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MKS Pogon Szczecin v Lech Poznan : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th Apr, 19:15 BST, Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry, Szczecin

the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry faithful welcome Lech Poznan's supporters on Saturday evening, as Thomas Thomasberg's MKS Pogon Szczecin face Niels Frederiksen's troops in the Ekstraklasa. All of the important stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this preview. It's all designed to help you make a smart bet.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a record-breaker. Under 3.5 goals is what we're predicting, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MKS Pogon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MKS Pogon
40%
19/10
12%
9/5
8%
Draw
26%
13/512/5
Lech Poznan
34%
11/10
11%
23/20
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
13/26/1
MKS Pogon 1-0
10%
12/110/1
Lech Poznan 1-0
9%
10/1
8%
17/2
5%
MKS Pogon 2-1
9%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Lech Poznan 2-1
8%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
16/112/1
MKS Pogon 2-0
7%
18/1
12%
12/1
Lech Poznan 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1
9%
17/2
MKS Pogon 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
MKS Pogon 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
11%
Lech Poznan 3-1
3%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
MKS Pogon 3-2
2%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Lech Poznan 3-0
2%
20/1
9%
16/1
Lech Poznan 3-2
2%
20/114/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
4/78/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
27/205/4
2%
Home 1st Goal
49%
21/20
5%
11/10
5%
Away 1st Goal
46%
8/11
5%
4/5
6%
No 1st Goal
5%
16/112/1
BTTS - Yes
52%
1/21/2
1%
BTTS - No
48%
6/47/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
15/4
10%
18/5
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/316/5
BTTS - Away Win
15%
13/5
10%
13/5
3%
Home/draw
66%
8/13
3%
13/20
5%
Away/draw
60%
4/11
9%
2/5
3%
Home/away
74%
1/4
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/62/13
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
4/110/3
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/813/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
8/151/2
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
10/3
8%
29/10
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/5
2%
2/11
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
8/1
13%
6/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/14
1%
1/16
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/401/150
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
16/110/1
8%
Home DNB
58%
6/5
15%
23/20
8%
Away DNB
52%
8/13
10%
8/13
7%
MKS Pogon win to nil
22%
11/2
8%
-
Lech Poznan win to nil
18%
7/2
10%
-
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
17%
15/4
10%
17/5
10%
MKS Pogon / Lech Poznan
4%
20/116/1
11%
MKS Pogon / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / MKS Pogon
11%
13/2
15%
6/1
8%
Draw / Lech Poznan
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/219/4
Lech Poznan / MKS Pogon
4%
22/120/1
11%
Lech Poznan / Lech Poznan
24%
12/5
9%
23/10
8%
Lech Poznan / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

MKS Pogon have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 6. MKS Pogon have conceded 26 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

MKS Pogon have played 14 games at home, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lech Poznan lay in 1st place on 46 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 10 and losing 6 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 8 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lech Poznan have conceded 40 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Lech Poznan have played 14 away games, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
MKS Pogon
Lech Poznan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan2812106946 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
-
-
2
Zaglebie 281288944 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
3
Jagiellonia2811107943 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
4
Gornik Z.281279743 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
5
Plock281198342 
May 3
l
 
2-0A
May 23
d
 
0-00-0
6
Rakow2811710240 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-3A
d
 
2-2F
7
Katowice2812412140 
May 23
l
 
2-0A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
8
Motor Lublin289127-339 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
May 2
9
L.Gdansk2812610437 
l
 
3-4F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
3-4A
10
Korona2810711237 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
11
Cracovia289109037 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
l
 
1-4A
d
 
2-2F
12
MKS Pogon2811413-437 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
Apr 18
13
P.Gliwice2810513-435 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
14
RKS2881010134 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
w
 
4-1F
May 16
15
L. Warsaw287138134 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
16
Arka Gdynia289712-1734 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 8
l
 
3-1F
17
W Lodz289613-233 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
18
Termalica286715-1825 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
MKS Pogon 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Lech Poznan 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at MKS Pogon since 2015
MKS Pogon
Lech Poznan
Goals: Scored
13
16
Games: Scored
6 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
6 / 12
POG
3
D
4
LPO
5
League games at Lech Poznan since 2015
Lech Poznan
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
23
14
Games: Scored
11 / 13
7 / 13
Clean sheets
6 / 13
2 / 13
POG
2
D
4
LPO
7
Goal Statistics
MKS Pogon 12th Lech Poznan 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that MKS Pogon will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Lech Poznan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
MKS Pogon have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-6
Lech Poznan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.1
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
MKS Pogon
PG (predicted goals)
Lech Poznan
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
POG
LPO
18%
better
view stats
Games scored21
24
Failed to score7
4
Scored first12
14
Goals scored38
49
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.8
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
POG
LPO
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
20
Clean sheets5
8
Conceded first16
11
Goals conceded42
40
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+14%

MKS Pogon v Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26766
V CojocaruP MukairuK GrosickiD Loncar
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Mukairu FWD2871
1
-
L Koutris DEF271
3
-
K Grosicki FWD2766
3
-
V Cojocaru GLK26
3
-
F Ulvestad MID2653
3
-
D Loncar DEF2311
6
-
D Keramitsis DEF211
4
-
L Wahlqvist DEF201
5
-
J Pozo MID1921
4
-
S Greenwood MID1833
4
-
M Juwara FWD1811
5
-
L Borges DEF151
1
-
M Ndiaye MID151
3
-
J Bieganski MID14
2
-
K Smoliński MID12
-
H Ali DEF11
3
1
K Angielski FWD101
-
R. Molnár FWD103
-
A Szalai DEF8
1
-
B Mendy  DEF8
3
-
K Acosta MID6
1
1
M. Agger FWD6
-
F. Čuić FWD5
-
Natan Lawa MID4
-
K Kaminski GLK3
-
J. Czapliński FWD2
-
Lech Poznan Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281355
B MrozekM IshakL PalmaA Kozubal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Mrozek GLK28
2
-
L Bengtsson MID2852
2
-
A Kozubal MID261
5
-
M Gurgul DEF253
1
-
J Pereira DEF2523
2
-
L Palma FWD2565
3
1
M Ishak FWD25133
4
-
P Rodríguez MID2331
3
1
Y Agnero FWD233
-
A Milic DEF2221
5
-
F Jagiełło MID2114
2
-
M Skrzypczak DEF191
1
-
T Ismaheel FWD1811
1
-
T Ouma MID171
4
1
R Gumny DEF16
3
-
A Gholizadeh  FWD1653
3
-
W. Mońka DEF13
1
-
G Thórdarson MID1322
1
-
K. Lisman FWD131
-
J Moutinho  DEF12
4
-
P Wålemark MID11
1
-
A. Douglas DEF7
-
D Håkans FWD31
-
S. Dudek MID1
-
K. Jakóbczyk FWD1
-