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MKS Pogon Szczecin v Arka Gdynia 1929 : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 13:45 BST, Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry, Szczecin

Arka Gdynia 1929, led by manager Dawid Szwarga, visit Thomas Thomasberg and his MKS Pogon Szczecin side at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry on Sunday afternoon in the Ekstraklasa. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Ekstraklasa matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: MKS Pogon to win

A Ekstraklasa victory in front of their own fans for Thomas Thomasberg's MKS Pogon side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should have too much for their visitors. The odds from the bookies are pointing in the same direction, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A MKS Pogon win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MKS Pogon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 66% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MKS Pogon
66%
4/6-
Draw
19%
13/5-
Arka Gdynia
15%
15/4-
MKS Pogon 2-0
10%
15/2-
MKS Pogon 2-1
10%
15/2-
MKS Pogon 1-0
9%
7/1-
Draw 1-1
9%
6/1-
MKS Pogon 3-0
8%
12/1-
MKS Pogon 3-1
7%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Arka Gdynia 2-1
4%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
12/1
8%
-
MKS Pogon 4-0
4%
25/1-
Arka Gdynia 1-0
4%
14/1-
MKS Pogon 4-1
4%
25/1-
MKS Pogon 3-2
3%
22/1-
Arka Gdynia 2-0
2%
25/1-
MKS Pogon 4-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
43/40-
Home 1st Goal
58%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
40%
8/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
7/10
3%
-
BTTS - No
45%
21/20
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
32%
12/5-
BTTS - Draw
15%
15/4-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/2-
Home/draw
85%
2/11-
Away/draw
34%
23/20-
Home/away
81%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
7/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Home DNB
79%
2/7-
Away DNB
29%
5/2-
MKS Pogon win to nil
34%
2/1-
Arka Gdynia win to nil
7%
8/1-
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
32%
13/8-
MKS Pogon / Arka Gdynia
2%
33/1-
MKS Pogon / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / MKS Pogon
18%
15/4-
Draw / Arka Gdynia
8%
9/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Arka Gdynia / MKS Pogon
4%
20/1-
Arka Gdynia / Arka Gdynia
10%
7/1-
Arka Gdynia / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

MKS Pogon have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. MKS Pogon have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

MKS Pogon have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 16 goals at home.

Arka Gdynia are in 15th position in the Ekstraklasa on 22 points having played 19 matches so far this season. Arka Gdynia are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 7 of those games.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 2 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 6. Arka Gdynia have conceded 28 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
MKS Pogon
Arka Gdynia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Jagiellonia1910541335 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
Apr 18
l
 
4-0A
2
Plock198921033 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
3
Gornik Z.201037533 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
May 2
l
 
5-1A
4
Zaglebie 20875631 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
Apr 4
l
 
4-0A
5
Cracovia20875531 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
6
Rakow20938230 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
l
 
1-4A
May 23
7
Lech Poznan20785129 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1A
May 9
8
RKS19766527 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1F
-
9
Korona20767227 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 21
10
Katowice19829-226 
May 23
l
 
2-0A
Feb 22
l
 
4-1A
11
L.Gdansk20857224 
l
 
3-4F
Mar 21
Feb 27
l
 
1-0A
12
Motor Lublin20596-724 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
13
P.Gliwice19658023 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
w
 
2-1F
Apr 25
14
MKS Pogon206410-522 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
Feb 15
15
Arka Gdynia19649-1722 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
-
-
16
L. Warsaw20488-320 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
17
W Lodz206212-520 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
18
Termalica205510-1220 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
May 16
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
7
Arka Gdynia have lost 7 consecutive away league games
9
Arka Gdynia have not won in 9 consecutive away league games
MKS Pogon
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
MKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
MKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
MKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
MKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
MKS Pogon2 - 1P.Gliwice
MKS Pogon3 - 4L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon2 - 0Rakow
MKS Pogon0 - 3Gornik Z.
MKS Pogon4 - 1Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon3 - 3L.Gdansk
MKS Pogon3 - 0Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon1 - 0Rakow
MKS Pogon4 - 0Katowice
MKS Pogon5 - 2Cracovia
MKS Pogon0 - 3Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon3 - 0Gornik Z.
MKS Pogon1 - 0Zaglebie
MKS Pogon1 - 1Jagiellonia
MKS Pogon0 - 1RKS
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
AMKS Pogon1 - 2Motor Lublin
HMKS Pogon2 - 2RKS
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Katowice
HMKS Pogon5 - 1Zaglebie
HMKS Pogon1 - 2Jagiellonia
AMKS Pogon0 - 2Plock
HMKS Pogon2 - 1Cracovia
AMKS Pogon2 - 2Lech Poznan
HMKS Pogon2 - 1P.Gliwice
AMKS Pogon0 - 1L. Warsaw
HMKS Pogon3 - 4L.Gdansk
AMKS Pogon0 - 1Korona
HMKS Pogon2 - 0Rakow
AMKS Pogon2 - 1W Lodz
HMKS Pogon0 - 3Gornik Z.
AMKS Pogon1 - 2Arka Gdynia
AMKS Pogon1 - 1Termalica
HMKS Pogon4 - 1Motor Lublin
AMKS Pogon1 - 5RKS
Arka Gdynia
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
D
4
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Termalica2 - 0Arka Gdynia
Gornik Z.5 - 1Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia4 - 0Arka Gdynia
Zaglebie 4 - 0Arka Gdynia
W Lodz2 - 0Arka Gdynia
L.Gdansk1 - 0Arka Gdynia
Katowice4 - 1Arka Gdynia
L. Warsaw0 - 0Arka Gdynia
Motor Lublin1 - 0Arka Gdynia
Wisla0 - 1Arka Gdynia
Korona1 - 1Arka Gdynia
Rakow3 - 2Arka Gdynia
Plock0 - 0Arka Gdynia
L. Warsaw5 - 1Arka Gdynia
L.Gdansk4 - 3Arka Gdynia
P.Gliwice1 - 0Arka Gdynia
Gornik Z.2 - 0Arka Gdynia
Lech Poznan1 - 1Arka Gdynia
Korona0 - 1Arka Gdynia
Jagiellonia2 - 0Arka Gdynia
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HArka Gdynia2 - 2L. Warsaw
HArka Gdynia1 - 0Motor Lublin
HArka Gdynia1 - 4Rakow
AArka Gdynia0 - 2Termalica
HArka Gdynia3 - 1Lech Poznan
AArka Gdynia1 - 5Gornik Z.
HArka Gdynia2 - 1P.Gliwice
AArka Gdynia0 - 4Jagiellonia
HArka Gdynia2 - 1Cracovia
AArka Gdynia0 - 4Zaglebie
HArka Gdynia0 - 0Korona
AArka Gdynia0 - 2W Lodz
HArka Gdynia1 - 0Plock
AArka Gdynia0 - 1L.Gdansk
AArka Gdynia1 - 4Katowice
HArka Gdynia2 - 1MKS Pogon
AArka Gdynia0 - 0L. Warsaw
HArka Gdynia1 - 1RKS
AArka Gdynia0 - 1Motor Lublin
AArka Gdynia1 - 0Wisla
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
MKS Pogon have not lost to Arka Gdynia in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at MKS Pogon since 2017
MKS Pogon
Arka Gdynia
Goals: Scored
14
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
POG
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT MKS Pogon
MKS Pogon2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
MKS Pogon3 - 2
MKS Pogon1 - 0
MKS Pogon5 - 1
League games at Arka Gdynia since 2016
Arka Gdynia
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
5
11
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
POG
3
D
1
ARK
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arka Gdynia
Arka Gdynia2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3MKS Pogon
0 - 3MKS Pogon
0 - 3MKS Pogon
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.2 is decent for MKS Pogon Szczecin in their clash with Arka Gdynia 1929, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 27 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings.

MKS Pogon Arka Gdynia
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
18%
There is a 65% probability that MKS Pogon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Arka Gdynia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+20
MKS Pogon have scored 20% more goals at home than predicted
-48
Arka Gdynia have scored 48% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
MKS Pogon
PG (predicted goals)
Arka Gdynia
2.2
1
Attack rating
21%
better
POG
ARK
view stats
Games scored14
11
Failed to score5
8
Scored first7
6
Goals scored29
17
Avg. goals scored1.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal8
8
Conversion rate for13
13
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
POG
ARK
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first12
11
Goals conceded34
34
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+13%

MKS Pogon v Arka Gdynia Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20656
K GrosickiK GrosickiK GrosickiD Loncar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Koutris DEF201
2
-
P Mukairu FWD2041
1
-
K Grosicki FWD2065
2
-
L Wahlqvist DEF191
5
-
V Cojocaru GLK18
2
-
F Ulvestad MID1832
2
-
M Juwara FWD1811
5
-
D Loncar DEF151
6
-
D Keramitsis DEF141
1
-
M Ndiaye MID141
3
-
J Pozo MID141
3
-
S Greenwood FWD1233
3
-
K Smoliński MID10
-
R. Molnár FWD103
-
J Bieganski MID9
1
-
H Ali DEF8
2
-
L Borges DEF81
-
K Kaminski GLK3
-
B Mendy  DEF3
1
-
J Lis DEF3
-
M. Wojciechowski MID3
-
K Angielski FWD2
-
A Szalai DEF1
-
Arka Gdynia Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19547
D WeglarzE EspiauS KerkK. Jakubczyk
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Weglarz GLK19
-
M Navarro GLK1913
3
-
M Marcjanik DEF191
3
-
S Kerk MID1934
3
-
K. Jakubczyk MID1821
7
-
E Espiau FWD175
3
-
A Nguiamba MID16
3
1
D Kocyla MID161
1
-
A Sidibe MID15
2
-
K Hermoso DEF141
3
-
T Gaprindashvili MID141
2
-
N Rusyn FWD122
1
-
J. Abreu De Oliveira MID11
-
D Zator DEF10
1
1
P Szysz MID10
-
L Perea MID101
2
-
D Abramowicz MID911
1
-
D. Gojny DEF8
1
-
S Szota DEF1
-
V Gutkovskis FWD1
-