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Alverca v AVS : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Alverca and AVS go head to head at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca on Saturday afternoon, with both Custódio André Gune and João Pedro Borges de Sousa aiming for victory in the Liga NOS. All of the important stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Alverca's next match is v Gil Vicente at 18:00 on Saturday 14th March
AVS's next match is v Santa Clara at 15:30 on Sunday 15th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Alverca and AVS was on Saturday 7th March 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 7th 2026
Alverca 0
0 AVS
 
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
10
6
Corners
8
Possession
69%
31%
Fouls
7
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
AlvercaAVS
 
N. Zoubdi Touaizi
A. Nogueira Gomes
S. Gómez Solà
I. James (F. Garcia Andrade 84')
S. Baseya (D. Spencer Marques 84')
M. Milovanović (S. Cesar 56')
Chiquinho (V. Silva Moreira 78')
N. Meupiyou Menadjou
L. Oliveira dos Santos
R. Simião Gomes (M. Clairicia 78')
L. Figueiredo dos Santos
A. Vasconcelos Ramos
P. Leal Sousa Lima
C. Afonso
A. de Jesus Santos
(T. Galletto 34') Á. Algobia Esteves
(?. Perea Abonce 63') A. Fernandes Mendes
(C. dos Santos Rodrigues 72') D. Duarte Garcete
R. Medeiros de Moura
(B. Akinsola 63') G. Neiva Silva
(G. Molina Gutiérrez 72') M. Cardoso Francisco
G. Mendonça

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Alverca to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this game, and it's Alverca. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they know how to beat AVS too. The odds point towards Custódio André Gune's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alverca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 62% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
62%
8/1310/1
Draw
21%
11/41/14
AVS
17%
17/418/1
Alverca 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Alverca 2-0
11%
7/140/1
Draw 1-1
10%
6/133/1
Alverca 2-1
10%
15/2125/1
Alverca 3-0
7%
11/1200/1
Alverca 3-1
6%
12/1150/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/12/11
AVS 1-0
5%
14/110/1
AVS 2-1
5%
16/1150/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1150/1
Alverca 4-0
4%
22/1250/1
Alverca 4-1
3%
25/1200/1
Alverca 3-2
3%
25/1200/1
AVS 2-0
2%
28/180/1
Alverca 4-2
1%
40/1150/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
17/2070/1
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
19/201/300
Home 1st Goal
57%
8/159/1
Away 1st Goal
40%
7/416/1
No 1st Goal
3%
10/11/16
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/570/1
BTTS - No
49%
19/201/1000
BTTS - Home Win
27%
13/580/1
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/133/1
BTTS - Away Win
8%
9/1100/1
Home/draw
83%
1/61/300
Away/draw
38%
6/51/33
Home/away
79%
1/47/1
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/450/1
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/41/1000
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
9/41/50
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1/31/50
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/81/50
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/207/1
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/11/16
Home DNB
77%
2/92/5
Away DNB
32%
3/117/10
Alverca win to nil
35%
7/4-
AVS win to nil
8%
9/1-
Alverca / Alverca
31%
6/412/1
Alverca / AVS
2%
40/150/1
Alverca / Draw
6%
14/133/1
Draw / Alverca
18%
7/26/5
Draw / AVS
8%
10/119/5
Draw / Draw
15%
5/117/10
AVS / Alverca
4%
20/140/1
AVS / AVS
10%
15/225/1
AVS / Draw
5%
16/133/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 24 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Alverca have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Alverca have played 12 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

AVS are in 18th position in the Liga NOS on 9 points having played 24 matches so far this season. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 6 and won 1. AVS have conceded 57 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
AVS
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
l
 
0-3A
May 3
May 10
l
 
2-0A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
Apr 26
l
 
6-0A
3
Benfica2517803759 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
4
Braga2513752746 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 14
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
6
Famalicao251168939 
w
 
1-0F
May 17
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
May 17
8
Estoril25979434 
May 10
l
 
4-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
10
Alverca257711-1528 
-
-
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
11
Arouca257513-2126 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3A
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
15
Nacional255713-822 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
d
 
2-2F
May 3
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
17
Tondela254714-2019 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
18
AVS251717-3910 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3A
-
-
Win / draw / win form
11
AVS have not won in 11 consecutive away league games
Alverca 10TH
12 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
9 / 12
Conceded
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
Failed to score
3 / 12
Won
5
Draw
3
Lost
4
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AVS 18TH
20 league games
Away
11
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
56
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
49
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
1
Draw
5
Lost
14
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Alverca in their clash with AVS, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 24 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Alverca 10th AVS 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Alverca will score 1 or more goals
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of AVS scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
12 home / away league games
-12
Alverca have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
AVS have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
AVS
2
0.9
Attack rating
34%
better
view stats
Games scored18
11
Failed to score6
13
Scored first9
4
Goals scored24
18
Avg. goals scored1
0.8
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
10
Conversion rate for15
10
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
22
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first15
19
Goals conceded39
57
Avg. goals conceded1.6
2.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against17%
21%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+25%

Alverca v AVS Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23735
A GomesM MilovanovicZoubdiN. Meupiyou Menadjou
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Gomes GLK23
3
-
S Baseya DEF8
1
-
S Gómez DEF21
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF22
4
1
I. James DEF121
3
-
Zoubdi MID2413
4
-
Rhaldney MID5
1
-
Lincoln MID2123
5
-
L Figueiredo FWD1831
2
-
M Milovanovic FWD2471
3
-
Chiquinho FWD1211
3
-
Subs
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF2
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF11
1
-
V. Silva Moreira MID8
1
-
D. Gui MID2011
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD211
-
M. Clairicia FWD6
-
S. Cesar FWD2032
1
F. Garcia Andrade FWD41
-
AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21425
B AkinsolaNenêB AkinsolaR Semedo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Adriel GLK8
-
M Pivô DEF5
2
-
A Santos DEF13
2
-
P. Leal Sousa Lima DEF9
1
Kiki DEF21
2
-
Ángel Algobia MID181
-
Roni MID8
1
-
G. Mendonça MID13
3
-
G. Neiva Silva FWD1611
2
-
T Tómané FWD2121
3
-
D Duarte FWD183
-
Subs
S Simão GLK11
1
-
Ponck DEF11
2
-
R Semedo DEF9
4
1
G Molina DEF51
-
T Galletto MID10
2
-
A Green FWD
-
B Akinsola FWD2512
1
-
O Perea FWD192
-
Nenê FWD1741
2
-