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Mazatlán v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán), Mazatlán

Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola welcomes Fernando Rubén Gago to the Estadio de Mazatlán (Mazatlán) on Saturday morning, as their Mazatlán and Necaxa sides go head to head in the Liga MX. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. The best odds are included as well.

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The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Mazatlan and Necaxa was on Saturday 8th November 2025

Mexican Liga MX

November 8th 2025

Mazatlan 1	1 Necaxa

F. Gomes Netto 45'	90' R. Monreal Morales

	MAZ NEC
Shots On	2 5
Shots Off	3 10
Corners	4 14
Possession	31% 69%
Fouls	3 16
Yellow/red cards	5/1 3/0

Mazatlan	Necaxa

R. Gutiérrez Hernández F. Almada R. Meraz Bernal E. Bárcenas Herrera (M. Zaleta 35') B. Colula Alarcón L. Merolla (J. Díaz Vázquez 35') ?. Leyva J. Esquivel Martínez (C. Castro Ramírez 71') J. Sierra Flores (S. Fierro González 86') M. Laínez Leyva F. Gomes Netto (A. Duarte da Silva 86')	(J. Rojas Echavarría 79') A. Oliveros Cano T. Jacob A. Palavecino Lamela K. Ante Rosero T. Badaloni L. Unsain C. Calderón Del Real (P. Uriel Perez Hernandez 66') F. Rossano Erchuk (R. Monreal Morales 66') E. Lara Contreras J. Rodríguez Rebollar D. Cambindo Abonia

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Liga MX showdown is going to be entertaining, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As neither side is a nailed-on winner given their recent form, we're going with the stats and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point strongly towards a tip of over 2.5 goals.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mazatlan 46%	41/20 6%	19/10
Draw 21%	5/2 3%	5/2
Necaxa 33%	23/20 5%	21/20
Mazatlan 2-1 8%	11/1	9/1
Draw 1-1 8%	6/1 7%	6/1
Draw 2-2 7%	10/1 9%	9/1
Necaxa 2-1 7%	8/1 5%	7/1
Mazatlan 3-1 6%	20/1 10%	16/1
Mazatlan 2-0 5%	18/1	14/1
Mazatlan 3-2 5%	25/1 13%	16/1
Mazatlan 1-0 5%	14/1 13%	10/1
Necaxa 3-2 4%	20/1	14/1
Necaxa 1-0 4%	10/1 17%	8/1
Necaxa 3-1 4%	14/1	11/1
Necaxa 2-0 3%	12/1 8%	10/1
Mazatlan 3-0 3%	33/1	22/1
Mazatlan 4-1 3%	40/1	28/1
Draw 3-3 3%	33/1 21%	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 72%	3/5 6%	8/15
Under 2.5 Goals 28%	13/10 6%	6/5
Home 1st Goal 51%	21/20 5%	23/20
Away 1st Goal 48%	8/11 4%	4/5
No 1st Goal 1%	14/1 21%	12/1
BTTS - Yes 71%	1/2 6%	8/15
BTTS - No 29%	6/4 10%	11/8
BTTS - Home Win 30%	4/1 5%	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 22%	11/4 4%	5/2
Home/draw 67%	4/6 2%	7/10
Away/draw 54%	4/11 3%	4/11
Home/away 79%	2/7	1/4
Over 1.5 Goals 89%	1/6 4%	2/13
Under 1.5 Goals 11%	4/1 18%	10/3
Over 3.5 Goals 52%	11/8 11%	13/10
Under 3.5 Goals 48%	8/15 4%	1/2
Over 4.5 Goals 32%	10/3 13%	29/10
Under 4.5 Goals 68%	1/5 3%	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 18%	8/1 25%	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 82%	1/14 2%	1/18
Over 0.5 Goals 98%	1/33 1%	1/100
Under 0.5 Goals 2%	14/1 21%	10/1
Home DNB 61%	5/4 2%	5/4
Away DNB 48%	4/7 3%	4/7
Mazatlan win to nil 16%	6/1	-
Necaxa win to nil 11%	7/2 13%	-
Mazatlan / Mazatlan 16%	15/4 11%	19/5
Mazatlan / Necaxa 4%	20/1	16/1
Mazatlan / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Mazatlan 11%	13/2 7%	6/1
Draw / Necaxa 15%	5/1 8%	17/4
Draw / Draw 14%	11/2 8%	19/4
Necaxa / Mazatlan 3%	25/1 13%	22/1
Necaxa / Necaxa 24%	5/2 3%	9/4
Necaxa / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mazatlan	2 - 2	America
Mazatlan	2 - 2	S. Laguna
Mazatlan	2 - 1	A. San Luis
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Atlas
Mazatlan	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Guadalajara
Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
Mazatlan	1 - 0	Monterrey
Mazatlan	1 - 1	S. Laguna
Mazatlan	1 - 2	Leon
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Toluca
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Juarez
Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Mazatlan	0 - 5	America
Mazatlan	2 - 0	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Queretaro
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	America
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	S. Laguna
A	Mazatlan	0 - 2	Guadalajara
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Mazatlan	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Leon
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Atlas
H	Mazatlan	1 - 4	Pumas UNAM
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Juarez
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tigres
A	Mazatlan	2 - 3	Monterrey
H	Mazatlan	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Mazatlan	0 - 1	Pachuca
H	Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
A	Mazatlan	0 - 0	Cruz Azul
A	Mazatlan	0 - 5	America
H	Mazatlan	0 - 2	Tijuana
H	Mazatlan	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Mazatlan	1 - 2	A. San Luis

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis	3 - 4	Necaxa
Tigres	5 - 3	Necaxa
Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	3 - 1	Necaxa
Tijuana	3 - 0	Necaxa
Monterrey	3 - 0	Necaxa
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Tigres	2 - 2	Necaxa
Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
Juarez	2 - 2	Necaxa
Tijuana	1 - 2	Necaxa
Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa
Atlas	0 - 4	Necaxa
America	2 - 3	Necaxa
Monterrey	1 - 0	Necaxa
A. San Luis	0 - 3	Necaxa
Pumas UNAM	2 - 1	Necaxa
Pachuca	6 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	3 - 2	Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	4 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	3 - 5	Tigres
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	2 - 3	Atlas
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Guadalajara
H	Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Juarez
A	Necaxa	0 - 3	Tijuana
A	Necaxa	0 - 3	Monterrey
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Leon
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	America
H	Necaxa	3 - 1	Queretaro
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Toluca
A	Necaxa	2 - 2	Tigres
H	Necaxa	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
A	Necaxa	2 - 2	Juarez

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Mazatlan

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

3 / 5

MAZ

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mazatlan
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mazatlan	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Necaxa
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mazatlan	3 - 2

Necaxa

Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

0 / 5

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa	3 - 1
Necaxa	4 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Necaxa	2 - 1
Necaxa	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Necaxa's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Mazatlán have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.5 for Fernando Rubén Gago's side suggests that run should continue.

	Mazatlan 16th	Necaxa 13th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.0 goals	1.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 61% probability that Mazatlan will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 9% There is a 82% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-6 Mazatlan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+44 Necaxa have scored 44% more goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	2.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

MAZ

NEC

better

view stats

Games scored	11		12
Failed to score	5		4
Scored first	5		5
Goals scored	19		23
Avg. goals scored	1.2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	8		12
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.4
KickOff rating		+4%

better

MAZ

NEC

view stats

Games conceded	15		15
Clean sheets	1		1
Conceded first	10		11
Goals conceded	28		31
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		5
Conversion rate against	15%		19%
Avg. XG against	2		1.6
KickOff rating		+9%

Mazatlan v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	3	2	5
R Gutiérrez	F Almada	L Merolla	L Merolla

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Gutiérrez GLK	17			2 -
?. Leyva DEF	9			2 1
F Almada DEF	17	3		2 -
L Merolla DEF	13		2	5 -
B Colula MID	16	2		4 1
J Esquivel MID	15	1	1	3 -
R Meraz MID	12	1		2 -
M Laínez MID	14		2	4 -
Y Bárcenas FWD	13			1 -
F Gomes FWD	13	3		2 -
J Sierra FWD	14	2		2 -
Subs
V. Alcaráz Díaz GLK				-
J García DEF	6			-
J Vázquez DEF	8			2 -
C. Castro Ramírez DEF	1			-
S González MID				-
M Zaleta MID	10	1		1 -
A Torres MID	4			-
A Duarte FWD	13	2		3 -
J Casiano FWD				-
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	2	2
F Almada	F Gomes	L Merolla	L Merolla

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Almada DEF	3	5
F Gomes FWD	3	8		2
B Colula MID	2	4		2
J Sierra FWD	2	4		1
Subs
A Duarte FWD	2	5		2
J Esquivel MID	1	2	1	1
R Meraz MID	1	2
Subs
M Zaleta MID	1	2
?. Leyva DEF		1
L Merolla DEF		1	2	2
M Laínez MID		1	2	1
Y Bárcenas FWD		4		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
800	29	60
F Almada	B Colula	F Almada

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
F Almada DEF	800	22	60
B Colula MID	514	29	59
R Gutiérrez GLK	481	2	8
J Sierra FWD	390	21	50
J Esquivel MID	365	29	49
L Merolla DEF	338	18	45
Y Bárcenas FWD	317	11	37
?. Leyva DEF	233	6	29
R Meraz MID	225	18	27
M Laínez MID	221	17	37
Subs
M Zaleta MID	191	17	37
F Gomes FWD	156	1	48
Subs
J Vázquez DEF	155	10	17
A Duarte FWD	122	9	38
A Torres MID	58	1	2
J García DEF	54	5	8
C. Castro Ramírez DEF	2	1	3
A. Ben Rhouma Torres FWD	1

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
17	6	2	7
E Unsain	D Cambindo	K Rosero	I Rodríguez

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Unsain GLK	17			2 -
K Rosero DEF	17	2	2	3 -
E Lara DEF	6			1 -
A Oliveros DEF	7			-
C Calderón DEF	14	1	1	4 -
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	15		1	2 -
T Jacob MID	14	1		1 -
I Rodríguez MID				-
A Palavecino MID	16	2	2	5 -
T Badaloni FWD	17	3	1	1 -
D Cambindo FWD	14	6	2	4 1
Subs
L. Jiménez González GLK				1
E González DEF	5			-
A Peña DEF	13			-
P Pérez MID	17	2	1	-
R Pineda MID	8			1 -
A Rivera MID	5			2 -
D Buen MID	13	1	1	3 -
R Sánchez FWD	10			2 -
J Rojas FWD				-
R Monreal FWD	15	2	1	2 1

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	17	2	6
D Cambindo	A Palavecino	K Rosero	A Palavecino

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Cambindo FWD	6	16	2	1
T Badaloni FWD	3	10	1	6
K Rosero DEF	2	8	2	3
A Palavecino MID	2	17	2	6
Subs
P Pérez MID	2	4	1	2
R Monreal FWD	2	4	1	1
C Calderón DEF	1	3	1	2
T Jacob MID	1	1
Subs
D Buen MID	1	8	1	3
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF		4	1	3
Subs
E González DEF				1
A Peña DEF		1
R Pineda MID		1
A Rivera MID		2
R Sánchez FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
945	37	81
A Palavecino	A Palavecino	A Palavecino

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
A Palavecino MID	945	37	81
Subs
A Peña DEF	549	8	33
C Calderón DEF	541	24	51
K Rosero DEF	499	20	59
E Unsain GLK	492		7
Subs
D Buen MID	433	17	41
T Jacob MID	393	35	59
A Oliveros DEF	353	3	21
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	258	22	64
Subs
P Pérez MID	242	20	60
E Lara DEF	207	10	18
T Badaloni FWD	181	3	60
Subs
R Monreal FWD	174	13	42
D Cambindo FWD	132	5	51
Subs
R Sánchez FWD	83	11	20
E González DEF	78	4	6
R Pineda MID	62	3	6
A Rivera MID	33	3	4

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

Mazatlán v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mazatlan v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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