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Arouca v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 18:00 BST, Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Rui Manuel Gomes Borges pays counterpart Vasco César Freire De Seabra a visit on Saturday evening in the Liga NOS, as their Sporting Lisbon and Arouca charges face each other at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head stats across every market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Liga NOS clash.


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Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

No team in Liga NOS wants to lose in front of their home fans, but the stats below are suggesting that could be Arouca's fate as they go head-to-head with S. Lisbon at Estadio Municipal de Arouca on Saturday evening. The bookmakers agree, each suggesting an away win is the most likely outcome at odds of 1.25, and so does our predictive algorithm. We've calculated the away win in the win / draw / win market has a 71% probability, easily making it the best bet here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 70% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
12%
12.00
8%
10.00
5%
Draw
18%
5.50
4%
6.00
14%
S. Lisbon
70%
1.22
3%
1.25
S. Lisbon 2-0
12%
6.506.00
8%
S. Lisbon 1-0
10%
8.007.00
7%
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
9.508.50
6%
S. Lisbon 3-0
9%
7.507.00
Draw 1-1
8%
11.0010.00
9%
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
11.009.50
S. Lisbon 4-0
5%
12.00
9%
10.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.0015.00
12%
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
17.0013.00
Draw 2-2
4%
23.0019.00
Arouca 1-0
4%
26.0019.00
Arouca 2-1
4%
29.00
15%
21.00
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
29.0021.00
S. Lisbon 5-0
2%
21.0015.00
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
29.0023.00
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.57
3%
1.53
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.35
2%
2.38
5%
Home 1st Goal
38%
3.60
4%
4.33
3%
Away 1st Goal
60%
1.291.25
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0015.00
12%
BTTS - Yes
51%
2.00
2%
2.10
2%
BTTS - No
49%
1.75
3%
1.67
2%
BTTS - Home Win
6%
19.00
10%
15.00
BTTS - Draw
13%
7.00
7%
7.50
BTTS - Away Win
31%
3.003.00
7%
Home/draw
30%
3.75
6%
3.80
3%
Away/draw
88%
1.05
1%
1.05
1%
Home/away
82%
1.141.12
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1.171.17
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5.004.80
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
2.38
6%
2.30
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
1.53
3%
1.55
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
4.33
8%
3.90
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.20
2%
1.22
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9.00
13%
7.00
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.07
1%
1.08
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.031.02
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
17.00
13%
15.00
12%
Home DNB
25%
10.008.00
7%
Away DNB
83%
1.061.06
1%
Arouca win to nil
6%
19.00-
S. Lisbon win to nil
39%
2.00
5%
-
Arouca / Arouca
5%
21.0013.00
8%
Arouca / S. Lisbon
4%
19.0017.00
Arouca / Draw
4%
23.0019.00
Draw / Arouca
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
4.00
7%
4.00
5%
Draw / Draw
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
16%
S. Lisbon / Arouca
2%
51.0046.00
12%
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
47%
1.731.73
2%
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
19.00
10%
17.00
11%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 18 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 36 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 9 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 45 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 18 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 17 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 17 games. S. Lisbon are unbeaten away after 9 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 9 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 1
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
2
S. Lisbon1814314145 
Jan 24
l
 
6-0A
-
-
3
Benfica1812602742 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
May 17
d
 
1-1F
5
Braga188641430 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
6
Moreirense18837-127 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
7
Famalicao18756726 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
8
V. Guimaraes18747-525 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-4F
9
Estoril18657423 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca18729-923 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
w
 
4-0F
May 10
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
13
Nacional18459-617 
Feb 22
w
 
1-2A
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
14
Santa Clara18459-617 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
15
Arouca18459-2317 
-
-
w
 
6-0F
Jan 24
16
Casa Pia183510-1814 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 15
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela183312-1812 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
18
AVS180414-334 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Win / draw / win form
19
S. Lisbon have not lost in 19 consecutive away league games
Arouca 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
HArouca4 - 1Boavista
AArouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
19
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente1 - 1S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
S. Lisbon have not lost to Arouca in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Arouca since 2015
Arouca
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
3 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
3 / 6
ARO
1
SCL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 3S. Lisbon
0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca1 - 0
1 - 2S. Lisbon
1 - 2S. Lisbon
0 - 1S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Arouca
Goals: Scored
21
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
D
2
SCL
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon6 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
S. Lisbon2 - 0
S. Lisbon3 - 0
S. Lisbon5 - 1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.3 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their meeting with Arouca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 37 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Arouca 16th S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
2.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Arouca scoring 1 goal or less
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
0.8
2.3
Attack rating
ARO
SCL
49%
better
view stats
Games scored11
18
Failed to score7
0
Scored first8
14
Goals scored19
50
Avg. goals scored1.1
2.8
Avg. shots per game8
15
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for0.8
2.2
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
ARO
SCL
61%
better
view stats
Games conceded15
8
Clean sheets3
10
Conceded first9
4
Goals conceded42
9
Avg. goals conceded2.3
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
12
Conversion rate against23%
8%
Avg. XG against1.8
0.7
KickOff rating
+61%

Arouca v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17638
N Djouahra A TrezzaA TrezzaT Esgaio
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trezza FWD1863
1
-
N Djouahra  FWD1851
1
-
T Fukui MID1722
2
1
M Puche FWD171
3
-
T Esgaio DEF161
8
-
H. Lee MID1622
3
-
Barbero FWD1611
2
-
J Fontán DEF151
5
3
B Popovic DEF131
2
-
A Dante DEF12
-
B Pinto MID12
3
-
P Gozálbez MID12
1
-
D Nandin FWD12
1
1
B Mansilla FWD121
1
-
E. van Ee MID1111
3
-
A Solà DEF101
1
-
P Santos MID10
2
-
J Valido GLK9
-
N Mantl GLK8
-
O. Fayed DEF7
2
-
M Rocha DEF7
2
-
A Pinto DEF7
2
1
M. Flores Lozano MID4
1
-
R Jansonas FWD2
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181576
G InácioL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF183
3
1
L Suárez FWD18154
3
-
F Trincão FWD1847
-
R Silva GLK16
-
M Hjulmand MID1622
5
-
A Santos FWD161
-
H Morita MID151
1
-
I Fresneda DEF141
5
-
M Vilches DEF1441
5
1
G Kochorashvili MID131
-
G Catamo  MID1342
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD1395
4
-
G. Quenda FWD1314
-
G Vagiannidis DEF123
2
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID111
1
-
R Mangas DEF1021
3
-
Z Debast DEF9
2
-
M Reis DEF82
-
E Quaresma DEF611
1
-
O Diomande DEF6
1
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
D Bragança  MID11
-