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Arouca v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 20:30 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

The Liga NOS is the focus for both Arouca and Benfica on Saturday night, as bosses Vasco César Freire De Seabra and José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho face one another at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that will help you do exactly that. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

Winning away from home in Liga NOS is always cause for celebration, and we're predicting that José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho and his Benfica side will do exactly that at Estadio Municipal de Arouca on Saturday night. The statistics below, including historical head-to-head (H2H) records, make their ability to get the job done clear, and the bookmakers odds do too. Top odds are 1.29 on Benfica to win. It's a bet we think is well worth taking.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 68% chance of Benfica coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
12%
9/19/1
Draw
19%
19/419/4
4%
Benfica
68%
6/252/7
Benfica 2-0
13%
11/219/4
Benfica 1-0
12%
13/26/1
Benfica 2-1
10%
8/17/1
Draw 1-1
9%
10/117/2
Benfica 3-0
9%
13/26/1
7%
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
14/112/1
8%
Benfica 4-0
5%
11/19/1
Arouca 1-0
4%
22/116/1
Draw 2-2
4%
22/118/1
Benfica 4-1
4%
16/114/1
Arouca 2-1
4%
28/120/1
10%
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/120/1
10%
Benfica 5-0
2%
22/116/1
Arouca 2-0
2%
50/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
3/53/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
13/105/4
Home 1st Goal
37%
13/516/5
3%
Away 1st Goal
60%
3/101/4
No 1st Goal
3%
14/112/1
8%
BTTS - Yes
47%
21/2011/10
2%
BTTS - No
53%
7/104/6
1%
BTTS - Home Win
6%
18/114/1
BTTS - Draw
14%
13/26/1
BTTS - Away Win
28%
2/121/10
Home/draw
32%
11/413/5
3%
Away/draw
88%
1/161/18
Home/away
81%
1/72/15
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/112/11
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
7/217/5
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
6/429/20
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/21/2
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/316/5
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/51/5
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/113/2
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/141/14
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/331/50
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/112/1
Home DNB
26%
8/113/2
Away DNB
82%
1/141/14
Arouca win to nil
6%
16/1-
Benfica win to nil
41%
10/11-
Arouca / Arouca
5%
18/112/1
Arouca / Benfica
4%
20/118/1
Arouca / Draw
4%
22/116/1
Draw / Arouca
4%
20/116/1
Draw / Benfica
21%
11/43/1
Draw / Draw
10%
7/113/2
Benfica / Arouca
2%
50/145/1
Benfica / Benfica
45%
4/53/4
3%
Benfica / Draw
4%
18/116/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 37 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Benfica lay in 3rd place on 59 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches. Benfica are unbeaten in 22 games against teams below them in the league and kept 11 clean sheets out of 22 games. Benfica are unbeaten away after 12 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 50 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Benfica have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Benfica have played 12 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
3
Benfica2517803759 
Mar 14
l
 
5-0A
-
-
4
Braga2513752746 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
May 10
d
 
2-2F
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
6
Famalicao251168939 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 21
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
8
Estoril25979434 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
w
 
3-1F
May 17
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
10
Alverca257711-1528 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Arouca257513-2126 
-
-
w
 
5-0F
Mar 14
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
15
Nacional255713-822 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
17
Tondela254714-2019 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
40
Benfica have not lost in 40 consecutive league games
Arouca 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca3 - 0Nacional
Arouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca0 - 1Famalicao
AArouca1 - 3Porto
HArouca3 - 0Nacional
AArouca2 - 3Casa Pia
HArouca3 - 2V. Guimaraes
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
40
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente1 - 2Benfica
Santa Clara1 - 2Benfica
Tondela0 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave0 - 2Benfica
Braga2 - 2Benfica
Moreirense0 - 4Benfica
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto0 - 0Benfica
AVS0 - 3Benfica
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica2 - 2Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Benfica have beaten Arouca in 5 consecutive away league meetings
12
Benfica have not lost to Arouca in 12 consecutive league meetings
4
Benfica have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive away league meetings with Arouca
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
Benfica
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
4 / 6
ARO
1
BEF
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
0 - 3Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
1 - 2Benfica
Arouca1 - 0
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Arouca
Goals: Scored
24
3
Games: Scored
7 / 7
2 / 7
Clean sheets
5 / 7
0 / 7
D
1
BEF
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica5 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Benfica5 - 0
Benfica4 - 0
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 0
Benfica3 - 1
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Arouca 11th Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
0
12%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 62% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Benfica have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
0.8
2.1
Attack rating
ARO
BEF
32%
better
view stats
Games scored17
23
Failed to score8
2
Scored first11
19
Goals scored32
53
Avg. goals scored1.3
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
12
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
17
Avg. XG for0.9
2.2
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
ARO
BEF
52%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
13
Clean sheets5
12
Conceded first13
4
Goals conceded53
16
Avg. goals conceded2.1
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
9
Conversion rate against21%
11%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.8
KickOff rating
+52%

Arouca v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24839
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD2583
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD2562
2
-
T Fukui MID2422
2
1
Barbero FWD2351
4
-
M Puche FWD231
3
-
J Fontán DEF2213
5
3
H. Lee MID2253
4
1
T Esgaio DEF2112
9
-
P Gozálbez MID191
1
-
E. van Ee MID1711
5
-
D Nandin FWD171
1
1
B Popovic DEF161
3
-
B Mansilla FWD161
1
-
A Dante DEF14
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
P Santos MID10
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
M Rocha DEF8
2
2
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
D Monteiro DEF5
1
-
M. Flores Lozano MID5
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
242148
V PavlidisV PavlidisV PavlidisN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD25214
2
-
S Dahl DEF2411
2
-
N Otamendi DEF242
7
1
A Trubin GLK23
-
L Barreiro MID2323
1
-
F Aursnes MID2233
1
-
E Barrenechea MID211
6
-
G Prestianni FWD2021
5
1
H Sudakov MID1942
2
-
R Ríos MID191
6
-
A Schjelderup FWD1942
2
-
A Silva DEF181
4
-
T Araújo DEF1811
3
-
A Dedic DEF1713
2
1
F Ivanovic FWD1731
1
-
D Lukébakio FWD93
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
Manu MID6
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
A Bah DEF31
1
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-