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Pachuca v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Wednesday morning at the Estadio Hidalgo, and it’s a Liga MX clash between Pachuca and León. Jaime Arturo Lozano Espin and Manuel Eduardo Berizzo will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. Analysing both sides' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Pachuca's next match is v Queretaro at 23:00 on Sunday 1st February
León's next match is v Tigres at 01:00 on Sunday 1st February
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Pachuca and Leon was on Wednesday 14th January 2026
Mexican Liga MX
January 14th 2026
Pachuca 2
1 Leon
 
O. Idrissi 45'84' R. Funes Mori
J. Rondón Giménez 69'
 
PAC
LEO
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
4
6
Corners
4
6
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
8
4
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
PachucaLeon
 
S. Barreto
E. dos Santos Bauermann
B. García Carpizo
O. Idrissifootball icon (L. Quiñónes 79')
C. Rivera Cuéllar
C. Moreno
A. Mozo Rodríguez
A. Bautista Gutiérrez (V. Guzmán Guzmán 67')
E. Montiel (P. Pedraza Reyna 87')
R. Nunes do Nascimento (A. Domínguez Figueroa 46')
J. Cádiz Fernández (J. Rondón Giménez 67')
O. García
(J. Ramírez García 85') B. Colula Alarcón
S. Vegas Orellana
J. Barreiro Solis
(R. Funes Mori 70') F. Beltrán Cruz
R. Echeverría Sáez
(I. Moreno Füguemann 65') J. Domínguez Chonteco
(J. Cortizo de la Piedra 65') I. Díaz De León
(Miguel Rodriguez 85') S. Reyes Chávez
J. Rodríguez Rebollar
D. Cambindo Abonia

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that there's minimal chance that this fixture will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics align with KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Pachuca and Leon haven't typically served up goal-fests of late, whether that be in Liga MX individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pachuca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
58%
79/1008/11
Draw
24%
13/512/5
Leon
18%
7/23/1
Pachuca 1-0
14%
7/16/1
Pachuca 2-0
12%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Pachuca 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
8%
10/19/1
Leon 1-0
7%
12/110/1
Pachuca 3-0
7%
14/111/1
Pachuca 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Leon 2-1
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/111/1
Leon 2-0
3%
22/116/1
Pachuca 4-0
3%
28/118/1
Pachuca 4-1
2%
28/118/1
Pachuca 3-2
2%
22/116/1
Leon 3-1
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
4/58/11
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
1/110/11
Home 1st Goal
56%
8/134/7
Away 1st Goal
38%
6/413/8
No 1st Goal
6%
10/19/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
7/108/11
BTTS - No
55%
21/201/1
BTTS - Home Win
22%
13/512/5
BTTS - Draw
16%
7/27/2
BTTS - Away Win
8%
7/113/2
Home/draw
82%
2/111/5
Away/draw
42%
10/111/1
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/42/9
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
2/17/4
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/71/8
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/251/40
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/40
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/18/1
Home DNB
75%
1/33/10
Away DNB
35%
9/411/5
Pachuca win to nil
36%
9/4-
Leon win to nil
10%
7/1-
Pachuca / Pachuca
30%
15/813/8
Pachuca / Leon
3%
33/125/1
Pachuca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Pachuca
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Leon
9%
8/18/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Leon / Pachuca
4%
20/118/1
Leon / Leon
11%
6/111/2
Leon / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Pachuca 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
Pachuca1 - 2Tigres
Pachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca0 - 2Queretaro
Pachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
Pachuca3 - 0Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca0 - 0Tigres
Pachuca1 - 0America
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Pachuca0 - 0Atlas
Pachuca2 - 1S. Laguna
Pachuca0 - 1Juarez
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
APachuca1 - 2Juarez
HPachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca0 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
APachuca2 - 2Toluca
HPachuca1 - 2Tigres
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
APachuca1 - 0Necaxa
HPachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
APachuca2 - 2Puebla
HPachuca0 - 2Queretaro
HPachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
APachuca0 - 2America
APachuca1 - 1Leon
HPachuca0 - 2Tijuana
APachuca3 - 0Atlas
HPachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
APachuca3 - 2Pumas UNAM
HPachuca3 - 0Monterrey
Leon 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Queretaro1 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1Leon
S. Laguna2 - 1Leon
America1 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Pachuca1 - 2Leon
Mazatlan1 - 2Leon
Atlas1 - 2Leon
Monterrey2 - 1Leon
Toluca2 - 2Leon
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 2Puebla
ALeon0 - 2America
HLeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon0 - 2Atlas
ALeon0 - 2S. Laguna
HLeon2 - 4Toluca
ALeon0 - 2Juarez
HLeon2 - 2Mazatlan
ALeon0 - 5Tijuana
ALeon0 - 0Tigres
HLeon3 - 0Queretaro
HLeon1 - 1Pachuca
ALeon1 - 0Necaxa
HLeon1 - 3Monterrey
ALeon1 - 4Cruz Azul
HLeon1 - 0Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon1 - 2Cruz Azul
HLeon2 - 3Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Pachuca since 2018
Pachuca
Leon
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
PAC
3
D
1
LEO
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
1 - 2Leon
Pachuca3 - 2
Pachuca1 - 0
Pachuca4 - 0
0 - 1Leon
1 - 3Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
12
4
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
PAC
1
D
3
LEO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leon4 - 0
0 - 1Pachuca
Leon2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
Leon3 - 0
Leon2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Pachuca's fans will be hoping for goals on Wednesday morning, not least because León have conceded in each of their last 10 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.7 for J. Lozano Espin's side suggests that run should continue.

Pachuca 9th Leon 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
There is a 81% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Leon scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Pachuca have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Leon have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.7
0.8
Attack rating
15%
better
PAC
LEO
view stats
Games scored13
11
Failed to score7
7
Scored first7
6
Goals scored25
16
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate for11
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
3%
better
PAC
LEO
view stats
Games conceded16
14
Clean sheets4
4
Conceded first13
11
Goals conceded26
32
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
13
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%

Pachuca v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22448
C MorenoKenedyV GuzmánE Bauermann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK22
4
-
B García DEF19
1
E Bauermann DEF20
7
1
S Barreto DEF201
4
1
A Mozo DEF2
1
-
C Rivera MID3
1
-
A Gutiérrez MID2022
4
1
E Montiel MID1113
1
-
Kenedy MID184
1
-
O Idrissi MID1731
4
1
J Cádiz FWD
-
Subs
J Téllez GLK
-
J Berlanga DEF8
3
-
C. Sánchez Nava DEF12
3
-
P Reyna MID17
6
-
V Guzmán MID
-
L Quiñones FWD212
4
1
A Figueroa FWD1211
2
-
S Rondón FWD31
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19637
S ChávezI DíazI MorenoS Barreiro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O García GLK17
1
-
B Colula DEF311
-
S Barreiro DEF18
6
1
S Vegas DEF3
-
S Chávez DEF192
3
-
R Echeverría MID19
6
-
J Domínguez MID3
-
F Beltran MID1911
3
-
I Rodríguez MID3
1
-
I Díaz MID1561
-
D Cambindo FWD31
-
Subs
Óscar Jiménez GLK3
-
I Moreno DEF1913
2
-
A Villegas DEF
-
V. Gauthier Pereira Brasil DEF7
1
1
J Cortizo MID16
4
-
?. Estrada Meza MID10
-
D Ramírez MID12
2
-
M Rodriguez MID
-
R Mori FWD
-
A Alvarado FWD142
1
-