Alverca's team badge CD Nacional's team badge

Alverca v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 7th Dec, 18:00 BST, Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca,

Custódio André Gune's Alverca side will have home backing in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional arrive at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this Liga NOS clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're tipping a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. For those unfamiliar with that term, this simply means that 2 goals or fewer will be scored in total as Alverca and Nacional go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have faith in both sides to deliver exactly that. The statistics and the odds below suggest it's a sound bet too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Nacional coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alverca
29%
21/205/4
Draw
29%
11/511/5
Nacional
42%
13/523/10
Nacional 1-0
13%
17/27/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Draw 0-0
11%
7/16/1
Alverca 1-0
11%
11/211/2
Nacional 2-0
8%
16/112/1
Nacional 2-1
8%
12/19/1
Alverca 2-1
6%
8/115/2
Alverca 2-0
5%
17/28/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/112/1
Nacional 3-0
3%
40/125/1
Nacional 3-1
3%
33/120/1
Alverca 3-1
2%
18/114/1
Alverca 3-0
2%
18/116/1
Nacional 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Alverca 3-2
1%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
6/523/20
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
13/2013/20
Home 1st Goal
43%
4/55/6
Away 1st Goal
50%
11/813/10
No 1st Goal
7%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/2010/11
BTTS - No
55%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
11%
15/418/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
7/111/2
Home/draw
58%
2/71/3
Away/draw
71%
7/108/13
Home/away
71%
4/111/3
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
4/112/5
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
3/129/10
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/100
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/121/14
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
7/113/2
Home DNB
49%
1/211/20
Away DNB
62%
6/413/10
Alverca win to nil
18%
12/5-
Nacional win to nil
27%
5/1-
Alverca / Alverca
23%
5/25/2
Alverca / Nacional
3%
33/125/1
Alverca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Alverca
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Nacional
11%
13/26/1
Draw / Draw
18%
15/410/3
Nacional / Alverca
3%
25/120/1
Nacional / Nacional
14%
5/117/4
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Alverca have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Alverca have outscored their opponents by 14 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Alverca have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Nacional are in 13th position in the Liga NOS on 12 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 4 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 14 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alverca
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1211102234 
Dec 22
May 2
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon1210112531 
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
3
Benfica128401828 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
4
Gil Vicente127231023 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
5
Famalicao12552620 
Jan 4
May 16
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
6
Braga125431219 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
7
Moreirense12615119 
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
8
V. Guimaraes12525-317 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
May 16
Jan 4
9
Alverca12426-514 
-
-
Apr 18
Dec 7
10
Estoril12345113 
May 9
Dec 29
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
11
Rio Ave12273-513 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
12
Santa Clara12336-412 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
Dec 28
May 9
13
Nacional12336-512 
Dec 7
Apr 18
-
-
14
Estrela Amadora12255-511 
Feb 1
d
 
2-2F
Apr 3
d
 
1-1F
15
Casa Pia12237-139 
Apr 11
w
 
0-2F
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
16
Tondela12237-139 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Dec 13
Apr 25
17
Arouca12237-219 
Apr 25
Dec 14
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
18
AVS12039-213 
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
May 2
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
Alverca 9TH
6 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
5
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
4 / 6
Conceded
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
Failed to score
2 / 6
Won
2
D
1
Lost
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Alverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Alverca0 - 3Braga
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
9 / 12
Conceded
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
Failed to score
3 / 12
Won
4
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estrela Amadora1 - 1Nacional
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Braga0 - 1Nacional
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia0 - 2Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
Goal Statistics
Alverca 9th Nacional 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Alverca scoring 1 goal or less
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
6 home / away league games
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-24
Nacional have scored 24% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Alverca
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1
1.2
Attack rating
1%
better
NAC
view stats
Games scored9
9
Failed to score3
3
Scored first4
7
Goals scored14
12
Avg. goals scored1.2
1
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for16
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
NAC
5%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded19
17
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against17%
13%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+5%

Alverca v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12424
A FilhoM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF121
1
-
A Filho MID121
3
-
M Milovanovic FWD124
3
-
A Gomes GLK11
2
-
S Gómez DEF11
1
-
K Naves DEF11
3
1
C. Nuozzi FWD111
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF10
2
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF10
3
-
D. Gui MID101
2
-
Lincoln MID922
1
-
S Abdulai MID9
3
1
I. James DEF61
1
-
L Figueiredo FWD611
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF4
-
S Baseya DEF4
-
Chiquinho FWD4
2
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
M Mendes GLK1
-
S Lima FWD1
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12734
J. Mendes GomesChuchuJ. Mendes GomesL Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1213
1
-
L Santos DEF122
4
-
Liziero  MID123
4
-
P Bóia FWD1211
2
-
Witi FWD12
-
Chuchu FWD127
4
-
M Dias MID11
1
1
J Aurélio DEF10
1
-
Z Vitor DEF101
3
1
F Soares MID10
2
-
C. Abidi MID10
3
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD7
1
1
L João FWD7
-
K Azarias GLK6
-
L França GLK6
1
-
J Silva MID6
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
M. Nourani FWD4
1
-
A Duarte DEF3
-
A Sousa MID3
-
L Vallier DEF2
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF2
1
-
M Baeza MID1
-