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Monterrey v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 01:00 BST, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe

Domènec Torrent Font welcomes Marcos Ignacio Ambriz Espinoza to the Estadio BBVA Bancomer on Sunday morning, as their Monterrey and León sides meet in the Liga MX. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Monterrey to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated statistics regarding both teams ahead of this Liga MX fixture, a bet on win / draw / win for Monterrey to win in front of their own fans is our recommendation. We predict they will be too strong for Leon, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have the pedigree to do so. It may not all be plain sailing, but Monterrey winning is the bet come Sunday morning.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monterrey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monterrey
64%
8/158/15
Draw
22%
16/53/1
Leon
14%
5/119/5
Monterrey 1-0
14%
8/17/1
Monterrey 2-0
13%
15/27/1
Draw 1-1
10%
7/17/1
Monterrey 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Monterrey 3-0
8%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
7%
14/114/1
Monterrey 3-1
6%
11/110/1
Leon 1-0
5%
18/114/1
Leon 2-1
4%
16/114/1
Monterrey 4-0
4%
20/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Monterrey 4-1
3%
20/116/1
Monterrey 3-2
2%
20/118/1
Leon 2-0
2%
33/122/1
Monterrey 5-0
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
4/78/15
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
27/205/4
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/2
4%
4/9
Away 1st Goal
36%
13/8
4%
19/10
No 1st Goal
5%
14/114/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
4/64/6
BTTS - No
55%
11/1011/10
BTTS - Home Win
24%
2/119/10
BTTS - Draw
14%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
17/27/1
Home/draw
86%
1/81/6
Away/draw
36%
13/1011/8
Home/away
78%
2/91/5
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/62/13
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
4/110/3
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/813/10
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
8/151/2
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
10/329/10
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/51/5
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/141/16
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/331/150
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
14/111/1
Home DNB
79%
1/52/9
Away DNB
29%
10/329/10
Monterrey win to nil
40%
2/1
9%
-
Leon win to nil
8%
10/1-
Monterrey / Monterrey
36%
13/105/4
Monterrey / Leon
2%
33/133/1
Monterrey / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Monterrey
18%
7/219/5
Draw / Leon
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/16/1
Leon / Monterrey
4%
18/118/1
Leon / Leon
10%
8/113/2
Leon / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win form
9
Leon have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
Monterrey 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey2 - 2Tijuana
Monterrey0 - 1Toluca
Monterrey1 - 0Toluca
Monterrey2 - 0America
Monterrey1 - 1Tigres
Monterrey4 - 2Juarez
Monterrey1 - 1Pumas UNAM
Monterrey1 - 0S. Laguna
Monterrey2 - 2America
Monterrey3 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey3 - 2Mazatlan
Monterrey3 - 1Atlas
Monterrey3 - 2Toluca
Monterrey2 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey1 - 2Pachuca
Monterrey1 - 0America
Monterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
Monterrey1 - 2Tijuana
Monterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
Monterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonterrey0 - 1America
HMonterrey2 - 2Tijuana
AMonterrey5 - 1Mazatlan
AMonterrey2 - 0Necaxa
HMonterrey0 - 1Toluca
AMonterrey2 - 3Toluca
HMonterrey1 - 0Toluca
AMonterrey1 - 2America
HMonterrey2 - 0America
AMonterrey2 - 4Guadalajara
HMonterrey1 - 1Tigres
AMonterrey0 - 2Cruz Azul
HMonterrey4 - 2Juarez
HMonterrey1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AMonterrey2 - 2Tijuana
HMonterrey1 - 0S. Laguna
AMonterrey2 - 6Toluca
HMonterrey2 - 2America
AMonterrey1 - 0Queretaro
AMonterrey4 - 2Puebla
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Away
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro2 - 0Leon
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
S. Laguna2 - 1Leon
America1 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Mazatlan1 - 2Leon
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
ALeon1 - 0Necaxa
HLeon1 - 3Monterrey
ALeon1 - 4Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Monterrey have beaten Leon in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Monterrey since 2019
Monterrey
Leon
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
MON
4
D
2
LEO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
Monterrey2 - 1
Monterrey3 - 1
Monterrey5 - 1
0 - 1Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Monterrey3 - 2
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Leon since 2018
Leon
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
8
9
Games: Scored
5 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
3 / 8
MON
3
D
2
LEO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
1 - 3Monterrey
0 - 2Monterrey
Leon2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leon1 - 0
Leon3 - 1
0 - 2Monterrey
Goal Statistics

Monterrey's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because León have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga MX games. A PG of 1.9 for D. Torrent Font's side suggests that run should continue.

Monterrey 9th Leon 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Leon scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Monterrey’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-34
Leon have scored 34% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.1
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Monterrey
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
42%
better
MON
LEO
view stats
Games scored22
14
Failed to score4
8
Scored first13
7
Goals scored48
19
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
9
Avg. XG for1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
6%
better
MON
LEO
view stats
Games conceded19
18
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded39
39
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+6%

Monterrey v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231167
Óliver TorresS CanalesÓliver TorresJ Rodríguez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Arteaga DEF2411
1
-
Óliver Torres MID2416
4
1
S Medina DEF23
3
-
J Rodríguez MID231
5
2
S Canales MID23115
3
-
F Ambríz MID222
1
-
Tecatito FWD2123
3
-
R Chávez DEF2011
6
1
L Ocampos FWD1856
5
-
V Guzmán DEF161
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID162
1
-
A Martial FWD1612
-
S Mele GLK15
2
-
Érick Aguirre DEF151
1
-
R Rosa FWD1421
-
L Reyes DEF131
1
-
L Cárdenas GLK11
-
J. Moxica Chapa FWD81
-
C Salcedo DEF6
1
-
A Aceves DEF5
-
M Rodríguez FWD4
-
L Orellano FWD21
-
U Djurdjevic FWD1
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21639
S ChávezI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Chávez DEF212
4
-
I Moreno DEF2113
2
-
R Echeverría MID21
6
-
S Barreiro DEF20
8
1
F Beltran MID2012
3
-
O García GLK19
1
-
J Cortizo FWD18
4
-
A Alvarado FWD162
1
-
I Díaz FWD1661
-
R Mori FWD151
1
-
D Ramírez DEF14
2
-
M Rodriguez FWD14
-
?. Estrada Meza MID10
-
D Arcila MID91
1
-
P Bellón DEF8
2
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF7
1
1
B Colula DEF511
1
-
S Vegas DEF5
2
1
I Rodríguez MID5
1
-
D Cambindo FWD52
1
-
J Domínguez FWD5
-
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
O Villa DEF1
-
J Vallejo FWD1
-
G. García Bernal FWD1
-