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Benfica v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

CD Nacional pay Liga NOS rivals Benfica a visit on Sunday evening, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido guides his team into an away clash with José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho & co. at the Estádio da Luz. You'll find stats supporting our top of Benfica to win below, but there are 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Benfica's next match is v S. Lisbon at 18:00 on Sunday 19th April
CD Nacional's next match is v Alverca at 15:30 on Saturday 18th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and Nacional was on Sunday 12th April 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 12th 2026
Benfica 2
0 Nacional
 
A. Schjelderup 3'
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva 14'
 
BEF
NAC
Shots On
8
4
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
15
1
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
13
18
Yellow/red cards
1/0
5/0
 
BenficaNacional
 
A. Trubin
A. Tavares Silva
A. Dedić
V. Pavlidis (F. Ivanović 77')
L. Barreiro Martins
S. Dahl
N. Otamendi
R. Rios (E. Barrenechea 79')
A. Schjelderupfootball icon (G. Carvalho Moreira 90')
G. Prestianni Gross (D. Lukebakio 78')
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silvafootball icon (F. Aursnes 78')
K. Pereira Azarias
(L. Vallier 83') J. Mendes Gomes
A. Núñez Duarte
(F. Barros Soares 61') Matheus Dias
(J. Coimbra Aurélio 90') D. de Melo Araujo Junior
(J. Organista da Silva 83') C. Abidi
(P. Messias Cardozo 61') W. Quembo
J. Ramírez Díaz
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
J. Lima Cardoso
I. Liziero Pereira

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Benfica to win

As the stadium fills and the Benfica players ready themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers are predicting success for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) data we use in our predictive algorithms. The Estádio da Luz hasn't been a happy hunting ground for for Nacional in the past, and we we'd back more of the same on Sunday evening. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 73% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
73%
7/501/1000
Draw
17%
13/2750/1
Nacional
10%
14/11/50
Benfica 2-0
13%
6/11/3
Benfica 1-0
11%
9/114/1
Benfica 3-0
10%
6/13/1
Benfica 2-1
9%
9/114/1
Draw 1-1
8%
14/120/1
Benfica 3-1
7%
10/133/1
Benfica 4-0
6%
17/218/1
Draw 0-0
5%
20/118/1
Benfica 4-1
4%
14/1100/1
Draw 2-2
3%
25/1100/1
Nacional 1-0
3%
40/122/1
Nacional 2-1
3%
40/140/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/1200/1
Benfica 5-0
3%
14/170/1
Benfica 5-1
2%
22/1250/1
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
2/515/2
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
15/81/18
Home 1st Goal
62%
2/91/5
Away 1st Goal
36%
3/118/5
No 1st Goal
3%
20/118/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
21/2028/1
BTTS - No
53%
7/101/1000
BTTS - Home Win
30%
13/811/1
BTTS - Draw
12%
8/180/1
BTTS - Away Win
5%
22/11/50
Home/draw
90%
1/331/50
Away/draw
27%
4/180/1
Home/away
83%
1/101/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/91/150
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
11/214/1
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
10/1155/1
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/51/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
9/41/50
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/31/50
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
5/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/81/50
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/661/500
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
20/118/1
Home DNB
85%
1/251/50
Away DNB
22%
12/11/50
Benfica win to nil
43%
5/6-
Nacional win to nil
5%
25/1-
Benfica / Benfica
52%
8/151/1000
Benfica / Nacional
2%
50/170/1
Benfica / Draw
4%
22/128/1
Draw / Benfica
19%
3/190/1
Draw / Nacional
3%
28/1125/1
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1150/1
Nacional / Benfica
5%
18/11/50
Nacional / Nacional
4%
28/11/50
Nacional / Draw
4%
25/11/50
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Benfica are unbeaten in 25 games against teams below them in the league and kept 12 clean sheets out of 25 games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 6 and lost no matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Benfica have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Benfica have played 14 games at home winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored 33 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Nacional are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 25 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 36 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
3
Benfica2920904369 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2815762852 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Famalicao2913881147 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
6
Gil Vicente29121071446 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
7
Estoril2910712137 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 17
l
 
2-1A
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
Alverca299812-1535 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Arouca299515-2132 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
3-3A
May 10
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
15
Nacional296716-1025 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
-
-
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
17
Tondela284915-2521 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
43
Benfica have not lost in 43 consecutive league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
43
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
Nacional 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Benfica have beaten Nacional in 4 consecutive league meetings
11
Benfica have not lost to Nacional in 11 consecutive league meetings
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Nacional
Goals: Scored
21
2
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
BEF
4
D
1
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Benfica
Goals: Scored
4
18
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
BEF
6
Goal Statistics
Benfica 3rd Nacional 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 68% probability that Benfica will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+10
Benfica’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-31
Nacional have scored 31% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.6
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
2.3
0.7
Attack rating
41%
better
BEF
NAC
view stats
Games scored26
19
Failed to score2
9
Scored first21
9
Goals scored59
31
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game12
10
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for2.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
46%
better
BEF
NAC
view stats
Games conceded15
23
Clean sheets13
5
Conceded first5
18
Goals conceded18
39
Avg. goals conceded0.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.6
KickOff rating
+46%

Benfica v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282248
V PavlidisV PavlidisG PrestianniG Prestianni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK27
1
-
A Dedic DEF1913
2
2
A Silva DEF211
4
-
N Otamendi DEF262
6
1
S Dahl DEF2811
3
-
R Ríos MID2323
7
-
L Barreiro MID2623
1
-
G Prestianni MID2434
7
1
R Silva MID112
-
A Schjelderup MID2354
2
-
V Pavlidis FWD29224
3
-
Subs
S Soares GLK2
1
-
A Bah DEF61
1
-
E Barrenechea MID241
6
-
F Aursnes MID2334
1
-
H Sudakov MID2242
2
-
G. Carvalho Moreira MID1
-
F Ivanovic FWD2141
1
-
D Lukébakio FWD133
1
-
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral FWD62
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2814412
ChuchuChuchuJ. Mendes GomesL Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Azarias GLK23
2
-
A Duarte DEF1612
2
-
L Santos DEF2732
12
-
Z Vitor DEF2641
7
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF2214
2
-
C. Abidi MID2411
5
1
M Dias MID271
6
1
Liziero  MID264
6
-
D Jr FWD13
3
-
Chuchu FWD2814
5
-
Witi FWD231
3
-
Subs
K. Medeiros de Freitas GLK
-
J Aurélio DEF16
2
-
L Vallier DEF14
5
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF7
2
-
F Soares MID13
2
-
J Silva MID17
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues MID6
1
-
L João FWD171
1
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD17
2
1