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León v Tijuana : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

Home advantage can be vital in the Liga MX, and Marcos Ignacio Ambriz Espinoza’s León will have the joy of it on Sunday morning. Washington Sebastián Abreu Gallo’s Tijuana are their opponents at the Estadio León. This preview has the best odds for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As loyal fans of Tijuana get ready for this clash, they certainly have reason to expect an exciting match. After studying the relevant statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) fixture history, it looks as though over 2.5 goals will be a worthy bet, as both teams know they have goals in them and either could win. The prediction and odds are in agreement: over 2.5 goals is a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
52%
24/251/1
Draw
22%
13/55/2
Tijuana
25%
23/102/1
Draw 1-1
10%
13/26/1
Leon 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Leon 1-0
8%
9/18/1
Leon 2-0
7%
11/19/1
Tijuana 2-1
6%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/19/1
Leon 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Tijuana 1-0
5%
14/110/1
Leon 3-0
5%
18/114/1
Leon 3-2
4%
20/116/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/111/1
Tijuana 2-0
3%
20/114/1
Leon 4-1
3%
28/120/1
Tijuana 3-1
3%
22/116/1
Tijuana 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
3/5
3%
11/20
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
13/10
5%
6/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/118/11
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/56/5
No 1st Goal
2%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
62%
8/158/15
BTTS - No
38%
11/813/10
BTTS - Home Win
29%
5/25/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/24/1
Home/draw
75%
1/31/3
Away/draw
48%
4/58/11
Home/away
78%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6
1%
1/6
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1
11%
16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
6/413/10
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1/21/2
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3
4%
3/1
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5
2%
2/11
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1
10%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/331/80
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/110/1
Home DNB
68%
1/28/15
Away DNB
41%
6/413/10
Leon win to nil
24%
3/1-
Tijuana win to nil
10%
6/1-
Leon / Leon
26%
11/521/10
Leon / Tijuana
3%
25/120/1
Leon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Leon
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Tijuana
10%
7/113/2
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
Tijuana / Leon
4%
20/116/1
Tijuana / Tijuana
16%
9/219/5
Tijuana / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leon2 - 1Necaxa
Leon2 - 1S. Laguna
Leon1 - 2Tigres
Leon2 - 1Cruz Azul
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Leon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 4Toluca
Leon2 - 2Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0Queretaro
Leon1 - 1Pachuca
Leon1 - 3Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Guadalajara
Leon0 - 1A. San Luis
Leon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Leon0 - 2Monterrey
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Pumas UNAM
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Leon1 - 0Tigres
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
Tijuana 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atlas2 - 1Tijuana
Toluca1 - 0Tijuana
Monterrey2 - 2Tijuana
Queretaro1 - 2Tijuana
Tigres5 - 0Tijuana
Pumas UNAM4 - 1Tijuana
Tigres2 - 0Tijuana
Puebla4 - 3Tijuana
S. Laguna1 - 0Tijuana
A. San Luis1 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Mazatlan2 - 2Tijuana
America3 - 1Tijuana
S. Laguna0 - 4Tijuana
Mazatlan0 - 2Tijuana
Monterrey1 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Leon2 - 1Tijuana
Puebla2 - 0Tijuana
Guadalajara2 - 1Tijuana
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTijuana1 - 2S. Laguna
ATijuana1 - 2Atlas
HTijuana1 - 1Pumas UNAM
HTijuana1 - 1Mazatlan
ATijuana0 - 1Toluca
HTijuana0 - 0Puebla
ATijuana2 - 2Monterrey
HTijuana1 - 1A. San Luis
ATijuana2 - 1Queretaro
HTijuana0 - 0America
ATijuana0 - 5Tigres
HTijuana3 - 0Tigres
HTijuana3 - 1Juarez
HTijuana2 - 0Atlas
ATijuana1 - 4Pumas UNAM
ATijuana0 - 2Tigres
HTijuana0 - 0Toluca
ATijuana3 - 4Puebla
HTijuana2 - 2Monterrey
HTijuana2 - 0Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Leon have not lost to Tijuana in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Tijuana
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
LEO
5
D
1
TIJ
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon2 - 1
Leon1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
0 - 1Tijuana
League games at Tijuana since 2018
Tijuana
Leon
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
LEO
2
D
4
TIJ
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tijuana
Tijuana5 - 0
Tijuana2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Tijuana2 - 0
1 - 2Leon
1 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Tijuana of late. It has been 5 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against León.

Leon 17th Tijuana 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Tijuana will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Leon’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+12
Tijuana have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Tijuana
1.9
1.3
Attack rating
LEO
TIJ
30%
better
view stats
Games scored17
23
Failed to score9
7
Scored first8
17
Goals scored25
44
Avg. goals scored1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.3
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
LEO
TIJ
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
20
Clean sheets4
10
Conceded first17
10
Goals conceded46
40
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded13
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+23%

Leon v Tijuana Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
257310
R EcheverríaI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Moreno DEF2513
3
-
R Echeverría MID25
6
-
S Chávez DEF242
5
-
S Barreiro DEF24
9
1
F Beltran MID2312
3
-
O García GLK21
1
-
J Cortizo FWD201
4
-
I Díaz FWD1972
-
R Mori FWD191
1
-
D Ramírez DEF18
2
-
A Alvarado FWD182
1
-
M Rodriguez FWD14
-
D Arcila MID132
2
-
?. Estrada Meza MID10
-
D Cambindo FWD95
1
-
J Domínguez FWD911
-
S Vegas DEF8
3
1
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF8
1
1
P Bellón DEF8
2
-
I Rodríguez MID8
2
-
B Colula DEF711
1
-
J Vallejo FWD5
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
J. García Bonnet GLK2
1
-
A Villegas DEF2
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-
Tijuana Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
299711
A RodríguezK CastañedaK CastañedaJ Porozo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rodríguez GLK30
2
-
K Castañeda MID3097
3
-
A Gómez DEF292
4
-
J Porozo DEF292
10
1
R Zárate MID2926
7
-
I Olmeda MID291
9
-
J Grijalva DEF286
4
-
A Preciado FWD2832
4
-
R Fernández DEF2712
8
-
D Blanco FWD2611
2
1
U Bilbao DEF222
5
-
M Ghezouani FWD224
4
1
F Boya MID186
4
-
G. Mora Zambrano MID1651
1
-
P Ortíz DEF121
3
-
I Rivero MID10
2
-
J Martínez FWD8
-
K Escamilla MID7
1
-
D Firenze FWD51
-
Ángel Zapata MID3
-