Benfica's team badge AVS's team badge

Benfica v AVS : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 27th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

the Estádio da Luz faithful welcome AVS's travelling contingent on Sunday evening, as Bruno Lage's Benfica face Rui Vítor da Silva Ferreira's side in the Liga NOS. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across the board.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

A Liga NOS home win for Bruno Lage's Benfica side win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Statistics suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for the opposition. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got a pretty compelling case. A Benfica win is our recommendation, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 78% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.09.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
78%
1/12
2%
-
Draw
14%
10/1
22%
-
AVS
8%
22/1
21%
-
Benfica 2-0
12%
6/1
17%
-
Benfica 3-0
11%
11/2
8%
-
Benfica 1-0
9%
10/1
29%
-
Benfica 2-1
9%
12/1
8%
-
Benfica 3-1
8%
10/1
15%
-
Benfica 4-0
7%
7/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
7%
20/1
24%
-
Benfica 4-1
5%
12/1
24%
-
Benfica 5-0
4%
10/1
8%
-
Draw 0-0
4%
25/1
53%
-
Draw 2-2
3%
40/1-
Benfica 3-2
3%
33/1
17%
-
Benfica 5-1
3%
18/1
27%
-
AVS 1-0
3%
40/1
21%
-
AVS 2-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
2/7
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
13/5
33%
-
Home 1st Goal
63%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
34%
9/2
15%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
25/1
53%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
5/4
14%
-
BTTS - No
53%
4/7
9%
-
BTTS - Home Win
33%
13/8
19%
-
BTTS - Draw
11%
12/1
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
4%
33/1-
Home/draw
92%
1/80
1%
-
Away/draw
22%
7/1
14%
-
Home/away
86%
1/20
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/14
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
8/1
50%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
8/11
18%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
1/1
20%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
13/8
25%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
4/9
12%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
10/3
33%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/5
8%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/150
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
28/1
71%
-
Home DNB
88%
1/50-
Away DNB
18%
18/1
12%
-
Benfica win to nil
45%
4/6
9%
-
AVS win to nil
4%
28/1
12%
-
Benfica / Benfica
60%
2/5
3%
-
Benfica / AVS
1%
80/1
59%
-
Benfica / Draw
3%
28/1
12%
-
Draw / Benfica
20%
3/1
7%
-
Draw / AVS
2%
40/1
21%
-
Draw / Draw
5%
14/1
25%
-
AVS / Benfica
4%
18/1
10%
-
AVS / AVS
2%
40/1-
AVS / Draw
2%
33/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 74 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 15 games at home winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 45 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

AVS are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 24 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 28 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 10 and won 3. AVS have conceded 49 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
AVS
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
2
Benfica Home3023344972 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 27
3
Braga3019652663 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
4
Porto3019563162 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-0A
5
V. Guimaraes3012126948 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
7
Famalicao3011109643 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
4-1A
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
9
Estoril3010911-1039 
w
 
3-0F
May 3
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Moreirense309813-935 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
d
 
1-1A
11
Rio Ave308913-1533 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
12
Arouca308913-1533 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
13
Nacional309516-1432 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-2F
15
Estrela Amadora306816-2126 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
1-1A
May 11
16
AVS Away3041214-2624 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
-
-
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista305619-2721 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 5
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
3
AVS have lost 3 consecutive away league games
6
Benfica have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
6
AVS have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Benfica3 - 0Moreirense
Benfica1 - 0Chaves
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
ABenfica1 - 0Santa Clara
HBenfica3 - 2Moreirense
ABenfica3 - 2Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 3Casa Pia
HBenfica4 - 0Famalicao
HBenfica1 - 2Braga
ABenfica0 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
AVS 16TH
15 league games
Away
3
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
10 / 15
Conceded
12 / 15
Clean sheets
3 / 15
Failed to score
5 / 15
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga4 - 1AVS
Famalicao4 - 1AVS
Porto2 - 0AVS
Sporting Farense0 - 1AVS
Rio Ave1 - 1AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Moreirense1 - 1AVS
Boavista0 - 0AVS
Casa Pia1 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Arouca1 - 1AVS
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
Santa Clara2 - 1AVS
Gil Vicente4 - 2AVS
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
9
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAVS1 - 1Casa Pia
AAVS1 - 4Braga
HAVS0 - 3Estoril
AAVS1 - 4Famalicao
AAVS0 - 2Porto
HAVS0 - 1Arouca
AAVS1 - 0Sporting Farense
HAVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
AAVS1 - 1Rio Ave
HAVS1 - 2Santa Clara
AAVS0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HAVS1 - 0Gil Vicente
AAVS1 - 3Nacional
AAVS1 - 1Moreirense
HAVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAVS0 - 0Boavista
HAVS1 - 1Benfica
AAVS1 - 1Casa Pia
HAVS0 - 1Braga
AAVS0 - 0Estoril
Goal Statistics

Benfica's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.6 suggests that run should continue on Sunday evening.

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.7 should cause concerns for AVS fans, as should a 7 Liga NOS games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Benfica 2nd AVS 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of AVS scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+23
Benfica have scored 23% more goals at home than predicted
-23
AVS have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285376/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
AVS
2.6
0.7
Attack rating
54%
better
BEF
view stats
Games scored28
20
Failed to score2
10
Scored first23
8
Goals scored74
23
Avg. goals scored2.5
0.8
Avg. shots per game13
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for19
10
Avg. XG for2.2
1
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
37%
better
BEF
view stats
Games conceded16
23
Clean sheets14
7
Conceded first7
19
Goals conceded25
49
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against0.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+37%

Benfica v AVS Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261486
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD28145
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2721
6
-
O Kökcü MID2765
6
-
A Trubin GLK26
1
-
N Otamendi DEF2542
2
-
F Aursnes MID2424
1
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD2498
1
-
T Araújo DEF222
1
-
L Barreiro MID2231
5
-
Z Amdouni FWD2262
1
-
Florentino MID2121
4
-
Ángel Di María FWD2185
4
-
A Bah DEF181
3
-
A Silva DEF1712
2
-
A Cabral FWD172
3
-
A Schjelderup FWD1412
-
R Sanches  MID10
1
-
A Belotti FWD82
-
S Dahl DEF71
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
Bruma  FWD612
-
L. Sousa Santos DEF3
1
-
Manu MID32
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID3
-
S Soares GLK2
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-
AVS Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
263210
C CastroJ MercadoL PiazonJ Grau
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Mercado FWD2731
2
-
C Castro DEF2611
5
-
L Piazon MID262
3
-
J Grau MID2422
10
-
B Akinsola FWD2411
-
Kiki DEF2012
3
-
F Fonseca DEF20
5
-
Z Luís FWD192
2
-
V Lopes FWD1921
4
-
G Assunção MID182
9
1
G Ochoa GLK17
2
-
R Rodrigues DEF17
4
-
B Roux DEF1711
4
-
I Rodríguez DEF16
4
1
R Ribeiro FWD161
-
Nenê FWD1631
4
-
G. Mendonça MID141
2
-
S Simão GLK11
-
J Teixeira DEF11
3
1
G Aburjania MID9
-
Y Mena FWD9
4
-
T Tavares DEF81
1
-
L Fernandes MID7
1
-
A Santos DEF6
1
-
E Veiga DEF6
-
G Rodrigues FWD51
1
-
T Galletto MID1
-