Stal Mielec's team badge KS Rakow Czestochowa's team badge

Stal Mielec v KS Rakow Czestochowa : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Stali Mielec, Mielec

We’ve Ekstraklasa action to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, as Dzenan Uscuplic and his Stal Mielec side host Marek Papszun’s KS Rakow Czestochowa at the Stadion Stali Mielec. We've got the best odds for 17 top betting markets as well as predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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Stal Mielec's next match is v RKS at 17:00 on Friday 16th May
KS Rakow Czestochowa's next match is v Korona at 19:15 on Saturday 17th May
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Stal Mielec and Rakow was on Saturday 3rd May 2025
Polish Ekstraklasa
May 3rd 2025
Stal Mielec 0
2 Rakow
 
73' P. Baráth
82' J. Brunes
 
STM
RAK
Shots On
1
7
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
1
12
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
5
10
 
Stal MielecRakow
 
J. Mądrzyk
B. Esselink
M. Matras
F. Gerbowski (M. Domański 65')
A. Jaunzems
M. Guillaumier
K. Knap (P. Hannola 77')
P. Wlazło
K. Wołkowicz
Ł. Wolsztyński (J. Beauguel 77')
D. Kądzior (S. Krykun 65')
K. Trelowski
E. Svarnas
Z. Arsenić
(P. Baráth 66') A. Mosór
(M. Rodin 76') J. Silva Rocha
A. Amorim Santos
(B. Lederman 85') V. Kochergin
(P. Makuch 66') J. Díaz Gómez
I. López Álvarez
G. Berggren
(L. Miramar Rocha 85') football iconJ. Brunes

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Stal Mielec and Rakow have served up plenty of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance stats point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Rakow coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Stal Mielec
24%
16/5
4%
-
Draw
26%
27/10
4%
-
Rakow
50%
7/10-
Rakow 1-0
12%
13/2
7%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
13/2
7%
-
Rakow 2-0
10%
15/2
6%
-
Rakow 2-1
9%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1
20%
-
Stal Mielec 1-0
8%
12/1
8%
-
Stal Mielec 2-1
6%
14/1-
Rakow 3-0
5%
12/1-
Rakow 3-1
5%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
-
Stal Mielec 2-0
4%
22/1-
Rakow 3-2
2%
22/1
12%
-
Stal Mielec 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
-
Rakow 4-0
2%
28/1-
Rakow 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/5
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/1
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
42%
7/4
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/2-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - No
51%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
11%
7/1
11%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
13/5
4%
-
Home/draw
50%
1/1-
Away/draw
76%
1/5
1%
-
Home/away
74%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/4
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/1
12%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/11
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/8
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11/1
20%
-
Home DNB
42%
12/5
3%
-
Away DNB
68%
3/10
1%
-
Stal Mielec win to nil
13%
7/1-
Rakow win to nil
29%
2/1
9%
-
Stal Mielec / Stal Mielec
11%
13/2-
Stal Mielec / Rakow
4%
20/1
9%
-
Stal Mielec / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Stal Mielec
8%
17/2-
Draw / Rakow
18%
15/4
6%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Rakow / Stal Mielec
2%
33/1
17%
-
Rakow / Rakow
32%
7/4-
Rakow / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Stal Mielec have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 8 and won 6. Stal Mielec have conceded 42 goals, scored 30, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Stal Mielec have played 15 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Rakow lay in 1st place on 62 points in the Ekstraklasa league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 16 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Rakow have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 7 matches.

Away league performance

Rakow have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Stal Mielec
Rakow
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan3221383666 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
2
Rakow Away3219852765 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Jagiellonia3217871459 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2F
4
MKS Pogon31165101653 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
5
L. Warsaw3114891550 
d
 
2-2A
May 24
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Gornik Z.3213712646 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Cracovia3212911245 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
8
Katowice3213613145 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
9
Korona32111011-843 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 17
10
Motor Lublin3112712-1043 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
11
P.Gliwice32101210042 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
12
RKS3211714-340 
May 16
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
13
W Lodz3110714-1037 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 24
w
 
2-3A
14
L.Gdansk3210616-1436 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
15
Zaglebie 3210616-1636 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-2F
16
Stal Mielec H327817-1729 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
S.Wroclaw3261016-1528 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
Puszcza326917-2427 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Stal Mielec 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Rakow 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Rakow have not lost to Stal Mielec in 9 consecutive league meetings
4
Rakow have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive league meetings with Stal Mielec
League games at Stal Mielec since 2021
Stal Mielec
Rakow
Goals: Scored
0
4
Games: Scored
0 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
4 / 4
D
2
RAK
2
League games at Rakow since 2020
Rakow
Stal Mielec
Goals: Scored
10
4
Games: Scored
5 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
0 / 5
RAK
5
Goal Statistics

KS Rakow Czestochowa's defensive record is very strong, Marek Papszun's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Ekstraklasa games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Stal Mielec makes sense in this context.

Stal Mielec 16th Rakow 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Stal Mielec scoring 1 goal or less
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Rakow will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Stal Mielec have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-24
Rakow have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277216/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Stal Mielec
PG (predicted goals)
Rakow
1
1.5
Attack rating
STM
RAK
22%
better
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score8
7
Scored first10
19
Goals scored32
45
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for2.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+22%
Defence rating
STM
RAK
51%
better
view stats
Games conceded26
14
Clean sheets4
16
Conceded first19
7
Goals conceded48
19
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
13
Conversion rate against15%
8%
Avg. XG against2
1.1
KickOff rating
+51%

Stal Mielec v Rakow Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Stal Mielec Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
281047
J MadrzykP WlazloM GuillaumierP Wlazlo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Madrzyk GLK28
1
-
P Wlazlo DEF2710
4
3
M Matras DEF2921
4
-
B Esselink DEF26
4
1
A Jaunzems MID3111
3
-
M Guillaumier MID2924
4
-
K Knap MID11
3
-
K. Wołkowicz MID1911
2
-
F Gerbowski FWD201
3
-
L Wolsztynski FWD2842
2
-
D Kadzior FWD9
1
1
Subs
K. Jałocha GLK
-
K Getinger DEF2613
2
-
M Domanski MID3112
2
-
P Hannola MID11
-
A Bukowski MID81
1
-
S Krykun MID191
-
D. Zięba MID
-
J Beauguel FWD6
-
R. Assayag FWD221
1
-
Rakow Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321279
K TrelowskiJ BrunesI López G Berggren
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Trelowski GLK321
1
-
A Mosór DEF5
-
Z Arsenic DEF1811
1
-
S Svarnas DEF272
8
-
J Silva  MID3151
4
-
G Berggren MID3025
8
1
V Kochergin MID3255
3
-
A. Amorim Santos MID281
2
-
J. Díaz Gómez FWD221
1
-
J Brunes FWD2912
5
-
I López  FWD2587
3
-
Subs
D Kuciak GLK
1
-
M Rundic DEF11
1
-
M Rodin DEF241
3
1
B Lederman MID6
-
S Plavsic MID6
1
-
P Baráth MID2321
6
-
I. Seck MID1
-
L Rocha FWD1312
-
P Makuch FWD2522
1
-