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Arouca v Vitoria Guimaraes : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

the Estadio Municipal de Arouca masses welcome Vitoria Guimaraes's supporters on Saturday night, as Vasco César Freire De Seabra's Arouca go head to head with Luís Miguel Correia Pinto's side in the Liga NOS. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

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Arouca's next match is v Casa Pia at 15:30 on Saturday 14th February
Vitoria Guimaraes's next match is v Estrela Amadora at 18:00 on Saturday 14th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Arouca and V. Guimaraes was on Saturday 7th February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 7th 2026
Arouca 3
2 V. Guimaraes
 
A. Trezza Hernández 45'26' N. Jose Saviolo
I. Martínez Gonzálvez 56'30' O. Camara
H. Lee 74'
 
ARO
GUI
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
3
3
Corners
1
6
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
19
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
AroucaV. Guimaraes
 
I. De Arruabarrena Fernández
J. Fontán Mondragón
H. Leefootball icon (P. Gozalbez Gilabert 84')
N. Djouahra (M. Puche García 89')
J. Sánchez de Felipe
B. Kuipers
T. Fukui (J. Santiago 89')
E. van Ee
A. Trezza Hernándezfootball icon (B. Mansilla 84')
T. Sousa Esgaio
I. Martínez Gonzálvezfootball icon (D. Nandín Berrutti 78')
M. Nóbrega
(O. Lebedenko 86') João Mendes
(T. Gomes Arcanjo 78') B. Mambuene Mukendi
(Fabio Gomez 78') N. Castro Oliveira
(G. da Silva Cunha 66') football iconO. Camara
(M. Mitrovic 46') F. Amorim Silva
C. da Silva
R. Abascal Barros
T. Strata
D. Lobão Sousa
football iconN. Jose Saviolo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Arouca and V. Guimaraes will score a minimum of two between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. The bookmakers have it at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of V. Guimaraes coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Arouca
35%
-1/50
10%
Draw
26%
-14/1
3%
V. Guimaraes
40%
-100/1
9%
Draw 1-1
12%
-19/4
4%
V. Guimaraes 1-0
9%
-4/1
8%
Arouca 1-0
9%
-11/2
6%
V. Guimaraes 2-1
9%
-15/8
6%
Arouca 2-1
8%
-11/1
5%
Draw 0-0
7%
-9/2
V. Guimaraes 2-0
7%
-11/4
11%
Arouca 2-0
6%
-12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
-10/11
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
-18/5
13%
Arouca 3-1
3%
-28/1
17%
V. Guimaraes 3-0
3%
-18/5
12%
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
-10/3
Arouca 3-0
2%
-25/1
19%
Arouca 3-2
2%
-1/6
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
-1/4
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
-14/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
-13/10
7%
Away 1st Goal
49%
-19/20
7%
No 1st Goal
4%
-9/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
-17/20
3%
BTTS - No
45%
-17/20
1%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
-1/14
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-13/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
-40/1
9%
Home/draw
61%
-1/1000
7%
Away/draw
65%
-6/1
5%
Home/away
74%
-1/14
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
-1/7
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
-4/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
-4/11
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
-15/8
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
-5/6
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-10/11
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
-18/5
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1/6
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
-1/8
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
-9/2
6%
Home DNB
53%
-1/200
11%
Away DNB
57%
-40/1
10%
Arouca win to nil
18%
--
V. Guimaraes win to nil
20%
--
Arouca / Arouca
18%
-125/1
12%
Arouca / V. Guimaraes
3%
-1/50
10%
Arouca / Draw
6%
-1/50
Draw / Arouca
12%
-100/1
7%
Draw / V. Guimaraes
14%
-80/1
5%
Draw / Draw
17%
-90/1
V. Guimaraes / Arouca
3%
-25/1
12%
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
20%
-1/20
12%
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
-9/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Arouca have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Arouca have conceded 38 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Arouca have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

V. Guimaraes lay in 9th place on 28 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. V. Guimaraes have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 9 away games, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2018113555 
l
 
0-4A
Feb 27
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
S. Lisbon2016314351 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
6-0A
l
 
1-4A
May 3
3
Benfica2114703249 
Mar 15
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
4
Braga2111642639 
l
 
0-4A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
d
 
2-2F
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
6
Estoril21867830 
Apr 4
l
 
4-3F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
7
Moreirense21939-230 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Famalicao20857529 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
10
Alverca217311-1524 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
Feb 28
l
 
2-0A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
Apr 19
l
 
3-1A
Feb 14
w
 
0-2F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
13
Nacional215610-321 
Feb 21
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
May 17
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
d
 
3-3F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 14
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
Mar 8
17
Tondela213513-2114 
May 17
l
 
3-1F
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS200515-375 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
Win / draw / win form
Arouca
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
Arouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Arouca0 - 4Braga
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 1AVS
Arouca4 - 1Boavista
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Arouca2 - 2Sporting Farense
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Arouca1 - 1Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
44
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AArouca3 - 0Rio Ave
HArouca1 - 2S. Lisbon
AArouca1 - 0AVS
AArouca1 - 3Tondela
HArouca2 - 2Gil Vicente
AArouca0 - 0Santa Clara
HArouca1 - 0Alverca
AArouca1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HArouca0 - 4Braga
AArouca3 - 4Estoril
HArouca0 - 2Moreirense
AArouca0 - 5Benfica
HArouca1 - 1Famalicao
HArouca0 - 4Porto
AArouca2 - 1Nacional
HArouca0 - 2Casa Pia
AArouca1 - 1V. Guimaraes
HArouca3 - 3Rio Ave
AArouca0 - 6S. Lisbon
HArouca3 - 1AVS
V. Guimaraes
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Casa Pia0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Alverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Gil Vicente0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Moreirense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Boavista1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Famalicao0 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Sporting Farense2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave2 - 2V. Guimaraes
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
AV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
AV. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
V. Guimaraes have not lost to Arouca in 6 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Arouca since 2016
Arouca
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
7
11
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
D
3
GUI
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Arouca
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Arouca
Goals: Scored
9
11
Games: Scored
6 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
1 / 7
ARO
2
D
3
GUI
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
0 - 2Arouca
1 - 3Arouca
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Vitoria Guimaraes's defensive record is to be admired, L. Correia Pinto's men having conceded 1 or less in 13 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Arouca makes sense in this context.

Arouca V. Guimaraes
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Arouca’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
V. Guimaraes have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Arouca
PG (predicted goals)
V. Guimaraes
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
9%
better
ARO
GUI
view stats
Games scored13
12
Failed to score7
8
Scored first9
8
Goals scored23
21
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for0.9
1.2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
ARO
GUI
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded16
13
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first10
10
Goals conceded44
27
Avg. goals conceded2.2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against22%
14%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.4
KickOff rating
+25%

Arouca v V. Guimaraes Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20738
N Djouahra A TrezzaJ FontánT Esgaio
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Arruabarrena GLK4
2
-
T Esgaio DEF1911
8
-
J Sánchez DEF4
2
-
J Fontán DEF1813
5
3
B Kuipers DEF41
1
-
E. van Ee MID1411
4
-
T Fukui MID2022
2
1
A Trezza MID2173
1
-
H. Lee MID1942
3
-
N Djouahra  MID2152
2
-
Barbero FWD1941
2
-
Subs
J Valido GLK9
-
B Popovic DEF141
2
-
D Monteiro DEF1
-
A Dante DEF13
-
P Gozálbez MID15
1
-
J Santiago MID2
-
M Puche FWD191
3
-
D Nandin FWD13
1
1
B Mansilla FWD141
1
-
V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20426
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalJ Mendes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Charles GLK6
-
T Strata DEF91
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF111
-
R Abascal DEF2012
4
-
J Mendes DEF18
6
-
Beni MID171
6
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID111
2
-
O. Camara MID1741
1
-
Samu MID1632
2
-
N. Jose Saviolo MID1722
1
-
N Oliveira FWD183
3
1
Subs
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF10
1
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF1
-
J. Costa Nogueira MID7
-
M. Mitrovic MID172
2
-
T Arcanjo MID171
1
2
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1011
1
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1