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Santos Laguna v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 17th Jul, 04:00 BST, Estadio Nuevo Corona, Torreón

Toluca, led by manager Patrick Glockner, visit Viorel Frunza and his Santos Laguna side at the Estadio Nuevo Corona on Thursday morning in the Liga MX. Recent form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and the best odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping over 2.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Liga MX fixture, with S. Laguna and Toluca going head-to-head, offers plenty of value in the popular under 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Forwards at both clubs will look to add to their tallies for the season and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we have come to the conclusion that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Toluca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Laguna
22%
10/3-
Draw
21%
14/5-
Toluca
57%
4/6-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1-
Toluca 2-0
8%
17/2-
Toluca 1-0
8%
17/2-
Toluca 3-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
S. Laguna 2-1
6%
14/1-
Toluca 3-0
6%
14/1-
S. Laguna 1-0
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Toluca 3-2
4%
20/1-
Toluca 4-1
3%
22/1-
Toluca 4-0
3%
25/1-
S. Laguna 2-0
3%
25/1-
S. Laguna 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
4/7-
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
27/20-
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/9-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
60%
8/13-
BTTS - No
40%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/2-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
30%
21/10-
Home/draw
43%
23/20-
Away/draw
78%
1/5-
Home/away
79%
1/4-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
11/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
8/15-
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
10/3-
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
37%
5/2-
Away DNB
72%
2/7-
S. Laguna win to nil
9%
9/1-
Toluca win to nil
27%
12/5-
S. Laguna / S. Laguna
11%
13/2-
S. Laguna / Toluca
4%
18/1-
S. Laguna / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / S. Laguna
8%
9/1-
Draw / Toluca
17%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2-
Toluca / S. Laguna
3%
28/1-
Toluca / Toluca
32%
8/5-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win form
S. Laguna
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
1
Lost
17
Toluca
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Laguna since 2019
S. Laguna
Toluca
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
1 / 7
STS
4
D
1
TOL
2
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
S. Laguna
Goals: Scored
17
11
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
STS
1
D
1
TOL
6
Goal Statistics

Toluca's defensive record is to be admired, Patrick Glockner's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga MX games. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Santos Laguna makes sense in this context.

Santos Laguna have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 6 consecutive Liga MX games. This run could continue, with Toluca's PG an impressive 2.0.

S. Laguna Toluca
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
2.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that S. Laguna will score no more than 1 goal
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that Toluca will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-41
S. Laguna have scored 41% fewer goals at home than predicted
+16
Toluca have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303715/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Laguna
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.2
2
Attack rating
0%
better
STS
TOL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
STS
TOL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

S. Laguna v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Laguna Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE