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MKS Pogon Szczecin v Termalica Bruk-Bet Niecie : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry, Szczecin

Sunday morning at the Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Kry, and it’s a Ekstraklasa clash between MKS Pogon Szczecin and Termalica Bruk-Bet Niecie. Thomas Thomasberg and Marcin Brosz going all-out to guide their side to the win. Analysing both sides' last 20 Ekstraklasa matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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MKS Pogon Szczecin's next match is v Arka Gdynia at 13:45 on Sunday 15th February
Termalica Bruk-Bet Niecie's next match is v Gornik Z. at 18:00 on Monday 16th February
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between MKS Pogon and Termalica was on Sunday 8th February 2026
Polish Ekstraklasa
February 8th 2026
MKS Pogon 1
1 Termalica
 
S. Greenwood 37'83' R. Kurzawa
 
POG
NIE
Shots On
6
8
Shots Off
6
10
Corners
7
5
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
11
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
MKS PogonTermalica
 
L. Borges da Silva (H. Ali 81')
D. Keramitsis
F. Ulvestad
J. Pozo la Rosa (K. Angielski 70')
M. Ndiaye
K. Grosicki (M. Juwara 84')
P. Mukairu
V. Cojocaru
L. Wahlqvist
L. Koutris (D. Lončar 70')
S. Greenwoodfootball icon (K. Smolinski 70')
A. Chovan
B. Kopacz
A. Kasperkiewicz
G. Isik
(R. Boboc 61') M. Wolski
M. Faßbender
(J. Jiménez Núñez 80') K. Kubica
(R. Kurzawa 46') W. Jakubik
M. Ambrosiewicz
(K. Zapolnik 46') I. Durdov
(S. Guerrero Romero 80') D. Hilbrycht

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

This Ekstraklasa clash, with MKS Pogon and Termalica going head-to-head, offers real intrigue in the widely used under 2.5 goals market, with at least 3 goals predicted to be scored in total. Forwards at both clubs will look to take advantage of an open match and, having analysed the relevant stats and odds, we're confident that a bet on over 2.5 goals would be stronger than anything in the WDW market.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think MKS Pogon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
MKS Pogon
55%
-9/1
2%
Draw
20%
-1/16
5%
Termalica
25%
-12/1
MKS Pogon 2-1
9%
-9/2
Draw 1-1
8%
-2/7
6%
MKS Pogon 3-1
7%
-28/1
5%
Draw 2-2
7%
-25/1
MKS Pogon 2-0
6%
-3/1
13%
Termalica 2-1
6%
-8/1
MKS Pogon 1-0
5%
-5/6
6%
MKS Pogon 3-2
5%
-70/1
MKS Pogon 3-0
5%
-12/1
MKS Pogon 4-1
4%
-90/1
Termalica 1-0
3%
-8/1
15%
Termalica 3-2
3%
-90/1
Termalica 3-1
3%
-50/1
MKS Pogon 4-2
3%
-150/1
9%
Termalica 2-0
3%
-16/1
Over 2.5 Goals
73%
-6/1
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
27%
-1/14
9%
Home 1st Goal
53%
-4/7
3%
Away 1st Goal
46%
-2/1
No 1st Goal
1%
-11/2
15%
BTTS - Yes
70%
-11/4
6%
BTTS - No
30%
-2/9
5%
BTTS - Home Win
35%
-4/1
6%
BTTS - Draw
18%
-1/4
BTTS - Away Win
17%
-15/2
7%
Home/draw
75%
-1/100
Away/draw
45%
-1/33
4%
Home/away
80%
-13/2
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
-17/20
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
11%
-4/5
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
52%
-33/1
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
48%
-1/500
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
33%
-100/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
67%
-1/1000
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
18%
-1/50
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
82%
-1/50
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
-1/12
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
-11/2
8%
Home DNB
69%
-2/9
Away DNB
39%
-14/5
1%
MKS Pogon win to nil
20%
--
Termalica win to nil
8%
--
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
36%
-2/9
MKS Pogon / Termalica
3%
-14/1
MKS Pogon / Draw
6%
-5/1
Draw / MKS Pogon
17%
-16/1
Draw / Termalica
7%
-28/1
Draw / Draw
11%
-22/1
8%
Termalica / MKS Pogon
5%
-125/1
12%
Termalica / Termalica
10%
-80/1
7%
Termalica / Draw
5%
-90/1
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

MKS Pogon have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 15th place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. MKS Pogon have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

MKS Pogon have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 15 goals at home.

Termalica are in 18th position in the Ekstraklasa on 19 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 5. Termalica have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
MKS Pogon
Termalica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Jagiellonia1910541335 
l
 
1-2A
May 9
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-4F
2
Plock198921033 
May 2
l
 
2-0A
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
3
Gornik Z.201037533 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
Feb 16
w
 
0-1F
4
Zaglebie 20875631 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
d
 
1-1A
Apr 25
5
Cracovia20875531 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Rakow20938230 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
l
 
2-3F
Feb 21
7
Lech Poznan20785129 
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-2A
Mar 21
8
RKS19766527 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
Mar 1
d
 
1-1F
9
Korona20767227 
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3F
Mar 7
10
Katowice19829-226 
May 23
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
May 2
11
L.Gdansk20857224 
l
 
3-4F
Mar 21
May 23
l
 
5-1A
12
Motor Lublin20596-724 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
13
P.Gliwice19658023 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
Apr 4
l
 
4-2F
14
MKS Pogon206410-522 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
15
Arka Gdynia19649-1722 
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 16
16
L. Warsaw20488-320 
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
May 9
w
 
1-2F
17
W Lodz206212-520 
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
l
 
2-4F
Apr 11
18
Termalica205510-1220 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
Win / draw / win form
MKS Pogon
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Termalica
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
MKS Pogon have not lost to Termalica in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at MKS Pogon since 2016
MKS Pogon
Termalica
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
0 / 6
POG
2
D
3
NIE
1
League games at Termalica since 2015
Termalica
MKS Pogon
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
POG
2
D
2
NIE
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is decent for MKS Pogon Szczecin in their clash with Termalica Bruk-Bet Niecie, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 27 consecutive Ekstraklasa outings.

Termalica Bruk-Bet Niecie's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because MKS Pogon Szczecin have conceded in each of their last 12 Ekstraklasa outings. A PG of 1.5 for M. Brosz's side suggests that run should continue.

MKS Pogon Termalica
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that MKS Pogon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Termalica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
MKS Pogon have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
+16
Termalica have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
MKS Pogon
PG (predicted goals)
Termalica
2.3
1.5
Attack rating
POG
NIE
6%
better
view stats
Games scored14
15
Failed to score5
4
Scored first7
11
Goals scored29
24
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.3
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal8
7
Conversion rate for13
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
POG
NIE
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
16
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded34
36
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+14%

MKS Pogon v Termalica Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20656
K GrosickiK GrosickiK GrosickiD Loncar
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Cojocaru GLK18
2
-
L Wahlqvist DEF191
5
-
D Keramitsis DEF141
1
-
L Borges DEF81
-
L Koutris DEF201
2
-
J Pozo MID141
3
-
F Ulvestad MID1832
2
-
M Ndiaye MID141
3
-
S Greenwood MID1233
3
-
P Mukairu FWD2041
1
-
K Grosicki FWD2065
2
-
Subs
K Kaminski GLK3
-
H Ali DEF8
2
-
J Lis DEF3
-
D Loncar DEF151
6
-
J Bieganski MID9
1
-
K Smoliński MID10
-
M Juwara FWD1811
5
-
K Angielski FWD2
-
Termalica Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20425
G IsikK KubicaD. HilbrychtK Kubica
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Chovan GLK8
-
G Isik DEF201
2
-
B Kopacz DEF16
4
-
A Kasperkiewicz DEF1711
3
-
D. Hilbrycht MID2022
1
-
M Ambrosiewicz MID2012
4
-
K Kubica MID1841
5
-
M Wolski MID151
1
-
W. Jakubik FWD151
1
-
I Durdov FWD2
-
M. Faßbender FWD1921
-
Subs
M Mleczko GLK12
-
L Masoero  DEF11
-
R Boboc DEF161
1
-
M Matysik DEF
-
A Putivtsev DEF8
3
-
R Kurzawa MID1721
2
-
D. Paniek MID4
-
Mini MID1722
3
-
I Strzalek MID
-
A Trubeha FWD132
2
-
J Jiménez FWD174
1
-
K Zapolnik  FWD122
4
-