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Puebla v Necaxa : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 01:00 BST, Estadio Cuauhtémoc, Puebla

Rolando Hernán Cristante Mandarino and Martín Varini Di Zioli meet in the Liga MX on Saturday morning, as Puebla face Necaxa at the Estadio Cuauhtémoc. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a sound selection is published below. Switch between seventeen betting markets or take our top tip. We have predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds for it all.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Puebla should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Necaxa. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Puebla are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Puebla 39%	2.10	2.10 4%
Draw 22%	3.40 3%	3.25 2%
Necaxa 39%	3.25 2%	3.00 2%
Draw 1-1 9%	6.50	6.00 8%
Puebla 2-1 8%	9.00	8.00
Necaxa 2-1 8%	12.00 9%	10.00 6%
Draw 2-2 7%	13.00	11.00
Puebla 1-0 5%	8.50 6%	7.50 6%
Necaxa 1-0 5%	11.00	9.00
Puebla 3-1 5%	17.00	13.00
Necaxa 3-1 5%	26.00 13%	17.00
Puebla 2-0 5%	11.00	9.50 5%
Necaxa 2-0 4%	17.00	13.00
Puebla 3-2 4%	26.00 13%	19.00
Necaxa 3-2 4%	34.00 17%	21.00 11%
Draw 0-0 3%	11.00 8%	9.50
Puebla 3-0 3%	21.00	15.00 12%
Necaxa 3-0 3%	34.00	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 69%	1.85 3%	1.80 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%	1.95 3%	1.85
Home 1st Goal 49%	1.80	1.80 1%
Away 1st Goal 49%	2.20 5%	2.25 2%
No 1st Goal 1%	11.00 8%	9.50
BTTS - Yes 69%	1.70 2%	1.70 2%
BTTS - No 31%	2.05 2%	2.05
BTTS - Home Win 25%	4.33 8%	4.00
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.33 3%
BTTS - Away Win 25%	6.00 9%	5.50 5%
Home/draw 61%	1.33 2%	1.35 3%
Away/draw 61%	1.67	1.65 3%
Home/away 78%	1.30 1%	1.30 1%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.25 2%	1.25
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	3.75 6%	3.40
Over 3.5 Goals 48%	3.25 18%	2.90 1%
Under 3.5 Goals 52%	1.33 5%	1.33
Over 4.5 Goals 29%	6.00 9%	5.25 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 71%	1.13 1%	1.10 1%
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	13.00 18%	10.00
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	1.04 1%	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.05 1%	1.03
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	11.00 8%	9.00
Home DNB 55%	1.53 3%	1.57 1%
Away DNB 54%	2.38 6%	2.25 5%
Puebla win to nil 14%	3.75 6%	-
Necaxa win to nil 14%	6.00	-
Puebla / Puebla 24%	3.50	3.30 3%
Puebla / Necaxa 3%	29.00	23.00 10%
Puebla / Draw 7%	13.00	11.00
Draw / Puebla 15%	5.50	5.50
Draw / Necaxa 11%	7.50 7%	7.00 8%
Draw / Draw 15%	5.50	5.25
Necaxa / Puebla 4%	23.00	19.00
Necaxa / Necaxa 16%	5.50 10%	4.80 2%
Necaxa / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00 9%

Win / draw / win form

Necaxa have lost 4 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
Puebla	0 - 4	America
Puebla	2 - 3	Pumas UNAM
Puebla	0 - 0	Toluca
Puebla	2 - 1	Mazatlan
Puebla	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
Puebla	0 - 2	Guadalajara
Puebla	2 - 2	Pachuca
Puebla	2 - 4	Monterrey
Puebla	0 - 2	A. San Luis
Puebla	1 - 0	S. Laguna
Puebla	2 - 3	Atlas
Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
Puebla	0 - 0	Tigres
Puebla	0 - 3	Toluca
Puebla	1 - 3	Pumas UNAM
Puebla	2 - 0	Tijuana
Puebla	1 - 2	America
Puebla	0 - 1	Mazatlan

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Puebla	1 - 2	Pachuca
H	Puebla	3 - 1	Tigres
A	Puebla	1 - 0	A. San Luis
H	Puebla	0 - 4	America
H	Puebla	2 - 3	Pumas UNAM
A	Puebla	0 - 0	Tijuana
H	Puebla	0 - 0	Toluca
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Cruz Azul
H	Puebla	2 - 1	Mazatlan
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Atlas
A	Puebla	2 - 1	Leon
H	Puebla	0 - 3	Cruz Azul
A	Puebla	4 - 4	Juarez
A	Puebla	1 - 2	America
H	Puebla	4 - 3	Tijuana
A	Puebla	1 - 3	Queretaro
H	Puebla	0 - 2	Guadalajara
H	Puebla	2 - 2	Pachuca
A	Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
A	Puebla	1 - 3	Toluca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca	2 - 1	Necaxa
Leon	2 - 1	Necaxa
Juarez	1 - 2	Necaxa
America	2 - 0	Necaxa
S. Laguna	1 - 3	Necaxa
Mazatlan	1 - 1	Necaxa
A. San Luis	3 - 4	Necaxa
Tigres	5 - 3	Necaxa
Atlas	3 - 2	Necaxa
Guadalajara	3 - 1	Necaxa
Tijuana	3 - 0	Necaxa
Monterrey	3 - 0	Necaxa
Pumas UNAM	1 - 1	Necaxa
Toluca	3 - 1	Necaxa
Tigres	2 - 2	Necaxa
Puebla	0 - 1	Necaxa
Juarez	2 - 2	Necaxa
Tijuana	1 - 2	Necaxa
Toluca	5 - 2	Necaxa
Atlas	0 - 4	Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pumas UNAM
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	1 - 2	Leon
H	Necaxa	0 - 3	Toluca
A	Necaxa	2 - 1	Juarez
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	A. San Luis
A	Necaxa	0 - 2	America
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Atlas
H	Necaxa	0 - 2	Monterrey
A	Necaxa	3 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	1 - 1	Mazatlan
H	Necaxa	4 - 1	S. Laguna
A	Necaxa	4 - 3	A. San Luis
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Cruz Azul
A	Necaxa	3 - 5	Tigres
H	Necaxa	0 - 1	Pachuca
A	Necaxa	2 - 3	Atlas
A	Necaxa	1 - 3	Guadalajara
H	Necaxa	1 - 0	Puebla
H	Necaxa	1 - 1	Juarez

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Necaxa have beaten Puebla in 4 consecutive league meetings

Puebla

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 7

Clean sheets

2 / 7

PUE

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
	0 - 1	Necaxa
	1 - 2	Necaxa
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 1	Necaxa
Puebla	1 - 0
Puebla	3 - 0
	1 - 4	Necaxa

Necaxa

Puebla

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

Clean sheets

2 / 8

PUE

NEC

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
Necaxa	1 - 0
Necaxa	4 - 1
	1 - 2	Puebla
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Puebla
	0 - 1	Puebla
Necaxa	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw

Goal Statistics

Puebla's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday morning, not least because Necaxa have conceded in each of their last 18 Liga MX outings. A PG of 1.8 for R. Cristante Mandarino's side suggests that run should continue.

	Puebla 18th	Necaxa 16th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.8 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Puebla will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-17 Puebla have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted	+20 Necaxa have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.9 conceded	2.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season

PUE

NEC

better

view stats

Games scored	16		18
Failed to score	11		9
Scored first	9		8
Goals scored	30		35
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.3
Avg. shots per game	10		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		8
Conversion rate for	11		12
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+9%

11%

better

PUE

NEC

view stats

Games conceded	22		26
Clean sheets	5		1
Conceded first	15		19
Goals conceded	55		48
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		6
Conversion rate against	19%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.6		1.7
KickOff rating		+11%

Puebla v Necaxa Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	7	5	9
E Gómez	E Gómez	E Gómez	N Huincales

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
A Orozco MID	27	1	1	4 -
E Gómez FWD	26	7	5	1 -
N Huincales DEF	23		1	8 1
E Solana FWD	22	3		2 -
L Mejía DEF	21	2		3 -
E Guerra FWD	21	4	2	5 -
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	20	1	3	3 1
C Baltazar MID	20	4	3	-
J Martinez DEF	16	1	1	1 -
M Pérez MID	15			-
I Moreno DEF	14			1 -
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	14			-
A. Gamarra MID	13			3 1
J González GLK	11			1 -
B Garnica FWD	11		1	-
R Gutiérrez GLK	10			4 -
R Castillo MID	9			2 1
K Velasco FWD	9		2	2 -
A Jiménez MID	8			2 -
J Rodríguez GLK	7			1 -
J Vargas DEF	7	1		-
Ángelo Araos MID	7	1		-
I Puch FWD	4			1 -
E Torres FWD	3			-
U. Torres Méndez DEF	1			-
L Cavallini FWD	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	19	5	6
E Gómez	E Guerra	E Gómez	E Gómez

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
E Gómez FWD	7	17	5	6
E Guerra FWD	4	19	2	3
C Baltazar MID	4	12	3	4
E Solana FWD	3	8
L Mejía DEF	2	5		1
A Orozco MID	1	8	1	3
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	1	4	3	4
J Martinez DEF	1	3	1	1
J Vargas DEF	1	1		1
Ángelo Araos MID	1	2
N Huincales DEF		2	1	1
M Pérez MID		2		1
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD		9		2
A. Gamarra MID		2
B Garnica FWD		1	1	1
R Castillo MID		5
K Velasco FWD		4	2	2
A Jiménez MID		1
E Torres FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1178	51	134
N Huincales	N Huincales	N Huincales

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
N Huincales DEF	1178	51	134
A Orozco MID	772	41	90
L Mejía DEF	748	34	66
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF	561	27	62
E Gómez FWD	490	7	88
J Martinez DEF	452	20	43
E Guerra FWD	391	28	85
I Moreno DEF	368	23	38
A. Gamarra MID	329	29	61
M Pérez MID	315	21	42
C Baltazar MID	267	15	71
J González GLK	261		3
R Gutiérrez GLK	261	2	5
J Vargas DEF	257	5	18
O. de Jesús González Ojeda FWD	249	9	31
K Velasco FWD	225	9	43
E Solana FWD	199	13	92
J Rodríguez GLK	184
R Castillo MID	140	4	12
A Jiménez MID	129	14	21
B Garnica FWD	95	9	26
Ángelo Araos MID	92	2	7
U. Torres Méndez DEF	27	2	2
I Puch FWD	19		6
E Torres FWD	8		3
L Cavallini FWD	5		2

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	5	4	5
E Unsain	T Badaloni	F. Rossano Erchuk	R Monreal

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Unsain GLK	27			3 -
T Badaloni FWD	27	5	2	1 -
K Rosero FWD	26	2	3	4 -
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	25		4	3 -
R Monreal FWD	25	3	1	4 1
A Peña DEF	23	1		2 -
C Calderón DEF	22	1	1	5 -
A Oliveros DEF	17	2		2 -
E Lara DEF	13			4 -
D Leyva MID	10		2	-
L Faravelli MID	10		1	2 -
R Pineda FWD	10			1 -
K Gutiérrez MID	9			2 1
R Ruiz DEF	7			1 -
A Almendra MID	7			-
I. Tello Robles FWD	7		1	-
J Carranza FWD	6	3		2 1
E González DEF	5			-
J. Ruiz MID	5	2		-
F. Méndez Lara DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	20	4	6
T Badaloni	T Badaloni	F. Rossano Erchuk	T Badaloni

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Badaloni FWD	5	20	2	6
R Monreal FWD	3	6	1	2
J Carranza FWD	3	5
K Rosero FWD	2	8	3	5
A Oliveros DEF	2	3		1
J. Ruiz MID	2	4
A Peña DEF	1	3
C Calderón DEF	1	6	1	2
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF		5	4	4
E Lara DEF		2
D Leyva MID		2	2	2
L Faravelli MID		2	1	1
R Pineda FWD		1
K Gutiérrez MID		1
R Ruiz DEF		1
A Almendra MID				1
I. Tello Robles FWD		2	1
E González DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
931	31	101
A Peña	K Rosero	F. Rossano Erchuk

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Peña DEF	931	17	67
E Unsain GLK	819	1	9
A Oliveros DEF	772	16	66
K Rosero FWD	679	31	93
C Calderón DEF	673	31	77
E Lara DEF	416	25	45
D Leyva MID	382	16	35
L Faravelli MID	380	17	33
F. Rossano Erchuk DEF	376	30	101
R Monreal FWD	323	24	83
T Badaloni FWD	290	7	91
R Ruiz DEF	250	11	22
K Gutiérrez MID	214	9	13
A Almendra MID	129		6
I. Tello Robles FWD	96	10	20
R Pineda FWD	84	3	8
E González DEF	78	4	6
J. Ruiz MID	40	3	16
F. Méndez Lara DEF	37
J Carranza FWD	31	8	29