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Guadalajara v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio AKRON, Zapopan

the Estadio AKRON is the stage on Wednesday morning, as Oscar Garcia's Guadalajara welcome Ratko Dostanic's Puebla in the Liga MX. Team form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Guadalajara and Puebla was on Wednesday 16th April 2025

Mexican Liga MX

April 16th 2025

Guadalajara 1	0 Puebla

É. Gutiérrez Galaviz 37'

	GUA PUE
Shots On	3 3
Shots Off	7 4
Corners	4 7
Possession	54% 46%
Fouls	7 11
Yellow/red cards	1/0 2/0

Guadalajara	Puebla

E. García Mendoza M. Gómez Ortiz (A. Mozo Rodríguez 66') M. Chávez García R. Martínez Ruiz G. Sepúlveda López H. Camberos Figueroa (C. Cowell 62') F. Beltrán Cruz (J. Padilla Sandoval 70') É. Gutiérrez Galaviz T. Wilke Braams (F. González Pineda 70') A. Pulido Izaguirre (J. Hernández Balcázar 63') R. Alvarado Hernández	J. González Vela-Alvizu (F. Waller Martiarena 46') J. Fedorco S. Olmedo Pereira (P. González Díaz 62') E. Orona Zavala J. Pachuca Martinez (R. Castillo González 46') J. Rodríguez Hernández B. Angulo León G. Ferrareis (D. Paz Velázquez 79') F. Moyano R. Marín Sánchez E. Gómez Dutra

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals means, quite simply, that there will be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by Guadalajara and Puebla during the regulation 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds are both leaning towards here, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5 goals.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guadalajara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Guadalajara 53%	9/20 10%	-
Draw 27%	7/2 20%	-
Puebla 20%	11/2 18%	-
Guadalajara 1-0 15%	11/2 18%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	15/2 13%	-
Guadalajara 2-0 11%	11/2	-
Draw 0-0 10%	10/1 38%	-
Guadalajara 2-1 9%	15/2 6%	-
Puebla 1-0 8%	14/1 36%	-
Guadalajara 3-0 6%	17/2 21%	-
Puebla 2-1 5%	20/1 11%	-
Guadalajara 3-1 4%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	20/1 9%	-
Puebla 2-0 3%	33/1 31%	-
Guadalajara 4-0 2%	18/1 27%	-
Guadalajara 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Guadalajara 4-1 2%	22/1 32%	-
Puebla 3-1 1%	50/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 40%	9/10 17%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 60%	9/10 19%	-
Home 1st Goal 54%	3/10 10%	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	11/4 7%	-
No 1st Goal 7%	10/1 38%	-
BTTS - Yes 42%	21/20 9%	-
BTTS - No 58%	7/10 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 18%	5/2 22%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	11/2 8%	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	12/1	-
Home/draw 80%	1/9 3%	-
Away/draw 47%	13/8 16%	-
Home/away 73%	2/11 6%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	2/7 8%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	5/2 27%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 20%	9/4 25%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 80%	1/3 11%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	11/2 35%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/9 5%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	14/1 29%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/33 2%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 90%	1/20 3%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 10%	10/1 38%	-
Home DNB 72%	1/6 4%	-
Away DNB 39%	4/1 25%	-
Guadalajara win to nil 35%	5/4	-
Puebla win to nil 13%	10/1 38%	-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara 37%	6/5 15%	-
Guadalajara / Puebla 2%	40/1	-
Guadalajara / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw / Guadalajara 21%	3/1	-
Draw / Puebla 6%	12/1 18%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 26%	-
Puebla / Guadalajara 4%	20/1 19%	-
Puebla / Puebla 7%	11/1 20%	-
Puebla / Draw 4%	18/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guadalajara	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
Guadalajara	2 - 1	Tijuana
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Queretaro
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tigres
Guadalajara	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
Guadalajara	1 - 1	Monterrey
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Leon
Guadalajara	5 - 0	Juarez
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Mazatlan
Guadalajara	0 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Toluca
Guadalajara	2 - 0	Queretaro

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Guadalajara	1 - 3	Monterrey
H	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Juarez
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	America
A	Guadalajara	1 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	1 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Pachuca
A	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Toluca
H	Guadalajara	2 - 1	Tijuana
H	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Queretaro
A	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Leon
H	Guadalajara	1 - 1	Tigres
A	Guadalajara	2 - 3	Necaxa
H	Guadalajara	1 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
H	Guadalajara	0 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Guadalajara	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Guadalajara	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
A	Guadalajara	0 - 1	Puebla

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon	1 - 0	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 0	Puebla
Queretaro	2 - 0	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
S. Laguna	0 - 2	Puebla
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Puebla
Monterrey	1 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	2 - 1	Puebla
A. San Luis	2 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	5 - 0	Puebla
Tigres	1 - 0	Puebla
Pumas UNAM	1 - 0	Puebla
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Puebla
America	0 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	4 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	3 - 1	Puebla
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Puebla
Juarez	4 - 3	Puebla
Leon	2 - 1	Puebla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Juarez
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
A	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	1 - 2	America
A	Puebla	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Puebla	1 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Monterrey
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Puebla	1 - 0	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	0 - 5	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Guadalajara

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 5

Clean sheets

1 / 5

GUA

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guadalajara
Guadalajara	3 - 2
Guadalajara	1 - 0
	2 - 3	Puebla
	0 - 1	Puebla
	1 - 3	Puebla

Puebla

Guadalajara

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

GUA

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Puebla	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Guadalajara
Puebla	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Guadalajara
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Puebla, with Ratko Dostanic's men having not found the back of the net in 4 consecutive Liga MX matches.

	Guadalajara 9th	Puebla 15th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	0.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Guadalajara will score 1 or more goals	0 45% 1 36% 2 14% 3 4+ There is a 81% probability of Puebla scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-21 Guadalajara have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted	-8 Puebla’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	0.9 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	2.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season

18%

better

GUA

PUE

view stats

Games scored	25		22
Failed to score	8		10
Scored first	16		13
Goals scored	41		29
Avg. goals scored	1.2		0.9
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	8		10
Conversion rate for	13		11
Avg. XG for	1.2		0.9
KickOff rating		+18%

23%

better

GUA

PUE

view stats

Games conceded	22		26
Clean sheets	11		6
Conceded first	14		18
Goals conceded	37		54
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		7
Conversion rate against	13%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1.5
KickOff rating		+23%

Guadalajara v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	9	7	10
R Hernández	R Hernández	R Hernández	Érick Gutiérrez

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E. García Mendoza GLK	2			-
M Ortiz DEF	7	1	1	-
H. Camberos Figueroa DEF	14	1	1	-
G Sepúlveda DEF	24	2		3 -
R Ruiz DEF	9			-
M. Chávez García DEF	25		4	9 -
R Hernández MID	30	9	7	5 -
Érick Gutiérrez MID	29	1	1	10 -
F Beltran MID	30	1	1	3 -
T Braams FWD	8	2	1	2 -
A Pulido FWD	9	2		1 -
Subs
Óscar Whalley GLK				-
A Mozo DEF	27	2	1	3 -
J Castillo DEF	27		2	2 1
V Guzmán MID	18	2	2	2 -
I Brizuela MID	8			1 -
F González MID	31			7 -
Chicharito FWD	18	1	1	1
C Cowell FWD	23	5	2	1
J Sandoval FWD	25	3	2	2 -
A. González Alba FWD	17	3	1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	16	7	24
R Hernández	C Cowell	R Hernández	R Hernández

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Hernández MID	9	15	7	24
G Sepúlveda DEF	2	3		3
T Braams FWD	2	5	1	5
A Pulido FWD	2	8
M Ortiz DEF	1	3	1	1
H. Camberos Figueroa DEF	1	7	1	6
Érick Gutiérrez MID	1	8	1	10
F Beltran MID	1	8	1	11
M. Chávez García DEF			4	9
Subs
C Cowell FWD	5	16	2	11
J Sandoval FWD	3	8	2	12
A. González Alba FWD	3	9	1	3
A Mozo DEF	2	8	1	7
V Guzmán MID	2	6	2	14
Chicharito FWD	1	6	1	6
J Castillo DEF		1	2	7
I Brizuela MID		1		1
F González MID				8

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1221	95	160
F González	M. Chávez García	Érick Gutiérrez

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
G Sepúlveda DEF	1174	32	77
Érick Gutiérrez MID	1126	77	160
R Hernández MID	1070	39	141
F Beltran MID	978	42	116
M. Chávez García DEF	670	95	149
R Ruiz DEF	300	13	21
H. Camberos Figueroa DEF	217	24	65
M Ortiz DEF	184	10	24
A Pulido FWD	137	2	19
T Braams FWD	81	6	26
E. García Mendoza GLK	57
Subs
F González MID	1221	72	123
J Castillo DEF	1024	48	95
A Mozo DEF	878	52	103
V Guzmán MID	376	8	38
J Sandoval FWD	297	32	63
C Cowell FWD	239	21	72
Chicharito FWD	129	7	30
A. González Alba FWD	110	7	22
I Brizuela MID	67	1	10

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	5	4	8
E Orona	E Gómez	B Angulo	G Ferrareis

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J González GLK	3			-
S Olmedo DEF	8			2 1
J. Fedorco DEF	8			2 -
E Orona DEF	31	1		4 -
J Martinez MID	23			2 -
G Ferrareis MID	27	2	1	8 -
F Moyano MID	12			3 -
B Angulo MID	29		4	6 2
J Rodríguez MID	11			2 -
R Sánchez FWD	10	4		-
E Gómez FWD	23	5	1	1 -
Subs
M Jiménez GLK	24			3 -
F Waller MID	24	2	2	7 1
D. Paz Velázquez MID				-
F Arce MID	5			2 -
P González MID	26	1		4 -
R Castillo MID	26	1	3	6 -
J. Nungaray FWD				-
T. Jaimes Rodríguez FWD	4			-
C Mares FWD	8		1	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	20	4	20
E Gómez	E Gómez	B Angulo	R Castillo

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gómez FWD	5	20	1	9
R Sánchez FWD	4	10		1
G Ferrareis MID	2	8	1	10
E Orona DEF	1	5		2
J Martinez MID		1		1
F Moyano MID		1		2
B Angulo MID		4	4	14
J Rodríguez MID				1
Subs
F Waller MID	2	9	2	15
P González MID	1	2		3
R Castillo MID	1	10	3	20
M Jiménez GLK				1
T. Jaimes Rodríguez FWD		1
C Mares FWD		2	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
988	56	142
B Angulo	B Angulo	B Angulo

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
B Angulo MID	988	56	142
E Orona DEF	940	49	114
G Ferrareis MID	566	35	85
F Moyano MID	486	18	31
J Martinez MID	377	33	71
E Gómez FWD	326	9	90
S Olmedo DEF	205	5	13
J. Fedorco DEF	183	13	32
R Sánchez FWD	153	11	46
J Rodríguez MID	113	12	21
J González GLK	83
Subs
M Jiménez GLK	593		7
F Waller MID	547	45	93
P González MID	535	33	47
R Castillo MID	438	21	49
C Mares FWD	54	2	12
F Arce MID	46	5	8
T. Jaimes Rodríguez FWD	9	3	3

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

Guadalajara v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Guadalajara v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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