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Motor Lublin v MKS Pogon Szczecin : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Arena Lublin, Lublin

Motor Lublin and MKS Pogon Szczecin go head to head at the Arena Lublin on Sunday morning, with both Mateusz Stolarski and Thomas Thomasberg seeking a win in the Ekstraklasa. You'll see stats supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Ekstraklasa performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

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Motor Lublin's next match is v Jagiellonia at 16:30 on Saturday 7th February
MKS Pogon Szczecin's next match is v Termalica at 11:15 on Sunday 8th February
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Motor Lublin and MKS Pogon was on Sunday 1st February 2026
Polish Ekstraklasa
February 1st 2026
Motor Lublin 2
1 MKS Pogon
 
K. Czubak 3'36' F. Ulvestad
M. Ndiaye 27'
 
MTL
POG
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
5
8
Corners
3
6
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
16
8
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
Motor LublinMKS Pogon
 
I. Brkić
H. Matthys
S. Samper Montaña (J. Łabojko 61')
I. dos Santos Rodrigues (K. Karasek 85')
K. Czubakfootball icon (R. Dadaşov 73')
F. Costa Conceição (M. Krol 73')
F. Luberecki
P. Stolarski
M. Bartoš
B. Wolski
M. Ndiayefootball icon (F. Lewandowski 85')
D. Keramitsis
football iconF. Ulvestad
J. Pozo la Rosa
M. Juwara
(P. Paryzek 77') K. Grosicki
P. Mukairu
V. Cojocaru
L. Wahlqvist
(L. Borges da Silva 62') L. Koutris
A. Szalai
(K. Angielski 62') S. Greenwood

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 76% probability of Motor Lublin and MKS Pogon delivering at least 2 goals in this Ekstraklasa tie. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and the bookmakers are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Motor Lublin are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 47% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Motor Lublin
47%
31/201/1000
Draw
25%
5/216/1
MKS Pogon
28%
7/580/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
Motor Lublin 1-0
10%
10/115/2
Motor Lublin 2-1
9%
9/12/13
Motor Lublin 2-0
8%
14/17/1
MKS Pogon 1-0
7%
10/117/2
MKS Pogon 2-1
7%
9/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/115/2
Motor Lublin 3-1
5%
18/19/1
MKS Pogon 2-0
4%
14/111/1
Motor Lublin 3-0
4%
25/16/1
Motor Lublin 3-2
3%
22/140/1
MKS Pogon 3-1
3%
18/118/1
MKS Pogon 3-2
2%
22/150/1
Motor Lublin 4-1
2%
40/155/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
13/201/18
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
6/513/2
Home 1st Goal
51%
20/2119/20
Away 1st Goal
45%
10/1110/11
No 1st Goal
4%
14/111/1
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/151/3
BTTS - No
45%
11/82/1
BTTS - Home Win
22%
7/21/16
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/315/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
10/350/1
Home/draw
72%
8/151/1000
Away/draw
53%
1/27/1
Home/away
75%
2/71/18
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/51/20
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/37/1
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
13/819/5
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/91/7
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/222/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/111/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/160/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/100
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/110/1
Home DNB
64%
5/619/20
Away DNB
46%
5/64/5
Motor Lublin win to nil
25%
9/2-
MKS Pogon win to nil
14%
4/1-
Motor Lublin / Motor Lublin
20%
3/14/7
Motor Lublin / MKS Pogon
4%
22/111/2
Motor Lublin / Draw
7%
12/114/5
Draw / Motor Lublin
12%
11/222/1
Draw / MKS Pogon
13%
11/218/1
Draw / Draw
13%
5/120/1
MKS Pogon / Motor Lublin
4%
22/190/1
MKS Pogon / MKS Pogon
21%
3/170/1
MKS Pogon / Draw
7%
12/1100/1
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Motor Lublin have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Motor Lublin have conceded 25 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Motor Lublin have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

MKS Pogon lay in 12th place on 21 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 18 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 10 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. MKS Pogon have conceded 7 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

MKS Pogon have played 9 away games, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 0.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Motor Lublin
MKS Pogon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Plock198921033 
d
 
1-1F
May 9
May 2
l
 
2-0A
2
Gornik Z.191036633 
Mar 7
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
3
Jagiellonia189541032 
d
 
1-1A
Feb 7
l
 
1-2A
May 9
4
Zaglebie 20875631 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
May 16
5
Cracovia20875531 
May 16
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 25
6
Rakow19928229 
Apr 11
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 7
7
Korona20767227 
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
Mar 14
l
 
1-0A
8
RKS18756526 
d
 
2-2A
Apr 4
d
 
2-2F
l
 
5-1A
9
Lech Poznan19685026 
May 2
d
 
2-2F
Apr 18
d
 
2-2F
10
L.Gdansk20857224 
Feb 15
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-4F
Mar 21
11
Motor Lublin19595-424 
-
-
w
 
4-1A
l
 
2-1A
12
P.Gliwice19658023 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
w
 
2-1F
Apr 11
13
Katowice18729-323 
l
 
2-5A
Apr 18
May 23
l
 
2-0A
14
MKS Pogon196310-521 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1F
-
-
15
Arka Gdynia18639-1721 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
l
 
2-1F
16
W Lodz196211-420 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
Feb 28
w
 
1-2A
17
L. Warsaw19478-319 
d
 
1-1F
May 23
Apr 4
l
 
1-0A
18
Termalica195410-1219 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 14
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
5
MKS Pogon have not won in 5 consecutive away league games
Motor Lublin 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
MKS Pogon 10TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goal Statistics

Motor Lublin's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday morning, not least because MKS Pogon Szczecin have conceded in each of their last 11 Ekstraklasa outings. A PG of 1.6 for M. Stolarski's side suggests that run should continue.

Motor Lublin's defensive record is to be admired, M. Stolarski's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ekstraklasa matches. An average PG rating of 1.2 for MKS Pogon Szczecin makes sense in this context.

Motor Lublin 11th MKS Pogon 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 79% probability that Motor Lublin will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that MKS Pogon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Motor Lublin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-4
MKS Pogon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2025/2026 season
Motor Lublin
PG (predicted goals)
MKS Pogon
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
1%
better
MTL
POG
view stats
Games scored14
13
Failed to score4
5
Scored first9
7
Goals scored23
28
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
23%
better
MTL
POG
view stats
Games conceded14
17
Clean sheets4
1
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded28
32
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+23%

Motor Lublin v MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
191145
B. WolskiK. CzubakB. WolskiI Rodrigues
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Brkić GLK17
2
-
P Stolarski DEF16
2
-
M. Bartoš DEF141
3
-
H Matthys DEF13
-
F. Luberecki DEF17
3
-
I Rodrigues MID1722
5
-
S Samper MID161
2
-
B. Wolski MID1914
2
-
M. Ndiaye FWD1031
2
-
K. Czubak FWD17112
-
F Ronaldo FWD1331
1
-
Subs
G. Tratnik GLK2
-
P. Kukulski GLK
-
P. Meyer DEF2
1
-
F. Wójcik DEF15
2
-
A. Najemski DEF8
2
-
B. Ede DEF5
4
-
K Palacz DEF61
1
-
K Karasek MID7
1
1
F. Lewandowski MID2
-
J Labojko MID161
4
1
M Krol MID1912
-
R Dadashov FWD12
3
-
MKS Pogon Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19655
K GrosickiK GrosickiK GrosickiL Wahlqvist
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Cojocaru GLK17
1
-
L Wahlqvist DEF181
5
-
D Keramitsis DEF131
1
-
A Szalai DEF1
-
M Juwara MID1711
5
-
F Ulvestad MID1732
1
-
J Pozo MID131
3
-
L Koutris MID191
2
-
S Greenwood FWD1123
3
-
P Mukairu FWD1941
1
-
K Grosicki FWD1965
2
-
Subs
K Kaminski GLK3
-
J Lis DEF3
-
M. Huja DEF1521
4
-
L Borges DEF71
-
H Ali DEF7
2
-
J Bieganski MID9
1
-
M Ndiaye MID131
3
-
M. Wojciechowski MID3
-
K Smoliński MID9
-
P. Paryzek FWD4
-
K Angielski FWD1
-