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AVS v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 18:00 BST, Estadio Do Cd Das Aves, Vila das Aves

João Pedro Borges de Sousa's AVS side are on home soil in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, as Ian Cathro's Estoril arrive at the Estadio Do Cd Das Aves. Statistics power the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head to head (H2H), form and unique league tables. Odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to find out more.


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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Both our prediction and odds from the bookmakers suggest that this Liga NOS showdown should present fine viewing for neutrals in the ground, with at least 3 goals to scored in the match. As both sides are unconvincing in the WDW market given their latest form, we're going with the statistics and past head-to-head (H2H) records below, both of which point firmly in the direction of on over 2.5 goals top tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Estoril coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
AVS
25%
29/10-
Draw
22%
27/10-
Estoril
52%
79/100-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2-
Estoril 2-1
10%
8/1-
Estoril 1-0
8%
7/1-
Estoril 2-0
8%
9/1-
AVS 2-1
6%
11/1-
Estoril 3-1
6%
16/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1-
AVS 1-0
5%
10/1-
Estoril 3-0
5%
18/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
10/1-
Estoril 3-2
4%
25/1-
AVS 2-0
3%
18/1-
Estoril 4-1
3%
33/1-
AVS 3-1
3%
28/1-
AVS 3-2
3%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
9/10-
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
9/10-
Home 1st Goal
44%
5/4-
Away 1st Goal
53%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
3/4-
BTTS - No
39%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
28%
11/4-
Home/draw
48%
10/11-
Away/draw
75%
1/4-
Home/away
78%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
9/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
10/1-
Home DNB
41%
6/4-
Away DNB
68%
1/2-
AVS win to nil
11%
5/1-
Estoril win to nil
24%
11/4-
AVS / AVS
15%
9/2-
AVS / Estoril
4%
20/1-
AVS / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / AVS
11%
13/2-
Draw / Estoril
16%
4/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Estoril / AVS
3%
28/1-
Estoril / Estoril
25%
9/4-
Estoril / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

AVS have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league. AVS are winless in the 20 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. AVS are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won zero. AVS have conceded 51 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 11 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

AVS have played 11 games at home, winning 0, drawing 3 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 7 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 6th place on 30 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 6 and losing 3 games. They have scored 41 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 28 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 10 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
AVS
Estoril
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2018113555 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2016314351 
Apr 26
l
 
6-0A
l
 
0-1A
Feb 27
3
Benfica2114703249 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 21
May 17
l
 
3-1A
4
Braga2111642639 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
6
Estoril21867830 
Feb 15
l
 
3-1A
-
-
7
Moreirense21939-230 
l
 
0-2A
May 17
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
8
Famalicao20857529 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
10
Alverca217311-1524 
l
 
1-3F
Mar 8
w
 
4-1F
May 10
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
Feb 28
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
13
Nacional215610-321 
d
 
2-2F
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
3-3A
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
Mar 15
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
17
Tondela213513-2114 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 22
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
18
AVS200515-375 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
3
AVS have lost 3 consecutive home league games
18
AVS have not won in 18 consecutive home league games
3
AVS have failed to score in 3 consecutive home league games
AVS
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
AVS0 - 4Braga
AVS0 - 1Arouca
AVS0 - 2Moreirense
AVS2 - 2Nacional
AVS1 - 2Rio Ave
AVS1 - 1Gil Vicente
AVS2 - 2Tondela
AVS1 - 3Alverca
AVS0 - 3Benfica
AVS0 - 1Famalicao
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
AVS0 - 3Moreirense
AVS1 - 2Boavista
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
AVS0 - 3Estoril
AVS0 - 1Arouca
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
AVS1 - 2Santa Clara
AVS1 - 0Gil Vicente
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
51
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
20 / 20
Clean sheets
0 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Draw
5
Lost
15
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAVS0 - 4Braga
AAVS3 - 3Casa Pia
HAVS0 - 1Arouca
HAVS0 - 2Moreirense
AAVS0 - 2Porto
HAVS2 - 2Nacional
AAVS0 - 6S. Lisbon
HAVS1 - 2Rio Ave
AAVS0 - 4V. Guimaraes
HAVS1 - 1Gil Vicente
HAVS2 - 2Tondela
AAVS0 - 2Santa Clara
HAVS1 - 3Alverca
AAVS0 - 3Estrela Amadora
HAVS0 - 3Benfica
AAVS1 - 3Estoril
HAVS0 - 1Famalicao
AAVS2 - 2Braga
HAVS0 - 2Casa Pia
AAVS1 - 3Arouca
Estoril
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara2 - 4Estoril
Estrela Amadora0 - 5Estoril
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Famalicao4 - 0Estoril
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Casa Pia2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente2 - 0Estoril
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
Moreirense2 - 2Estoril
Casa Pia1 - 3Estoril
Famalicao3 - 0Estoril
AVS0 - 3Estoril
Arouca1 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Gil Vicente1 - 2Estoril
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
Goal Statistics

Estoril have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.9 against AVS on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

AVS Estoril
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that AVS will score no more than 1 goal
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 85% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-37
AVS have scored 37% fewer goals at home than predicted
+74
Estoril have scored 74% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
AVS
PG (predicted goals)
Estoril
1.3
1.9
Attack rating
EST
53%
better
view stats
Games scored9
16
Failed to score11
5
Scored first2
10
Goals scored14
43
Avg. goals scored0.7
2
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal11
5
Conversion rate for9
22
Avg. XG for0.9
1.4
KickOff rating
+53%
Defence rating
EST
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
18
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first18
11
Goals conceded51
35
Avg. goals conceded2.6
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against23%
18%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+36%

AVS v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17427
B AkinsolaNenêB AkinsolaJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Akinsola FWD2012
1
-
J Grau MID18
6
1
Kiki DEF17
2
-
C Castro DEF17
4
1
P Barros MID1612
2
-
T Tómané FWD161
3
-
L Rivas DEF141
3
-
O Perea FWD142
-
Nenê FWD144
2
-
D. Spencer Marques DEF1312
2
-
Ángel Algobia MID13
-
R Barbosa MID1312
3
-
D Duarte FWD131
-
S Simão GLK11
1
-
G Assunção MID10
4
-
S Bane DEF91
1
-
A Santos DEF9
2
-
R Semedo DEF9
4
1
G. Mendonça MID8
1
-
T Galletto MID8
1
-
B Lourenço FWD7
-
J Gonçalves GLK6
-
J Escobar FWD5
-
P. Leal Sousa Lima DEF4
1
K Kodisang FWD4
-
G Molina DEF31
-
Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211585
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoJ Holsgrove
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK21
2
-
F Bacher DEF21
2
-
J Carvalho MID2168
4
-
Y Begraoui FWD21151
1
-
J Holsgrove MID2015
5
-
K Boma DEF191
5
-
R Guitane FWD1835
1
-
P Amaral DEF172
3
-
Ferro DEF161
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF152
4
-
A Marqués FWD154
1
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1521
1
-
R Sánchez DEF1423
5
-
T. Parente DEF141
3
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
Pizzi MID144
-
A Tsoungui DEF12
4
-
J Orellana MID101
2
-
P Paula MID91
4
-
G Costa DEF7
1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD7
1
-
T Brito MID4
1
-
Xeka  MID2
-
O. Israelov DEF1
-