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Mazatlán v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán), Mazatlán

Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola's Mazatlán side are on home soil in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, as Marcos Ignacio Ambriz Espinoza's León arrive at the Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán). We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.

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Mazatlán's next match is v America at 01:00 on Monday 16th March
León's next match is v Tijuana at 01:00 on Sunday 15th March
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Mazatlan and Leon was on Saturday 7th March 2026
Mexican Liga MX
March 7th 2026
Mazatlan 4
2 Leon
 
E. Bárcenas Herrera 25'44' I. Díaz De León
B. Rubio Rodríguez 38'90' D. Cambindo Abonia
B. Rubio Rodríguez 47'
J. Ovalle Aranda 69'
 
MAZ
LEO
Shots On
10
7
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
7
4
Possession
36%
64%
Fouls
7
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
MazatlanLeon
 
J. Díaz Vázquez
F. Almada
M. Zaleta (G. López 81')
L. Teodora da Silva (B. Arce Mina 81')
E. Bárcenas Herrerafootball icon
B. Rubio Rodríguezfootball iconfootball icon (F. Gomes Netto 76')
J. Ovalle Arandafootball icon (M. Laínez Leyva 76')
L. Merolla
S. Santos
R. Rodríguez Mazzocco
S. Godínez (J. Esquivel Martínez 86')
O. García
S. Vegas Orellana
(R. Funes Mori 71') I. Moreno Füguemann
J. Barreiro Solis
(A. Villegas 71') S. Reyes Chávez
(D. Arcila 58') F. Beltrán Cruz
R. Echeverría Sáez
football iconI. Díaz De León
(J. Vallejo 58') J. Cortizo de la Piedra
(J. Domínguez Chonteco 46') J. Ramírez García
football iconD. Cambindo Abonia

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Mazatlan and Leon's current form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mazatlan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mazatlan
43%
21/1019/10
Draw
25%
12/523/10
Leon
32%
6/523/20
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Mazatlan 1-0
9%
10/18/1
Mazatlan 2-1
9%
10/117/2
Leon 1-0
8%
8/17/1
Leon 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Mazatlan 2-0
7%
16/112/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/19/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/110/1
Leon 2-0
5%
11/19/1
Mazatlan 3-1
5%
22/116/1
Mazatlan 3-0
4%
33/120/1
Leon 3-1
3%
16/112/1
Mazatlan 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Leon 3-2
2%
22/116/1
Leon 3-0
2%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/110/11
Home 1st Goal
50%
11/1023/20
Away 1st Goal
46%
4/54/5
No 1st Goal
4%
11/19/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/613/20
BTTS - No
44%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
21%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
10/33/1
Home/draw
68%
8/1313/20
Away/draw
57%
4/114/11
Home/away
75%
3/102/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/19/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/71/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/117/2
Home DNB
61%
6/56/5
Away DNB
50%
8/133/5
Mazatlan win to nil
22%
5/1-
Leon win to nil
16%
3/1-
Mazatlan / Mazatlan
17%
4/118/5
Mazatlan / Leon
4%
22/118/1
Mazatlan / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Mazatlan
11%
6/16/1
Draw / Leon
15%
9/29/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Leon / Mazatlan
3%
28/122/1
Leon / Leon
23%
13/512/5
Leon / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
Mazatlan 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
5
Draw
9
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan1 - 0Pachuca
Mazatlan1 - 2Guadalajara
Mazatlan1 - 5Monterrey
Mazatlan1 - 2Juarez
Mazatlan1 - 1Necaxa
Mazatlan2 - 2America
Mazatlan2 - 2S. Laguna
Mazatlan2 - 1A. San Luis
Mazatlan1 - 1Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 4Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan2 - 2Tigres
Mazatlan2 - 2Tijuana
Mazatlan2 - 1Puebla
Mazatlan0 - 2Tijuana
Mazatlan1 - 1Guadalajara
Mazatlan3 - 2Atlas
Mazatlan1 - 1Cruz Azul
Mazatlan1 - 0Monterrey
Mazatlan1 - 1S. Laguna
Mazatlan1 - 2Leon
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMazatlan1 - 4A. San Luis
HMazatlan1 - 0Pachuca
AMazatlan1 - 1Tijuana
AMazatlan2 - 1S. Laguna
HMazatlan1 - 2Guadalajara
AMazatlan0 - 1Atlas
HMazatlan1 - 5Monterrey
AMazatlan1 - 2Puebla
HMazatlan1 - 2Juarez
HMazatlan1 - 1Necaxa
AMazatlan0 - 1Queretaro
HMazatlan2 - 2America
HMazatlan2 - 2S. Laguna
AMazatlan0 - 2Guadalajara
HMazatlan2 - 1A. San Luis
AMazatlan1 - 3Toluca
AMazatlan2 - 2Leon
HMazatlan1 - 1Atlas
HMazatlan1 - 4Pumas UNAM
AMazatlan0 - 1Juarez
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey1 - 0Leon
Queretaro2 - 0Leon
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
S. Laguna2 - 1Leon
America1 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Leon have not lost to Mazatlan in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mazatlan since 2021
Mazatlan
Leon
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
MAZ
1
D
1
LEO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
1 - 2Leon
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Leon
1 - 2Leon
Mazatlan4 - 3
League games at Leon since 2020
Leon
Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
9
7
Games: Scored
4 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
2 / 6
MAZ
1
D
2
LEO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leon2 - 1
0 - 3Mazatlan
Leon3 - 0
Leon2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Mazatlán have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Liga MX outings. Their PG of 1.5 against León on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Mazatlan 16th Leon 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Mazatlan will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Mazatlan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-40
Leon have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Mazatlan
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
14%
better
MAZ
LEO
view stats
Games scored20
16
Failed to score6
9
Scored first7
8
Goals scored29
23
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for14
10
Avg. XG for1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+14%
Defence rating
MAZ
LEO
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
21
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first18
16
Goals conceded47
42
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded12
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
13%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+14%

Mazatlan v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27637
F AlmadaF AlmadaM LaínezL Merolla
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Rodríguez GLK10
1
-
F Almada DEF2761
3
-
L Merolla DEF212
7
-
J Vázquez DEF171
6
-
Y Bárcenas MID2321
3
-
S Santos MID61
2
1
S. Godínez MID7
1
-
M Zaleta MID2022
2
-
Dudu FWD2212
1
1
J. Ovalle Aranda FWD53
1
-
B Rubio FWD82
2
-
Subs
V. Alcaráz Díaz GLK
-
J Esquivel DEF1811
4
-
?. Leyva DEF13
3
1
B Arce MID2
-
M Laínez MID223
4
-
Ángel Saavedra MID121
2
-
J Casiano FWD
-
F Gomes FWD163
2
-
G López FWD61
-
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD91
2
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
257310
R EcheverríaI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O García GLK21
1
-
S Chávez DEF242
5
-
S Barreiro DEF24
9
1
S Vegas DEF8
3
1
D Ramírez DEF18
2
-
J Cortizo MID201
4
-
R Echeverría MID25
6
-
F Beltran MID2312
3
-
I Díaz FWD1972
-
D Cambindo FWD95
1
-
I Moreno FWD2513
3
-
Subs
J. García Bonnet GLK2
1
-
A Villegas DEF2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF8
1
1
J Domínguez MID911
-
D Arcila MID132
2
-
?. Estrada Meza MID10
-
I Rodríguez MID8
2
-
A Alvarado FWD1
-
J Vallejo FWD5
-
R Mori FWD191
1
-