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Puebla v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 12th Jul, 02:00 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Ratko Dostanic welcomes Diego Javier De La Torre Muciño to the Estadio Cuauhtémoc on Saturday morning, as their Puebla and Atlas troops go head to head in the Liga MX. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga MX matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to win this match, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have no more than 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Puebla and Atlas have taken part in plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday morning, and the bookies have it priced at 1.29.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Puebla are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.63.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Puebla 38%	17/10 20%	29/20
Draw 26%	21/10 5%	21/10
Atlas 36%	9/5 15%	8/5
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	5/1
Puebla 1-0 10%	15/2 11%	13/2
Atlas 1-0 9%	8/1 25%	13/2
Puebla 2-1 8%	9/1 11%	8/1
Atlas 2-1 8%	10/1 8%	8/1
Draw 0-0 7%	8/1 25%	7/1
Puebla 2-0 7%	12/1 8%	10/1
Atlas 2-0 6%	12/1 24%	10/1
Draw 2-2 5%	12/1 8%	11/1
Puebla 3-1 4%	20/1 24%	14/1
Atlas 3-1 3%	22/1	16/1
Puebla 3-0 3%	25/1 24%	18/1
Atlas 3-0 3%	28/1 15%	18/1
Puebla 3-2 2%	28/1 26%	20/1
Atlas 3-2 2%	33/1 17%	20/1
Over 2.5 Goals 48%	21/20 14%	19/20
Under 2.5 Goals 52%	3/4 13%	7/10
Home 1st Goal 48%	10/11 10%	1/1
Away 1st Goal 47%	11/10 7%	21/20
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1 25%	7/1
BTTS - Yes 53%	3/4 8%	4/5
BTTS - No 47%	1/1 9%	10/11
BTTS - Home Win 18%	9/2 38%	19/5
BTTS - Draw 19%	3/1 8%	10/3
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	4/1
Home/draw 64%	2/5 5%	4/9
Away/draw 62%	4/9 14%	1/2
Home/away 74%	4/11 2%	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 73%	3/10 7%	3/10
Under 1.5 Goals 27%	12/5 15%	2/1
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	5/2 27%	23/10
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	2/7 8%	1/4
Over 4.5 Goals 12%	6/1 27%	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 88%	1/10 4%	1/12
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	16/1 55%	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/40 2%	1/100
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/16 3%	1/20
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	9/1 25%	13/2
Home DNB 56%	5/6 17%	4/5
Away DNB 54%	5/6 19%	10/11
Puebla win to nil 20%	7/2 4%	-
Atlas win to nil 19%	7/2 25%	-
Puebla / Puebla 19%	10/3 20%	3/1
Puebla / Atlas 3%	28/1	22/1
Puebla / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1
Draw / Puebla 14%	5/1 9%	19/4
Draw / Atlas 13%	5/1 14%	5/1
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 9%	18/5
Atlas / Puebla 3%	28/1 26%	20/1
Atlas / Atlas 19%	10/3 13%	16/5
Atlas / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1

Win / draw / win form

Puebla have lost 3 consecutive league games

Puebla have not won in 9 consecutive league games

Puebla have failed to score in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
Puebla	0 - 0	Tigres
Puebla	0 - 3	Toluca
Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
Puebla	1 - 2	America
Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
Puebla	1 - 2	A. San Luis
Puebla	1 - 0	Guadalajara
Puebla	1 - 2	Cruz Azul
Puebla	2 - 3	Juarez
Puebla	2 - 3	Pachuca
Puebla	2 - 1	Queretaro
Puebla	1 - 2	Monterrey
Puebla	1 - 2	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 2	Leon
Puebla	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Puebla	1 - 2	America
Puebla	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
Puebla	2 - 3	Tigres

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Tigres
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Juarez
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Toluca
H	Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 2	Queretaro
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
A	Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
H	Puebla	1 - 2	America
A	Puebla	2 - 0	S. Laguna
H	Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Puebla	1 - 2	A. San Luis
A	Puebla	1 - 1	Monterrey
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Tijuana
A	Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
H	Puebla	1 - 0	Guadalajara

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Queretaro	1 - 2	Atlas
Mazatlan	3 - 2	Atlas
Tijuana	3 - 4	Atlas
S. Laguna	2 - 0	Atlas
Tigres	2 - 1	Atlas
Pachuca	0 - 0	Atlas
Pumas UNAM	0 - 0	Atlas
Cruz Azul	1 - 1	Atlas
Tijuana	3 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	1 - 2	Atlas
Necaxa	0 - 0	Atlas
Monterrey	4 - 0	Atlas
Leon	0 - 0	Atlas
Guadalajara	2 - 3	Atlas
Toluca	4 - 1	Atlas
America	3 - 0	Atlas
A. San Luis	2 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	1 - 2	Atlas
Juarez	2 - 2	Atlas
Cruz Azul	2 - 2	Atlas

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Atlas	2 - 1	Queretaro
H	Atlas	2 - 3	Toluca
H	Atlas	1 - 1	Juarez
A	Atlas	2 - 3	Mazatlan
H	Atlas	1 - 3	America
A	Atlas	4 - 3	Tijuana
H	Atlas	3 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Atlas	0 - 2	S. Laguna
H	Atlas	0 - 4	Necaxa
H	Atlas	3 - 2	Puebla
A	Atlas	1 - 2	Tigres
A	Atlas	0 - 0	Pachuca
H	Atlas	3 - 3	Monterrey
A	Atlas	0 - 0	Pumas UNAM
H	Atlas	1 - 2	Leon
A	Atlas	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Atlas	0 - 3	Tijuana
A	Atlas	2 - 1	Guadalajara
A	Atlas	0 - 0	Necaxa

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Puebla

Atlas

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

3 / 8

PUE

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
	1 - 2	Atlas
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 4	Atlas
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Puebla	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Atlas
	0 - 1	Atlas
Puebla	2 - 0

Atlas

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

3 / 8

PUE

ATL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atlas
Atlas	3 - 2
	2 - 3	Puebla
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Puebla
Atlas	1 - 0
	0 - 1	Puebla
	0 - 1	Puebla
	1 - 2	Puebla

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Puebla of late. It has been 9 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday morning against Atlas.

	Puebla	Atlas
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that Atlas will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-26 Puebla have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted	+6 Atlas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.1 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.7 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

better

PUE

ATL

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

PUE

ATL

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Puebla v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J González GLK				-
J Rodríguez GLK				-
J Gómez GLK				-
L Mejía DEF				-
J Rodríguez DEF				-
J Rivas DEF				-
E Orona DEF				-
B Angulo DEF				-
E Gularte DEF				-
J. Fedorco DEF				-
S Olmedo DEF				-
J Martinez DEF				-
F Moyano MID				-
R Castillo MID				-
L Santos MID				-
F Waller MID				-
P González MID				-
A Herrera MID				-
R Sánchez FWD				-
Ángel Robles FWD				-
B Garnica FWD				-
L García FWD				-
E Gómez FWD				-
L Cavallini FWD				-
G Ferrareis FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Atlas Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Becerra GLK				-
A Sánchez GLK				-
C Vargas GLK				-
R Pier DEF				-
G Aguirre DEF				-
C Orrantía DEF				-
C Robles DEF				-
D Dória DEF				-
J Lozano DEF				-
P. Ramírez Barboza DEF				-
M García MID				-
A Flores MID				-
V. Hugo Ríos de Alba MID				-
J Márquez MID				-
A Rocha MID				-
A Jiménez MID				-
E Zaldívar MID				-
J. Serrato Zambrano MID				-
G Ferrareis FWD				-
M Manotas FWD				-
U Djurdjevic FWD				-
J Caicedo FWD				-
M Cóccaro FWD				-
I López FWD				-
E Lara FWD				-
G Prete FWD				-
J Rodríguez FWD				-
D Alcaraz FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Mexican Liga MX match betting previews, predictions and odds

S. Laguna v Pumas UNAM

A. San Luis v Monterrey

Puebla v Atlas : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Puebla v Atlas Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

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