca / Toluca
33%
6/4
5%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
A. San Luis 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis2 - 1Mazatlan
A. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
A. San Luis3 - 1Guadalajara
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
A. San Luis2 - 3Pumas UNAM
A. San Luis0 - 3Necaxa
A. San Luis1 - 3Tigres
A. San Luis2 - 1Monterrey
A. San Luis3 - 0Tigres
A. San Luis2 - 0Puebla
A. San Luis1 - 0Monterrey
A. San Luis3 - 1S. Laguna
A. San Luis3 - 1Cruz Azul
A. San Luis2 - 1Atlas
A. San Luis4 - 0Queretaro
A. San Luis1 - 1Tijuana
A. San Luis2 - 1America
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
A. San Luis2 - 3Juarez
A. San Luis2 - 1Pachuca
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA. San Luis1 - 2Tijuana
HA. San Luis2 - 1Mazatlan
AA. San Luis3 - 2S. Laguna
AA. San Luis0 - 3Cruz Azul
HA. San Luis1 - 0Juarez
AA. San Luis1 - 3Atlas
HA. San Luis3 - 1Guadalajara
AA. San Luis1 - 3Monterrey
HA. San Luis1 - 2Leon
AA. San Luis0 - 1Queretaro
HA. San Luis2 - 3Pumas UNAM
AA. San Luis0 - 3America
HA. San Luis0 - 3Necaxa
AA. San Luis2 - 1Puebla
HA. San Luis1 - 3Tigres
AA. San Luis1 - 5Monterrey
HA. San Luis2 - 1Monterrey
AA. San Luis0 - 0Tigres
HA. San Luis3 - 0Tigres
AA. San Luis1 - 0Guadalajara
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
America3 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
America5 - 1Toluca
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
AToluca1 - 2Tigres
HToluca2 - 2Leon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Toluca have beaten A. San Luis in 4 consecutive league meetings
League games at A. San Luis since 2021
A. San Luis
Toluca
Goals: Scored
2
6
Games: Scored
2 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
2 / 4
SAN
1
D
1
TOL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A. San Luis
1 - 5Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 0
0 - 1Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
14
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
SAN
1
TOL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Toluca2 - 1
Toluca3 - 1
Toluca2 - 0
1 - 2A. San Luis
Toluca3 - 2
Toluca3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been steady in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.9 against Atlético San Luis on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A. San Luis 6th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that A. San Luis will score 1 or more goals
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+19
A. San Luis have scored 19% more goals at home than predicted
+25
Toluca have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289299/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A. San Luis
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.6
1.9
Attack rating
SAN
TOL
25%
better
view stats
Games scored27
29
Failed to score9
5
Scored first16
23
Goals scored51
76
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.2
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
SAN
TOL
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded29
24
Clean sheets7
10
Conceded first19
10
Goals conceded56
40
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1
KickOff rating
+23%

A. San Luis v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

A. San Luis Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371268
R DouradoS Salles-LamongeJ SanabriaR Dourado
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sánchez GLK13
-
R Acosta DEF1212
1
-
M. Garcia Alvarez DEF13
-
E Águila DEF35
4
-
A Cruz DEF34
1
-
Óscar Uriel Macías Mora MID3341
2
-
R Dourado MID374
8
-
J Sanabria MID3726
8
-
Vitinho FWD2873
5
-
D Abitia FWD111
2
-
S Salles-Lamonge FWD37124
1
-
Subs
C Alba GLK5
1
-
J Domínguez DEF251
3
-
D. Guillén Moreno DEF151
3
-
S Martínez DEF1
-
B Galdames MID22
1
-
M Klimowicz MID2032
-
L Reyna MID3034
-
S Pérez MID1
-
J Villal MID6
-
Y Lemos FWD242
2
1
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33251110
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P López GLK9
2
-
D Barbosa DEF131
2
-
F Pereira DEF241
6
1
E López DEF11
1
-
J Gallardo DEF3267
6
-
F Romero MID12
3
-
Luan MID302
3
-
A Vega MID351211
6
-
M Ruíz MID3437
10
-
Helinho  MID203
2
-
Paulinho FWD33257
6
-
Subs
R Dimas GLK
-
B Méndez DEF20
1
1
B García DEF2511
3
-
J Uriarte MID3387
1
-
H Herrera MID112
1
-
V Camarena MID21
4
1
J Domínguez FWD293
2
-
I Violante FWD2764
5
-
I López FWD211
-
R Morales FWD1631
-