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Nacional Asunción v Sportivo Luqueño : Division 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 21:00 BST, Estadio Arsenio Erico, Asunción

Nacional Asunción and Sportivo Luqueño go head to head at the Estadio Arsenio Erico on Saturday night, with both Pedro Alcídes Sarabia Achucarro and Gustavo Eliseo Morínigo Vázquez aiming for victory in the Division 1. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and a whole lot more besides. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a close-fought game here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Nacional and Sportivo Luqueño go head-to-head. Good performances all round will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
45%
5/6
15%
-
Draw
28%
5/2
8%
-
Sportivo Luqueño
27%
3/1
21%
-
Nacional 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
11%
15/2
21%
-
Sportivo Luqueño 1-0
10%
17/2
27%
-
Nacional 2-0
9%
7/1
11%
-
Nacional 2-1
8%
8/1
10%
-
Sportivo Luqueño 2-1
6%
14/1
15%
-
Sportivo Luqueño 2-0
5%
20/1
40%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1
10%
-
Nacional 3-0
4%
14/1
21%
-
Nacional 3-1
4%
16/1
19%
-
Sportivo Luqueño 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Nacional 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
-
Sportivo Luqueño 3-0
1%
40/1-
Nacional 4-0
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
38%
6/5
15%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
62%
13/20
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/15
12%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/8
11%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
15/2
21%
-
BTTS - Yes
44%
11/10
5%
-
BTTS - No
56%
4/6
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
16%
7/2
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/1
6%
-
Home/draw
73%
2/9
8%
-
Away/draw
55%
10/11
14%
-
Home/away
72%
2/7
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
7/4
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/1
27%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
82%
2/9
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
7%
8/1
31%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
93%
1/14
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/1
19%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/66-
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/14
3%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
15/2
21%
-
Home DNB
65%
4/11
11%
-
Away DNB
47%
2/1
26%
-
Nacional win to nil
29%
7/4
15%
-
Sportivo Luqueño win to nil
17%
11/2
30%
-
Nacional / Nacional
28%
2/1
17%
-
Nacional / Sportivo Luqueño
2%
40/1-
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Nacional
19%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Sportivo Luqueño
9%
8/1
20%
-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
15%
-
Sportivo Luqueño / Nacional
3%
25/1
10%
-
Sportivo Luqueño / Sportivo Luqueño
11%
13/2
25%
-
Sportivo Luqueño / Draw
5%
16/1
13%
-
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Win / draw / win form
5
Sportivo Luqueño have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Nacional 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 1S. Ameliano
Nacional1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional1 - 3C. Porteno
Nacional1 - 02 de Mayo
Nacional1 - 0General C.
Nacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
Nacional1 - 2Guarani
Nacional0 - 3Libertad
Nacional0 - 0Guarani
Nacional2 - 2C. Porteno
Nacional1 - 0General C.
Nacional0 - 02 de Mayo
Nacional2 - 1Libertad
Nacional2 - 0Olimpia
Nacional1 - 0Tacuary
Nacional3 - 1Sol America
Nacional1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional0 - 0S. Ameliano
Nacional0 - 0Sportivo Trinidense
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional2 - 1Atletico Tembetary
HNacional0 - 1S. Ameliano
ANacional1 - 2Guarani
HNacional1 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
HNacional1 - 3C. Porteno
ANacional0 - 1Libertad
HNacional1 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional1 - 0General C.
ANacional1 - 0Olimpia
HNacional1 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
ANacional1 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
HNacional1 - 0Atletico Tembetary
ANacional1 - 2S. Ameliano
HNacional1 - 2Guarani
ANacional0 - 1Deportivo Recoleta
ANacional1 - 3C. Porteno
HNacional0 - 3Libertad
ANacional0 - 02 de Mayo
HNacional0 - 0Guarani
ANacional1 - 1Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueño 9TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
2 de Mayo1 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Olimpia3 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
C. Porteno0 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Atletico Tembetary1 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
S. Ameliano2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Deportivo Recoleta0 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad3 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
General C.3 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Sportivo Trinidense1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
2 de Mayo1 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Libertad0 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Guarani2 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Tacuary0 - 3Sportivo Luqueño
Sol America1 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Olimpia4 - 3Sportivo Luqueño
S. Ameliano3 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Sportivo Trinidense3 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional1 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
C. Porteno4 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
General C.0 - 0Sportivo Luqueño
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSportivo Luqueño1 - 0Libertad
ASportivo Luqueño1 - 12 de Mayo
HSportivo Luqueño0 - 0General C.
ASportivo Luqueño1 - 3Olimpia
HSportivo Luqueño1 - 0Sportivo Trinidense
ASportivo Luqueño0 - 0C. Porteno
ASportivo Luqueño1 - 1Atletico Tembetary
ASportivo Luqueño2 - 2S. Ameliano
HSportivo Luqueño0 - 1Guarani
ASportivo Luqueño1 - 0Deportivo Recoleta
HSportivo Luqueño2 - 1Nacional
ASportivo Luqueño0 - 3Libertad
HSportivo Luqueño0 - 02 de Mayo
ASportivo Luqueño0 - 3General C.
HSportivo Luqueño0 - 1Olimpia
ASportivo Luqueño0 - 1Sportivo Trinidense
HSportivo Luqueño1 - 1C. Porteno
HSportivo Luqueño1 - 1Atletico Tembetary
HSportivo Luqueño0 - 1Olimpia
ASportivo Luqueño2 - 12 de Mayo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
6 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
5 / 11
NAC
4
D
2
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional1 - 0
0 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional2 - 1
0 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Draw0 - 0Draw
Nacional1 - 0
1 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional3 - 1
0 - 2Sportivo Luqueño
League games at Sportivo Luqueño since 2018
Sportivo Luqueño
Nacional
Goals: Scored
15
18
Games: Scored
11 / 13
11 / 13
Clean sheets
2 / 13
2 / 13
NAC
4
D
5
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sportivo Luqueño
Sportivo Luqueño2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
Sportivo Luqueño2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño2 - 1
0 - 3Nacional
1 - 3Nacional
Sportivo Luqueño1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3Nacional
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Nacional Asunción of late. It has been 20 Division 1 matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Sportivo Luqueño.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Sportivo Luqueño fans, as should a 6 Division 1 games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Nacional 10th Sportivo Luqueño 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sportivo Luqueño scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Nacional have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-5
Sportivo Luqueño’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Division 1 - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291879/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Sportivo Luqueño
1.3
0.9
Attack rating
18%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored12
9
Failed to score5
8
Scored first7
4
Goals scored12
11
Avg. goals scored0.7
0.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal15
15
Conversion rate for7
7
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
NAC
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first9
10
Goals conceded22
19
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+7%

Nacional v Sportivo Luqueño Division 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18525
S RojasG CaballeroC ColmánR Antúnez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Rojas GLK18
3
-
G Caballero FWD185
1
-
C Núñez DEF16
4
-
J. Monteagudo DEF161
3
-
O Lugo MID16
3
-
G Benitez DEF15
-
J. Alfaro MID1411
4
-
J Alfaro MID141
3
-
C Colmán FWD1422
2
-
F Ledesma MID13
1
-
C Arrua MID1211
3
-
C Ortiz MID11
2
-
R Antúnez MID10
5
-
T Fleytas FWD101
3
2
L Meza MID9
1
-
D Duarte FWD9
-
D Cáceres DEF7
1
-
H Schlender DEF711
3
-
V Herrera MID7
-
A. Cañete Torres DEF6
1
-
F Muñoz FWD61
-
A Benítez FWD4
1
1
S Vargas DEF3
-
L Trezza MID3
-
J Gaona DEF2
-
C Espinola DEF2
-
A. Martinez Roman FWD2
-
F Morel FWD2
-
Sportivo Luqueño Division 1 squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16236
Ángel BenítezW GonzálezL ComasJ. Marchio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Ángel Benítez MID171
5
-
W González FWD152
2
-
A Villalba DEF14
5
-
L Comas MID1413
3
-
I Torres MID141
3
-
F Benítez MID14
1
-
A Aguilar GLK13
2
-
R Ferreira DEF131
2
1
P Aguilar DEF12
2
-
W Ayala MID121
3
-
J Báez MID12
-
D Ríos MID12
3
-
E Vera MID1121
1
M Mosqueira FWD11
2
1
J. Marchio DEF101
4
2
G Hauche MID10
3
-
W Rodríguez MID10
2
-
Ángel Adrián Brizuela Céspedes DEF81
-
A Parra MID7
-
K Pereira FWD711
-
J. Ramos Benitez MID6
-
A. Espinola Oviedo GLK5
-
F. Pasadore FWD5
1
-
M. Suárez Cabrera DEF4
-
S Ibarra DEF4
-
O. Caceres Prieto FWD41
-
R Alborno DEF31
-
S Maldonado MID3
1
-
E Contreras MID2
-