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Benfica v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

We’ve Liga NOS action to look forward to on Sunday evening, as José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho and his Benfica side host Francesco Farioli’s FC Porto at the Estádio da Luz. In this preview you'll find the best odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, stats and head-to-head data for both teams. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.

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Benfica's next match is v Arouca at 20:30 on Saturday 14th March
FC Porto's next match is v Moreirense at 20:30 on Sunday 15th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and Porto was on Sunday 8th March 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 8th 2026
Benfica 2
2 Porto
 
A. Schjelderup 69'10' V. Froholdt
L. Barreiro Martins 88'40' O. Pietuszewski
 
BEF
PTO
Shots On
6
6
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
8
2
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
11
17
Yellow/red cards
2/1
4/0
 
BenficaPorto
 
A. Trubin
A. Dedić (A. Hartmann Bah 83')
E. Barrenechea (L. Barreiro Martins 75')
V. Pavlidis
S. Dahl
N. Otamendi (A. Tavares Silva 75')
T. Araújo
R. Rios
A. Schjelderupfootball icon
G. Prestianni Gross (D. Lukebakio 65')
R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva (F. Ivanović 65')
D. Meireles Costa
J. Kiwior
J. Bednarek
football iconV. Froholdt
(S. Fofana 46') G. Veiga Novas
(W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 46') E. Aquino Cossa
A. Costa
A. Varela
(F. Moura 58') M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
(T. Moffi 78') D. Gül
(B. Sainz Eguskiza 64') football iconO. Pietuszewski

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on an all-time classic. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during the standard 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
42%
10/1114/1
Draw
27%
21/101/18
Porto
32%
16/518/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/116/5
Benfica 1-0
11%
9/24/1
Porto 1-0
9%
17/24/1
Benfica 2-1
9%
17/26/1
Draw 0-0
8%
11/219/4
Benfica 2-0
8%
7/17/1
Porto 2-1
7%
14/11/2
Porto 2-0
5%
20/15/4
Draw 2-2
5%
18/11/4
Benfica 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Benfica 3-0
3%
16/114/1
Porto 3-1
3%
40/113/2
Benfica 3-2
2%
40/19/2
Porto 3-0
2%
50/111/2
Porto 3-2
2%
50/117/2
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
6/44/7
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/213/10
Home 1st Goal
49%
8/113/4
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/817/10
No 1st Goal
5%
11/219/4
BTTS - Yes
51%
11/101/1
BTTS - No
49%
4/68/11
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/217/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/41/4
BTTS - Away Win
14%
9/18/1
Home/draw
69%
2/91/100
Away/draw
58%
4/51/25
Home/away
73%
4/116/1
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/21/7
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
6/44/1
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
4/129/20
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1/61/2
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
10/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/201/12
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
25/140/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/801/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/101/9
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
6/15/1
Home DNB
60%
4/112/5
Away DNB
50%
2/117/10
Benfica win to nil
24%
7/4-
Porto win to nil
17%
11/2-
Benfica / Benfica
25%
11/5125/1
Benfica / Porto
2%
40/11/50
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/160/1
Draw / Benfica
17%
15/455/1
Draw / Porto
10%
15/290/1
Draw / Draw
19%
10/366/1
Porto / Benfica
3%
28/19/1
Porto / Porto
12%
6/12/9
Porto / Draw
5%
16/19/2
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Benfica are unbeaten in 2 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games. Benfica are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 1 of those games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 12 games and have kept 5 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 2 and won zero. Benfica have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Benfica have played 12 games at home, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 28 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Porto lay in 1st place on 65 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 21, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 47 goals and kept 17 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 12 away games, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.3 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2517803759 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
4
Braga2513752746 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
6
Famalicao251168939 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
8
Estoril25979434 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
Mar 21
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca257711-1528 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Arouca257513-2126 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 14
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 4
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Nacional255713-822 
Apr 12
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela254714-2019 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica3 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Benfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 1Estoril
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto3 - 1Arouca
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
Porto
Goals: Scored
10
11
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
BEF
3
D
2
PTO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica4 - 1
Benfica1 - 0
1 - 2Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Porto
Benfica1 - 0
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Porto
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Benfica
Goals: Scored
16
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
BEF
3
D
4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 4Benfica
Porto5 - 0
0 - 1Benfica
Porto3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto3 - 2
1 - 2Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto1 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is very strong, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Benfica 3rd Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Porto will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Benfica have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
BEF
PTO
11%
better
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score2
1
Scored first19
21
Goals scored51
47
Avg. goals scored2.1
2
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for2.2
1.9
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
BEF
PTO
33%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
7
Clean sheets12
17
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded14
8
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
18
Conversion rate against10%
6%
Avg. XG against0.7
0.6
KickOff rating
+33%

Benfica v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
242148
N OtamendiV PavlidisV PavlidisN Otamendi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK23
-
A Dedic DEF1713
2
1
T Araújo DEF1811
3
-
N Otamendi DEF242
7
1
S Dahl DEF2411
2
-
R Ríos MID191
6
-
E Barrenechea MID211
6
-
G Prestianni MID2021
5
1
R Silva MID71
-
A Schjelderup MID1942
2
-
V Pavlidis FWD25214
2
-
Subs
S Soares GLK2
1
-
A Silva DEF181
4
-
A Bah DEF31
1
-
Manu MID6
-
L Barreiro MID2323
1
-
H Sudakov MID1942
2
-
F Ivanovic FWD1731
1
-
D Lukébakio FWD93
1
-
A. Fernandes Reis Cabral FWD42
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25667
D CostaW. Gomes Carvalho SantosA BaioJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK25
2
-
A Baio DEF226
5
-
J Bednarek DEF241
7
-
J Kiwior DEF181
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF151
3
1
V. Froholdt MID2544
2
-
A Varela MID222
5
-
G Veiga MID2316
4
-
Pepê FWD2224
2
-
D Gül FWD202
1
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD721
1
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK1
-
T Silva DEF5
-
F Moura DEF1822
3
-
P Rosario MID1721
5
-
S Fofana MID51
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2011
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2161
4
1
B Sainz FWD2352
5
-
T Moffi FWD41
-