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Jagiellonia Bialystok v Lech Poznan : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Miejski, Bia?ystok

the Stadion Miejski faithful welcome Lech Poznan's travelling contingent on Saturday afternoon, as Adrian Siemieniec's Jagiellonia Bialystok face Mariusz Rumak's charges in the Ekstraklasa. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen major betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across them all.

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Jagiellonia Bialystok's next match is v S.Wroclaw at 19:30 on Friday 8th March
Lech Poznan's next match is v Gornik Z. at 19:00 on Saturday 9th March
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Jagiellonia and Lech Poznan was on Saturday 17th February 2024
Polish Ekstraklasa
February 17th 2024
Jagiellonia 1
2 Lech Poznan
 
K. Normann Hansen 82'18' F. Marchwiński
30' F. Szymczak
 
JAG
LPO
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
14
1
Corners
6
2
Possession
66%
34%
Fouls
18
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
JagielloniaLech Poznan
 
Z. Alomerovic
M. Skrzypczak (J. Haliti 89')
B. Wdowik
A. Diéguez Grande
M. Sáček
J. Imaz Ballesté
R. Cunha Correia (J. Kubicki 73')
T. Romanczuk
A. Pululu (K. Caliskaner 73')
J. García Naranjo (K. Normann Hansen 60')
D. Marczuk
B. Mrozek
J. Vieira Pereira
M. Gurgul
B. Salamon
A. Milić
(A. Czerwiński 86') football iconF. Marchwiński
(R. Murawski 64') N. Kvekveskiri
J. Karlström
K. Velde
football iconF. Szymczak
(A. Gholizadeh 59') D. Hotič
Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of effective, attacking groups going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Adrian Siemieniec or Mariusz Rumak find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, do not suggest so.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Jagiellonia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Jagiellonia
58%
11/8
7%
13/10
4%
13/10
4%
13/10
7%
Draw
22%
2/1
6%
2/1
6%
9/4
2%
47/20
5%
Lech Poznan
20%
9/4
18%
19/10
9%
7/4
5%
39/20
7%
Draw 1-1
10%
9/2
8%
5/1
8%
11/227/5
2%
Jagiellonia 2-1
10%
17/2
5%
8/115/2
6%
8/1
Jagiellonia 1-0
10%
13/2
21%
6/1
22%
15/213/2
17%
Jagiellonia 2-0
10%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
11/1
8%
19/2
16%
Jagiellonia 3-1
6%
20/1
11%
20/1
11%
16/1
11%
17/1
Jagiellonia 3-0
6%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
19/1
13%
Lech Poznan 2-1
5%
11/1
9%
10/1
16%
9/1
5%
19/2
11%
Lech Poznan 1-0
5%
17/2
5%
15/2
11%
8/18/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
8%
14/1
25%
12/1
8%
13/1
17%
Draw 0-0
5%
7/1
27%
15/2
23%
10/1
10%
17/2
5%
Jagiellonia 3-2
3%
28/1
12%
33/1
31%
22/1
12%
25/1
13%
Jagiellonia 4-1
3%
40/155/1
10%
40/140/1
11%
Jagiellonia 4-0
3%
50/166/150/145/1
18%
Lech Poznan 2-0
3%
14/114/114/1
15%
13/1
Lech Poznan 3-1
2%
25/1
24%
25/1
24%
20/122/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
11/10
14%
21/20
17%
5/6Evens
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
7/10
13%
8/13
13%
5/63/4
6%
Home 1st Goal
55%
4/5
2%
10/11
2%
9/10
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/10
10%
6/5
7%
21/20
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
7/1
27%
15/2
23%
10/1
10%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
4/5
8%
17/20
14%
4/64/5
9%
BTTS - No
45%
19/20
7%
10/11
13%
11/1019/20
10%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
4/1
5%
4/1
11%
10/3
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
3/113/4
1%
16/5
5%
18/5
10%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
6/1
40%
5/1
25%
4/1-
Home/draw
80%
1/3
5%
3/10
4%
2/5
3%
4/11
4%
Away/draw
42%
8/15
2%
1/2
4%
4/7
5%
3/5
7%
Home/away
78%
4/112/7
3%
1/33/10
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/3
6%
1/3
9%
2/78/25
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
9/4
13%
9/5
20%
5/29/4
10%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
11/4
25%
13/5
25%
9/413/5
13%
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1/4
8%
2/9
8%
1/327/100
5%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
7/1
33%
13/2
43%
5/113/2
20%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/12
4%
1/14
4%
1/91/14
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
16/1
31%
16/1
55%
-15/1
23%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/40
2%
1/50
2%
-1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/14
2%
1/16
2%
1/25
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8/1
18%
7/1
27%
9/1
11%
17/2
5%
Home DNB
74%
8/13
10%
7/10
6%
8/11
4%
4/6
7%
Away DNB
35%
6/5
15%
21/20
5%
Evs
5%
23/20
9%
Jagiellonia win to nil
30%
11/4
17%
14/5
17%
16/5
7%
-
Lech Poznan win to nil
9%
9/2
10%
4/14/1-
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia
22%
3/13/1
5%
11/4
6%
11/4
11%
Jagiellonia / Lech Poznan
3%
33/1
31%
40/1
41%
28/130/1
19%
Jagiellonia / Draw
6%
12/114/1
15%
12/113/1
8%
Draw / Jagiellonia
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
5/1
8%
24/5
7%
Draw / Lech Poznan
12%
11/211/2
8%
6/1
8%
6/1
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
15/4
14%
7/2
10%
9/2
10%
21/5
4%
Lech Poznan / Jagiellonia
3%
25/128/125/1
10%
25/1
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
17%
4/1
11%
17/4
14%
18/5
2%
19/5
4%
Lech Poznan / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
12/113/1
8%
bet365
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Jagiellonia have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Ekstraklasa league table. Jagiellonia are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 12, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Jagiellonia have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 34 goals.

Home League Performance

Jagiellonia have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 26 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Lech Poznan are in 4th position in the Ekstraklasa on 36 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Lech Poznan are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Lech Poznan have conceded 11 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Jagiellonia
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Lech Poznan
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Mar 8
l
 
2-1A
 S.Wroclaw2313641545 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
-
-
 Jagiellonia H2312651842 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 27
l
 
2-1F
 MKS Pogon2312471840 
Apr 6
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
3-3A
 Lech Poznan A231175640 
-
-
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Rakow2211651839 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
 L. Warsaw231085738 
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1F
l
 
2-1A
 Gornik Z.231058435 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 9
w
 
4-0F
May 4
 Stal Mielec23959-232 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 1
w
 
3-0F
Apr 20
 Zaglebie 23869-1030 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
 W Lodz238411-428 
l
 
1-3A
May 18
w
 
3-2A
Mar 16
 RKS23779-828 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
May 25
w
 
1-2F
 W Poznan23698-427 
Mar 15
w
 
0-2F
Apr 13
w
 
2-4F
 Cracovia235117-126 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
May 18
 P.Gliwice224135-325 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
May 11
d
 
2-2A
 Korona224108-422 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
d
 
3-3F
 Puszcza225710-1222 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Ruch Chorzow232129-1018 
w
 
2-0F
May 4
Mar 30
d
 
2-2A
 LKS Lodz233416-2813 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 20
Win / draw / win form
Jagiellonia 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Lech Poznan 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
9
L
3
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Jagiellonia since 2015
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
16
13
Games: Scored
10 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
0 / 10
JAG
4
D
5
LPO
1
All league games since 2015
Jagiellonia
Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
32
33
Games: Scored
18 / 21
15 / 21
Clean sheets
6 / 21
3 / 21
JAG
9
D
7
LPO
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Lech Poznan of late. It has been 5 Ekstraklasa matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Jagiellonia 2nd Lech Poznan 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Jagiellonia will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 65% probability that Lech Poznan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+40
Jagiellonia have scored 40% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Lech Poznan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Ekstraklasa - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/259073/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Jagiellonia
PG (predicted goals)
Lech Poznan
1.9
1
Attack rating
22%
better
JAG
LPO
view stats
Games scored21
18
Failed to score2
5
Scored first12
11
Goals scored51
36
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate22%
18%
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
JAG
LPO
9%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded33
30
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate18%
14%
KickOff rating
+9%

Jagiellonia v Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23968
Z AlomerovicB WdowikD MarczukT Romanczuk
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Z Alomerovic GLK23
1
-
M Sacek DEF22
4
-
M Skrzypczak DEF1721
2
-
A Diéguez DEF212
5
-
B Wdowik DEF2392
2
-
T Romanczuk MID212
8
-
Nené MID2255
5
-
D Marczuk MID2336
1
-
J Imaz MID1974
2
-
J Naranjo MID2262
2
-
A Pululu FWD2072
2
-
Subs
S Abramowicz GLK
1
-
D Stojinovic DEF11
1
-
J Haliti DEF3
-
J Lewicki DEF132
2
-
J Kubicki MID163
1
-
T Kupisz MID14
3
-
A Nguiamba MID4
1
-
K Hansen MID1562
-
K Caliskaner FWD41
1
-
Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21758
K VeldeK VeldeJ PereiraR Murawski
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mrozek GLK20
1
-
J Pereira DEF2115
1
-
B Salamon  DEF5
2
-
A Milic DEF211
2
-
M Gurgul DEF101
1
-
D Hotic MID152
2
-
J Karlström MID2122
6
-
N Kvekveskiri MID1211
-
K Velde MID2275
6
-
F Marchwiński MID2263
4
-
F Szymczak FWD2031
3
-
Subs
F Bednarek GLK3
1
-
A Czerwinski DEF161
2
-
B Douglas  DEF7
2
-
E Andersson DEF161
3
-
B Tomaszewski DEF
-
R Murawski MID1911
7
1
A Sousa MID121
1
-
A Gholizadeh  MID7
1
-