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Toluca v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 16th Feb, 03:10 BST, Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo

The Liga MX is the focus for both Toluca and Guadalajara on Sunday morning, as managers Patrick Glockner and Oscar Garcia face one another at the Estadio Nemesio Díez. In this preview you'll find odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toluca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toluca
56%
3/4
3%
-
Draw
23%
11/4
6%
-
Guadalajara
21%
7/2-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
7%
-
Toluca 1-0
11%
13/2
12%
-
Toluca 2-1
10%
15/2-
Toluca 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Toluca 3-1
6%
12/1-
Toluca 3-0
6%
14/1
15%
-
Guadalajara 1-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
20%
-
Guadalajara 2-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Toluca 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Guadalajara 2-0
3%
22/1
12%
-
Toluca 4-1
3%
28/1
26%
-
Toluca 4-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
Guadalajara 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
55%
1/2
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
5%
-
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
13/5
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
7%
-
Home/draw
79%
2/11-
Away/draw
44%
1/1
5%
-
Home/away
77%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
15%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/1
20%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/8
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
30%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
20%
-
Home DNB
72%
3/10-
Away DNB
37%
12/5-
Toluca win to nil
30%
9/4-
Guadalajara win to nil
10%
7/1
11%
-
Toluca / Toluca
30%
7/4
5%
-
Toluca / Guadalajara
2%
33/1-
Toluca / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Toluca
18%
15/4-
Draw / Guadalajara
9%
8/1
5%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
-
Guadalajara / Toluca
4%
20/1-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
11%
13/2-
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Guadalajara 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Toluca have drawn with Guadalajara in 4 consecutive home league meetings
5
Toluca have not lost to Guadalajara in 5 consecutive home league meetings
3
Guadalajara have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Toluca
League games at Toluca since 2018
Toluca
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
6
7
Games: Scored
5 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
2 / 7
TOL
1
D
5
GUA
1
League games at Guadalajara since 2019
Guadalajara
Toluca
Goals: Scored
11
7
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
TOL
1
D
3
GUA
4
Goal Statistics

Toluca have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.8 against Guadalajara on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Toluca 2nd Guadalajara 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Guadalajara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Toluca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-12
Guadalajara have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/289219/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toluca
PG (predicted goals)
Guadalajara
1.8
1
Attack rating
%
better
TOL
GUA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
TOL
GUA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Toluca v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241578
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Vega FWD2557
6
-
Luan DEF241
2
-
M Ruíz MID2424
8
-
J Gallardo DEF2343
4
-
J Uriarte MID2354
-
Paulinho FWD23156
3
-
B García DEF2211
2
-
J Domínguez FWD201
2
-
I Violante FWD1953
4
-
V Camarena MID17
3
1
I López FWD17
-
B Méndez DEF15
1
F Pereira DEF151
5
1
F Amaya MID152
1
-
Helinho  MID123
2
-
R Morales FWD92
-
E López DEF6
-
D Barbosa DEF51
2
-
F Romero MID4
2
-
L García GLK3
-
H Herrera MID3
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
P López GLK1
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-
Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23847
J RangelR HernándezR HernándezÉrick Gutiérrez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Rangel GLK23
3
-
F González MID22
4
-
Érick Gutiérrez MID221
7
-
J Castillo DEF212
2
1
F Beltran MID2111
3
-
A Mozo DEF2021
2
-
R Hernández FWD2084
2
-
C Cowell FWD1852
-
M. Chávez García DEF174
4
-
V Guzmán MID1622
2
-
J Sandoval FWD1632
1
-
G Sepúlveda DEF142
2
-
O Govea MID13
1
-
A. González Alba FWD1331
1
-
Chicharito FWD111
1
L Mejía DEF10
1
-
H. Camberos Figueroa MID6
-
M Tapias DEF5
-
F Barajas MID5
-
T Braams FWD511
-
I Brizuela MID4
-
L Romo MID41
1
-
L. Sepúlveda DEF3
-
R Ruiz DEF3
-
M Ortiz DEF2
-
E. García Mendoza GLK1
-
A Pulido  FWD11
-
G. García Ortega FWD1
-