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Monterrey v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 22nd Apr, 04:00 BST, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe

Rolando Hernán Cristante Mandarino guides his Puebla team to the Estadio BBVA Bancomer in the Liga MX on Wednesday morning, with Domènec Torrent Font's Monterrey their challengers. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is published below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 77% probability of Monterrey and Puebla serving up at least two goals in this Liga MX match. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.17.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monterrey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Monterrey 52%	49/100	1/2
Draw 24%	10/3	16/5
Puebla 24%	4/1	18/5
Draw 1-1 11%	15/2	7/1
Monterrey 1-0 10%	8/1	7/1
Monterrey 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Monterrey 2-0 9%	15/2	13/2
Puebla 1-0 7%	16/1	12/1
Puebla 2-1 6%	16/1	12/1
Draw 0-0 6%	16/1	12/1
Monterrey 3-1 6%	10/1	9/1
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	11/1
Monterrey 3-0 5%	11/1	9/1
Puebla 2-0 4%	28/1	20/1
Monterrey 3-2 3%	20/1	16/1
Monterrey 4-1 2%	20/1	14/1
Puebla 3-1 2%	40/1	25/1
Monterrey 4-0 2%	20/1	14/1
Over 2.5 Goals 53%	4/7	8/15
Under 2.5 Goals 47%	27/20	5/4
Home 1st Goal 53%	4/9	4/9
Away 1st Goal 43%	13/8	19/10
No 1st Goal 4%	16/1	12/1
BTTS - Yes 54%	4/6	4/6
BTTS - No 46%	11/10	21/20
BTTS - Home Win 24%	2/1	19/10
BTTS - Draw 18%	9/2	4/1
BTTS - Away Win 12%	15/2	7/1
Home/draw 76%	1/6	2/13
Away/draw 48%	11/8	11/8
Home/away 76%	1/5	1/5
Over 1.5 Goals 77%	1/6	2/13
Under 1.5 Goals 23%	4/1	10/3
Over 3.5 Goals 31%	11/8	13/10
Under 3.5 Goals 69%	8/15	1/2
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	10/3	29/10
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/5	2/11
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	8/1	6/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/14	1/18
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/40	1/150
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	16/1	11/1
Home DNB 69%	2/9	2/9
Away DNB 41%	3/1	29/10
Monterrey win to nil 28%	7/4	-
Puebla win to nil 12%	10/1	-
Monterrey / Monterrey 36%	13/10	6/5
Monterrey / Puebla 3%	33/1	28/1
Monterrey / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1
Draw / Monterrey 18%	7/2	18/5
Draw / Puebla 7%	11/1	10/1
Draw / Draw 12%	6/1	11/2
Puebla / Monterrey 4%	18/1	16/1
Puebla / Puebla 10%	8/1	13/2
Puebla / Draw 5%	16/1	12/1

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey	1 - 2	A. San Luis
Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
Monterrey	4 - 0	Queretaro
Monterrey	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
Monterrey	1 - 0	Leon
Monterrey	2 - 2	Tijuana
Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
Monterrey	1 - 0	Toluca
Monterrey	2 - 0	America
Monterrey	1 - 1	Tigres
Monterrey	4 - 2	Juarez
Monterrey	1 - 1	Pumas UNAM
Monterrey	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Monterrey	2 - 2	America
Monterrey	3 - 0	Necaxa
Monterrey	3 - 2	Mazatlan
Monterrey	3 - 1	Atlas
Monterrey	3 - 2	Toluca
Monterrey	2 - 0	Pumas UNAM
Monterrey	1 - 2	Pachuca

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Monterrey	0 - 0	Atlas
H	Monterrey	1 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Monterrey	2 - 3	Guadalajara
A	Monterrey	2 - 2	Juarez
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	Tigres
H	Monterrey	4 - 0	Queretaro
H	Monterrey	0 - 2	Cruz Azul
A	Monterrey	0 - 2	Pumas UNAM
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	Leon
A	Monterrey	0 - 1	America
H	Monterrey	2 - 2	Tijuana
A	Monterrey	5 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Monterrey	2 - 0	Necaxa
H	Monterrey	0 - 1	Toluca
A	Monterrey	2 - 3	Toluca
H	Monterrey	1 - 0	Toluca
A	Monterrey	1 - 2	America
H	Monterrey	2 - 0	America
A	Monterrey	2 - 4	Guadalajara
H	Monterrey	1 - 1	Tigres

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Laguna	2 - 1	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla
A. San Luis	0 - 1	Puebla
Tijuana	0 - 0	Puebla
Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Puebla
Atlas	1 - 0	Puebla
Leon	1 - 2	Puebla
Juarez	4 - 4	Puebla
America	2 - 1	Puebla
Queretaro	3 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
Toluca	3 - 1	Puebla
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Puebla
Tigres	7 - 0	Puebla
Mazatlan	2 - 1	Puebla
Guadalajara	1 - 0	Puebla
Leon	1 - 0	Puebla
Juarez	2 - 0	Puebla
Queretaro	2 - 0	Puebla
Pachuca	2 - 1	Puebla

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	1 - 1	Juarez
A	Puebla	1 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Necaxa
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
A	Puebla	1 - 0	A. San Luis
H	Puebla	0 - 4	America
H	Puebla	2 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 0	Tijuana
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Puebla	2 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Atlas
A	Puebla	2 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Puebla	4 - 4	Juarez
A	Puebla	1 - 2	America
H	Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
A	Puebla	1 - 3	Queretaro

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Monterrey have not lost to Puebla in 8 consecutive home league meetings

Monterrey

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 8

5 / 8

Clean sheets

3 / 8

1 / 8

MON

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Monterrey	2 - 0
Monterrey	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Monterrey	3 - 1
Monterrey	3 - 2
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Puebla

Monterrey

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

1 / 7

MON

PUE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
	2 - 4	Monterrey
	1 - 2	Monterrey
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Monterrey
Puebla	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Puebla	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Puebla of late. It has been 5 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Wednesday morning against Monterrey.

	Monterrey 13th	Puebla 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 18% 1 31% 2 26% 3 15% 4+ 10% There is a 82% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	=0 Monterrey’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-32 Puebla have scored 32% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.9 average goals scored	0.7 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

33%

better

MON

PUE

view stats

Games scored	27		18
Failed to score	8		13
Scored first	17		10
Goals scored	58		32
Avg. goals scored	1.7		1
Avg. shots per game	11		10
Avg. shots per goal	7		10
Conversion rate for	15		10
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.1
KickOff rating		+33%

13%

better

MON

PUE

view stats

Games conceded	25		25
Clean sheets	10		6
Conceded first	17		17
Goals conceded	51		59
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	15%		18%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.5
KickOff rating		+13%

Monterrey v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	13	8	8
Óliver Torres	S Canales	Óliver Torres	R Chávez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Arteaga DEF	32	1	1	3 -
Óliver Torres MID	31	1	8	6 1
S Canales MID	30	13	6	3 -
J Rodríguez MID	29	1		5 2
R Chávez DEF	28	2	2	7 1
Tecatito FWD	28	4	4	4 -
S Medina DEF	27			3 -
F Ambríz MID	27	2		1 -
L Ocampos FWD	25	5	6	5 -
V Guzmán DEF	24	1		1 1
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	22	2		1 -
L Cárdenas GLK	20			-
R Rosa FWD	19	2	1	-
L Reyes DEF	18		1	1 -
Érick Aguirre DEF	17		1	2 -
A Martial FWD	17	1	2	-
S Mele GLK	15			2 -
C Salcedo DEF	12			3 -
A Aceves DEF	11			-
L Orellano FWD	11	3	4	1 -
U Djurdjevic FWD	10	3		-
J. Moxica Chapa FWD	10	1		-
Allen Rojas MID	3			-
C Hernández DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	35	8	8
S Canales	S Canales	Óliver Torres	Óliver Torres

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Canales MID	13	35	6	5
L Ocampos FWD	5	18	6	4
Tecatito FWD	4	11	4	5
L Orellano FWD	3	12	4	2
U Djurdjevic FWD	3	10
R Chávez DEF	2	5	2	3
F Ambríz MID	2	8		2
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	2	8		3
R Rosa FWD	2	7	1	1
G Arteaga DEF	1	5	1	4
Óliver Torres MID	1	5	8	8
J Rodríguez MID	1	5		1
V Guzmán DEF	1	3		2
A Martial FWD	1	2	2	3
J. Moxica Chapa FWD	1	4
S Medina DEF		2
L Reyes DEF		1	1	1
Érick Aguirre DEF		2	1
C Salcedo DEF		1
Allen Rojas MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1504	57	135
Óliver Torres	Óliver Torres	R Chávez

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
Óliver Torres MID	1504	57	108
S Canales MID	1372	18	102
S Medina DEF	1267	32	82
J Rodríguez MID	1139	53	105
G Arteaga DEF	1054	35	86
V Guzmán DEF	987	24	76
F Ambríz MID	944	47	80
R Chávez DEF	901	54	135
L Cárdenas GLK	776	1	3
L Reyes DEF	642	13	37
Tecatito FWD	613	13	77
A Aceves DEF	609	20	41
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID	554	18	39
L Ocampos FWD	534	24	102
C Salcedo DEF	515	7	22
Érick Aguirre DEF	443	21	47
S Mele GLK	420		5
L Orellano FWD	303	5	47
A Martial FWD	226	6	46
R Rosa FWD	140	2	16
U Djurdjevic FWD	99	2	25
Allen Rojas MID	62	2	4
C Hernández DEF	32		3
J. Moxica Chapa FWD	27	1	10

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	7	5	12
E Gómez	E Gómez	E Gómez	N Huincales

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Orozco MID	31	1	1	4 -
E Gómez FWD	30	7	5	1 -
N Huincales DEF	26		1	10 2
E Solana FWD	25	3		2 -
L Mejía DEF	24	2		3 -
E Guerra FWD	23	4	2	6 -
E. Navarro DEF	22			6 -
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	22	1	3	5 1
C Baltazar MID	21	4	3	-
J Martinez DEF	19	1	1	2 1
I Moreno DEF	18	1		2 -
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	17	1		-
M Pérez MID	16			-
B Garnica FWD	15		1	-
R Gutiérrez GLK	14			4 -
A. Gamarra MID	14			3 1
K Velasco FWD	13		3	2 -
A Jiménez MID	12			4 -
J González GLK	11			1 -
J Vargas DEF	11	1		-
Ángelo Araos MID	9	1		-
R Castillo MID	9			2 1
J Rodríguez GLK	7			1 -
I Puch FWD	4			1 -
E Torres FWD	3			-
U. Torres Méndez DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	21	5	6
E Gómez	E Gómez	E Gómez	E Gómez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gómez FWD	7	21	5	6
E Guerra FWD	4	20	2	3
C Baltazar MID	4	12	3	4
E Solana FWD	3	10
L Mejía DEF	2	5		1
A Orozco MID	1	8	1	4
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	1	5	3	5
J Martinez DEF	1	3	1	1
I Moreno DEF	1	2
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	1	11		2
J Vargas DEF	1	1		1
Ángelo Araos MID	1	2
N Huincales DEF		2	1	1
E. Navarro DEF		2
M Pérez MID		2		1
B Garnica FWD		1	1	1
A. Gamarra MID		2
K Velasco FWD		6	3	4
A Jiménez MID		1		1
R Castillo MID		5
E Torres FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1324	57	150
N Huincales	N Huincales	N Huincales

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Huincales DEF	1324	57	150
A Orozco MID	891	48	103
L Mejía DEF	863	38	76
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	649	32	71
E. Navarro DEF	584	33	80
E Gómez FWD	562	9	102
J Martinez DEF	519	23	52
I Moreno DEF	504	25	41
E Guerra FWD	444	30	90
J Vargas DEF	428	10	37
K Velasco FWD	382	11	61
R Gutiérrez GLK	377	2	6
A. Gamarra MID	346	29	63
M Pérez MID	322	21	42
C Baltazar MID	277	15	71
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	266	11	39
J González GLK	261		3
A Jiménez MID	249	25	46
E Solana FWD	209	13	101
J Rodríguez GLK	184
R Castillo MID	140	4	12
B Garnica FWD	118	13	31
Ángelo Araos MID	102	3	9
U. Torres Méndez DEF	34	4	5
I Puch FWD	19		6
E Torres FWD	8		3