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Santos Laguna v Mazatlán : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 23:00 BST, Estadio Nuevo Corona, Torreón

Robert Dante Siboldi Badiola leads his Mazatlán team to the Estadio Nuevo Corona in the Liga MX on Sunday night, with Francisco Javier Rodríguez Vílchez's Santos Laguna their challengers. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included for all.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of S. Laguna and Mazatlan serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this Liga MX tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Laguna are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.86.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Laguna
49%
43/50-
Draw
25%
27/10-
Mazatlan
27%
3/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1-
S. Laguna 1-0
10%
17/2-
S. Laguna 2-1
9%
15/2-
S. Laguna 2-0
8%
9/1-
Mazatlan 1-0
7%
14/1-
Mazatlan 2-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1-
S. Laguna 3-1
5%
12/1-
S. Laguna 3-0
5%
16/1-
Mazatlan 2-0
4%
20/1-
S. Laguna 3-2
3%
20/1-
Mazatlan 3-1
2%
28/1-
S. Laguna 4-1
2%
25/1-
Mazatlan 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
13/20-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
6/5-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/13-
Away 1st Goal
44%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
4/7-
BTTS - No
46%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
23%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
11/2-
Home/draw
73%
2/9-
Away/draw
51%
10/11-
Home/away
75%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Home DNB
66%
2/5-
Away DNB
44%
7/4-
S. Laguna win to nil
26%
11/4-
Mazatlan win to nil
13%
7/1-
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
28%
2/1-
S. Laguna / Mazatlan
3%
28/1-
S. Laguna / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / S. Laguna
17%
4/1-
Draw / Mazatlan
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Mazatlan / S. Laguna
4%
20/1-
Mazatlan / Mazatlan
14%
5/1-
Mazatlan / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
5
Mazatlan have lost 5 consecutive league games
5
S. Laguna have not won in 5 consecutive league games
16
Mazatlan have not won in 16 consecutive away league games
S. Laguna
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Mazatlan
20 league games
Away
16
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
1
Draw
5
Lost
14
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
1
Draw
7
Lost
12
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
S. Laguna have drawn with Mazatlan in 3 consecutive league meetings
6
S. Laguna have not lost to Mazatlan in 6 consecutive home league meetings
League games at S. Laguna since 2020
S. Laguna
Mazatlan
Goals: Scored
11
1
Games: Scored
5 / 6
1 / 6
Clean sheets
5 / 6
1 / 6
STS
5
D
1
League games at Mazatlan since 2021
Mazatlan
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
STS
1
D
3
MAZ
2
Goal Statistics

Santos Laguna's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Mazatlán have conceded in each of their last 21 Liga MX matches. A PG of 1.6 for F. Rodríguez Vílchez's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been a problem for Mazatlán of late. It has been 7 Liga MX matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday night against Santos Laguna.

S. Laguna Mazatlan
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that S. Laguna will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Mazatlan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
S. Laguna’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-40
Mazatlan have scored 40% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
S. Laguna
PG (predicted goals)
Mazatlan
1.6
1.1
Attack rating
17%
better
STS
MAZ
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score5
6
Scored first12
6
Goals scored27
24
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.2
1
KickOff rating
+17%
Defence rating
19%
better
STS
MAZ
view stats
Games conceded17
21
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first10
15
Goals conceded45
41
Avg. goals conceded2
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded14
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.9
KickOff rating
+19%

S. Laguna v Mazatlan Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22457
C AcevedoC DájomeJ AbellaK Balanta
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Acevedo GLK22
1
-
B Amione DEF2231
6
-
F Villalba MID2131
5
-
C Dájome FWD214
5
-
J Abella DEF205
2
1
K Balanta DEF201
7
-
A López MID2021
1
-
J Güemez MID20
5
-
R Sordo FWD2024
6
1
J Ocejo FWD2032
1
1
K Palacios FWD1921
2
-
H Ortega DEF1611
4
2
E. Echeverría Mata DEF14
3
-
S Murra MID13
2
-
D Medina FWD91
-
Édson Gutiérrez DEF7
-
C Lozano FWD7
1
E Orona DEF5
2
-
J. Pérez Sánchez DEF51
-
C Gruezo MID5
3
-
E Bullaude MID411
1
-
T. Jiménez Sánchez FWD4
-
K Álvarez DEF3
2
-
L Yorio FWD32
-
H Pérez GLK1
-
Mazatlan Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22526
F AlmadaF AlmadaM LaínezL Merolla
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Almada DEF225
2
-
J Sierra MID193
2
-
Y Bárcenas FWD1811
3
-
J Casiano FWD171
-
M Laínez FWD172
4
-
Dudu FWD171
1
1
L Merolla DEF162
6
-
M Zaleta MID151
2
-
J Esquivel MID1511
3
-
F Gomes FWD153
2
-
?. Leyva DEF13
3
1
J Vázquez DEF12
3
-
O Villegas FWD1211
1
-
S González MID11
3
-
Ángel Saavedra FWD91
2
-
Iván Mauricio González Cataño FWD81
2
-
J García MID6
-
R Rodríguez GLK5
-
A Herrera MID41
1
-
A Torres MID4
-
B Rubio FWD3
1
-
S Santos DEF2
1
-
C. Castro Ramírez DEF2
-
S. Godínez MID2
-
J Intriago MID2
-
S Rodriguez DEF1
-