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Guaraní v Sportivo Ameliano : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th May, 23:30 BST, Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres, Asunción

Aldo Antonio Bobadilla takes his Sportivo Ameliano charges to the Estadio Rogelio Lorenzo Livieres in the Division 1 on Sunday night, with Francisco Javier Arce Rolón's Guaraní their challengers. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Guarani and S. Ameliano go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the sides in terms of who might win. The statistics don't give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. That prediction is available at best priced odds of 1.53 with the bookmakers, so we make under 2.5 goals our tip of the day for this tie.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Guarani are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Guarani
35%
21/20
7%
-
Draw
29%
11/5
2%
-
S. Ameliano
36%
13/5
10%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
S. Ameliano 1-0
12%
7/1
6%
-
Guarani 1-0
12%
5/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
6/1-
S. Ameliano 2-1
7%
12/1
13%
-
Guarani 2-1
7%
17/2-
S. Ameliano 2-0
7%
16/1
11%
-
Guarani 2-0
7%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
S. Ameliano 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Guarani 3-1
3%
20/1
11%
-
S. Ameliano 3-0
2%
40/1-
Guarani 3-0
2%
18/1
12%
-
S. Ameliano 3-2
1%
40/1
20%
-
Guarani 3-2
1%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
37%
7/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
63%
8/15-
Home 1st Goal
46%
4/6
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/8
9%
-
No 1st Goal
8%
6/1-
BTTS - Yes
44%
6/5-
BTTS - No
56%
8/13-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8/1
10%
-
Home/draw
64%
2/7
6%
-
Away/draw
65%
8/11
5%
-
Home/away
71%
4/11
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Over 3.5 Goals
18%
4/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
1/6-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/100-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Home DNB
56%
4/9
3%
-
Away DNB
56%
13/8
5%
-
Guarani win to nil
22%
2/1
9%
-
S. Ameliano win to nil
23%
9/2
8%
-
Guarani / Guarani
24%
12/5
6%
-
Guarani / S. Ameliano
2%
40/1-
Guarani / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Guarani
17%
4/1
5%
-
Draw / S. Ameliano
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw / Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
S. Ameliano / Guarani
3%
28/1-
S. Ameliano / S. Ameliano
13%
11/2
7%
-
S. Ameliano / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
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Win / draw / win form
Guarani 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Guarani0 - 2C. Porteno
Guarani2 - 1Nacional
Guarani0 - 12 de Mayo
Guarani2 - 1Olimpia
Guarani1 - 3Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani0 - 0Atletico Tembetary
Guarani1 - 3Deportivo Recoleta
Guarani0 - 1Libertad
Guarani2 - 1General C.
Guarani2 - 1Tacuary
Guarani1 - 1Sol America
Guarani2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Guarani1 - 1S. Ameliano
Guarani0 - 0Sportivo Trinidense
Guarani0 - 0Olimpia
Guarani0 - 0Nacional
Guarani1 - 0C. Porteno
Guarani1 - 1General C.
Guarani0 - 02 de Mayo
Guarani0 - 0Libertad
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HGuarani0 - 2C. Porteno
AGuarani3 - 0Deportivo Recoleta
HGuarani2 - 1Nacional
AGuarani3 - 1Libertad
HGuarani0 - 12 de Mayo
AGuarani0 - 0General C.
HGuarani2 - 1Olimpia
HGuarani1 - 3Sportivo Trinidense
AGuarani1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
HGuarani0 - 0Atletico Tembetary
AGuarani0 - 2S. Ameliano
AGuarani1 - 0C. Porteno
HGuarani1 - 3Deportivo Recoleta
AGuarani2 - 1Nacional
HGuarani0 - 1Libertad
AGuarani2 - 02 de Mayo
HGuarani2 - 1General C.
AGuarani1 - 0Olimpia
AGuarani0 - 0Nacional
HGuarani2 - 1Tacuary
S. Ameliano 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 1S. Ameliano
2 de Mayo1 - 4S. Ameliano
Olimpia0 - 0S. Ameliano
Atletico Tembetary1 - 0S. Ameliano
C. Porteno2 - 0S. Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta1 - 1S. Ameliano
Libertad2 - 0S. Ameliano
General C.1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense1 - 2S. Ameliano
Sol America1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueño0 - 2S. Ameliano
Libertad1 - 2S. Ameliano
Guarani1 - 1S. Ameliano
Tacuary0 - 2S. Ameliano
General C.0 - 4S. Ameliano
2 de Mayo1 - 1S. Ameliano
Olimpia1 - 0S. Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense3 - 0S. Ameliano
Nacional0 - 0S. Ameliano
C. Porteno1 - 0S. Ameliano
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Ameliano1 - 2Deportivo Recoleta
AS. Ameliano1 - 0Nacional
HS. Ameliano0 - 0Libertad
AS. Ameliano4 - 12 de Mayo
HS. Ameliano0 - 1General C.
AS. Ameliano0 - 0Olimpia
HS. Ameliano0 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
HS. Ameliano2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
AS. Ameliano0 - 1Atletico Tembetary
AS. Ameliano0 - 2C. Porteno
HS. Ameliano2 - 0Guarani
AS. Ameliano1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
HS. Ameliano2 - 1Nacional
AS. Ameliano0 - 2Libertad
HS. Ameliano1 - 12 de Mayo
AS. Ameliano0 - 1General C.
HS. Ameliano2 - 2Olimpia
AS. Ameliano2 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
AS. Ameliano0 - 1Sol America
HS. Ameliano0 - 1General C.
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Guarani since 2022
Guarani
S. Ameliano
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
GUA
1
D
4
AME
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Guarani
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3S. Ameliano
Draw2 - 2Draw
Guarani2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at S. Ameliano since 2022
S. Ameliano
Guarani
Goals: Scored
9
9
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
GUA
2
D
3
AME
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Ameliano
S. Ameliano2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 3Guarani
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Ameliano4 - 2
0 - 1Guarani
Goal Statistics

Sportivo Ameliano's defensive record is very strong, A. Bobadilla's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Division 1 matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Guaraní makes sense in this context.

Guarani 2nd S. Ameliano 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Guarani will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that S. Ameliano will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-31
Guarani have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted
+3
S. Ameliano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Division 1 - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291882/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Guarani
PG (predicted goals)
S. Ameliano
1.1
1.1
Attack rating
20%
better
GUA
AME
view stats
Games scored12
9
Failed to score5
8
Scored first9
6
Goals scored21
17
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
20%
better
GUA
AME
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded15
17
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
9
Conversion rate against9%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+20%

Guarani v S. Ameliano Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Guarani Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17824
A FernandezF FernándezA ManzurF Fernández
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Fernández FWD1881
4
-
A Fernandez DEF1711
3
-
M Quintana DEF17
4
-
G Vargas DEF16
3
-
A Gill MID15
4
-
L Martinez MID151
2
1
A Manzur MID1512
2
-
J Centurión DEF1411
1
-
A Cabrera DEF141
1
-
W Mendieta MID1422
-
N Barrientos FWD12
-
R Peralta FWD1221
1
-
A Pereira FWD11
-
G Servio GLK103
1
1
V Céspedes FWD10
3
-
W Ibarrola DEF9
-
M Prantl GLK8
-
B Piñatares MID8
-
A. Maidana Mendieta FWD8
2
-
D Fernández FWD83
3
-
F Torales DEF6
2
-
J Patiño DEF6
-
L Acosta FWD3
1
A Palacios FWD3
-
O. Alfonso Dure FWD2
-
C Miño FWD2
-
?. Aquino Maciel DEF1
-
T Aguilar DEF1
-
J. Benítez Otazú MID1
-
G Benítez MID1
-
A Marin FWD1
-
A. Legüizamón Aquino FWD1
-
S. Ameliano Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18335
M MartínezL OrtizF VeraM Martinich
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Martínez GLK18
1
-
L Ortiz MID1832
3
-
G Bogado MID183
2
-
F Vera MID1613
1
-
A Samudio FWD141
1
-
H Valdez FWD143
2
-
J González DEF13
3
-
M Martinich DEF13
5
-
D Valdez MID13
3
-
E Sarquis MID1312
2
-
L. Falabella DEF12
2
-
V Salazar DEF122
4
-
C. Ferreira Ñamandu DEF11
1
-
A Dure FWD1111
1
-
C Ocampos FWD113
2
-
F Báez DEF8
2
-
J Benítez MID8
2
-
P Aranda DEF7
2
1
E Zaracho MID7
-
E Moreira MID61
1
-
D Lara MID51
-
S Fretes MID51
-
A Páez FWD5
-
M Benitez DEF4
1
-
B Sampedro FWD4
2
-
A Giménez MID3
-
A. Servian MID3
1
-
M. Leon Rojas FWD3
-
J. Gonzalez Gimenez FWD3
1
-
K Luna FWD3
-
W Cabrera DEF1
-