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Arouca v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 20:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Custódio André Gune is aiming for a crucial away win in the Liga NOS on Sunday night, as he takes his Alverca side to the Estadio Municipal de Arouca to visit Arouca and Vasco César Freire De Seabra. We've got odds for 17 top betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% probability of Arouca and Alverca scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Liga NOS match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it would appear that the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Alverca coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
27%
2.95
3%
2.88
1%
Draw
24%
3.203.30
Alverca
50%
2.35
2%
2.45
Draw 1-1
11%
6.006.00
Alverca 2-1
10%
10.009.00
Alverca 1-0
9%
7.506.50
Alverca 2-0
8%
11.009.50
5%
Arouca 2-1
7%
11.0010.00
5%
Arouca 1-0
6%
8.50
6%
7.00
Draw 2-2
6%
15.0013.00
Alverca 3-1
6%
21.0017.00
Draw 0-0
5%
8.007.50
Alverca 3-0
5%
23.0019.00
Arouca 2-0
4%
15.00
15%
12.00
Alverca 3-2
3%
34.0023.00
12%
Arouca 3-1
3%
26.0019.00
Alverca 4-1
2%
41.00
20%
34.00
Arouca 3-2
2%
41.00
21%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
2.202.20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1.651.62
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.20
5%
2.15
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.911.95
No 1st Goal
3%
8.007.50
BTTS - Yes
58%
1.91
2%
1.91
2%
BTTS - No
42%
1.91
6%
1.80
BTTS - Home Win
14%
6.505.75
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.504.50
BTTS - Away Win
25%
5.505.00
Home/draw
50%
1.531.53
Away/draw
73%
1.36
3%
1.40
Home/away
76%
1.361.33
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1.361.40
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3.002.80
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
4.003.90
Under 3.5 Goals
65%
1.221.22
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9.008.00
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.071.07
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
19.0017.00
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.081.07
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
8.007.50
Home DNB
43%
2.10
5%
2.00
Away DNB
66%
1.67
3%
1.73
2%
Arouca win to nil
12%
5.00
11%
-
Alverca win to nil
24%
3.75
6%
-
Arouca / Arouca
17%
5.00
5%
4.50
Arouca / Alverca
3%
29.0023.00
Arouca / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Arouca
13%
6.506.00
Draw / Alverca
15%
5.50
8%
5.50
Draw / Draw
17%
4.754.50
Alverca / Arouca
3%
34.00
17%
23.00
Alverca / Alverca
21%
4.003.80
Alverca / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 13 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Arouca have conceded 36 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 7 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Alverca lay in 9th place on 17 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 13 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 11 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Alverca have conceded 6 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Alverca have played 6 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1312102437 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
Dec 22
May 2
2
S. Lisbon1310212532 
Jan 25
l
 
6-0A
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica138501829 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
4
Gil Vicente137331024 
Dec 28
May 9
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
5
Braga136431322 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 11
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
6
Famalicao13553520 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Jan 4
May 16
7
Moreirense13625120 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
Jan 18
l
 
2-1A
8
V. Guimaraes13535-318 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
9
Alverca13526-417 
Dec 14
Apr 25
-
-
10
Rio Ave13373-416 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
11
Santa Clara13436-315 
May 2
Dec 21
Feb 22
l
 
2-1A
12
Estoril13355114 
Apr 3
l
 
4-3F
May 9
Dec 29
13
Estrela Amadora13355-314 
Apr 18
l
 
3-1A
Feb 1
d
 
2-2F
14
Nacional13337-612 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
15
Casa Pia13238-149 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
Apr 11
w
 
0-2F
16
Tondela13238-159 
May 16
Jan 3
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
17
Arouca13238-239 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 14
18
AVS130310-223 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 18
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
6
Arouca have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Arouca 17TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
45
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
AArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
HArouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AArouca0 - 2Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AArouca2 - 2Benfica
HArouca1 - 2Famalicao
Alverca 9TH
6 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
5 / 6
Conceded
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
Failed to score
1 / 6
Won
2
D
1
Lost
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
10 / 13
Conceded
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
Failed to score
3 / 13
Won
5
D
2
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
AAlverca1 - 2Moreirense
Goal Statistics

Alverca's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Arouca have conceded in each of their last 14 Liga NOS matches. A PG of 1.7 for C. Gune's side suggests that run should continue.

Arouca 17th Alverca 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Alverca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Arouca have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.2
1.7
Attack rating
ARO
16%
better
view stats
Games scored6
9
Failed to score6
3
Scored first4
4
Goals scored13
14
Avg. goals scored1
1.1
Avg. shots per game7
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for0.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
ARO
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
9
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first8
8
Goals conceded34
19
Avg. goals conceded2.6
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against25%
17%
Avg. XG against2
1.5
KickOff rating
+36%

Arouca v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12528
T FukuiN Djouahra A TrezzaJ Fontán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Fukui MID1321
2
1
A Trezza FWD1342
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD1351
1
-
M Puche FWD121
2
-
T Esgaio DEF11
5
-
J Fontán DEF111
5
3
H. Lee MID112
2
-
B Pinto MID11
3
-
Barbero FWD111
1
-
A Dante DEF10
-
J Valido GLK9
-
A Solà DEF91
1
-
B Popovic DEF91
1
-
D Nandin FWD9
1
1
B Mansilla FWD91
1
-
P Gozálbez MID8
1
-
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
E. van Ee MID61
1
-
P Santos MID6
1
-
O. Fayed DEF5
1
-
N Mantl GLK4
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID3
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13524
A FilhoM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF131
2
-
A Filho MID131
3
-
M Milovanovic FWD135
3
-
A Gomes GLK12
2
-
K Naves DEF12
3
1
C. Nuozzi FWD121
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF11
2
-
S Gómez DEF11
1
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF11
3
-
D. Gui MID1111
2
-
Lincoln MID1022
1
-
S Abdulai MID10
3
1
L Figueiredo FWD711
-
I. James DEF61
1
-
S Baseya DEF5
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF5
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
Chiquinho FWD4
2
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
M Mendes GLK1
-
S Lima FWD1
-