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Benfica v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 5th Dec, 20:15 BST, Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica and their manager José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho will be hoping for victory against Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and his Sporting Lisbon side on Friday night, as the pair go head to head at the Estádio da Luz in the Liga NOS. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our 20+ year database and pulled out the stats that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner for this clash, but good reason to think Benfica and S. Lisbon will score at least a couple of goals between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho or Rui Manuel Gomes Borges has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.25 equating to about a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 40% chance of S. Lisbon coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
35%
7/47/4
Draw
25%
41/2011/5
S. Lisbon
40%
8/513/8
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
13/26/1
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Benfica 1-0
8%
7/113/2
Benfica 2-1
8%
10/117/2
S. Lisbon 2-0
6%
11/110/1
Draw 0-0
6%
7/113/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/112/1
Benfica 2-0
5%
12/110/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
4%
22/116/1
Benfica 3-1
4%
22/118/1
S. Lisbon 3-0
3%
25/118/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Benfica 3-2
3%
33/125/1
Benfica 3-0
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
6/511/10
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
13/2013/20
Home 1st Goal
47%
21/2011/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
1/11/1
No 1st Goal
3%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
10/1117/20
BTTS - No
43%
10/1117/20
BTTS - Home Win
18%
5/19/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
20%
5/117/4
Home/draw
60%
4/910/21
Away/draw
65%
2/54/9
Home/away
75%
4/117/20
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
4/114/11
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
2/115/8
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3/111/4
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
2/92/9
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
8/113/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/141/14
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/121/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
7/16/1
Home DNB
52%
10/1110/11
Away DNB
58%
4/54/5
Benfica win to nil
17%
7/2-
S. Lisbon win to nil
20%
10/3-
Benfica / Benfica
18%
7/210/3
Benfica / S. Lisbon
3%
28/122/1
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Benfica
14%
5/15/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Draw
18%
15/410/3
S. Lisbon / Benfica
3%
28/122/1
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
19%
10/33/1
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Benfica are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 1 games. Benfica are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 0 of those games. Benfica are unbeaten at home after 6 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn 1 and won zero. Benfica have conceded zero goals, scored none, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Benfica have played 6 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 5 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

S. Lisbon lay in 2nd place on 31 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 12 matches. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 11 games against teams below them in the league and kept 7 clean sheets out of 11 games. S. Lisbon have a great away record this season winning all their away games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 6 away games, winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1211102234 
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
2
S. Lisbon1210112531 
Dec 5
Apr 18
-
-
3
Benfica128401828 
-
-
Apr 18
Dec 5
4
Gil Vicente127231023 
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
May 16
Jan 4
5
Famalicao12552620 
Dec 22
May 2
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
6
Braga125431219 
May 9
Dec 28
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
7
Moreirense12615119 
Apr 25
Dec 14
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
8
V. Guimaraes12525-317 
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
May 2
Dec 21
9
Alverca12426-514 
Feb 8
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
10
Estoril12345113 
Jan 3
May 16
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
11
Rio Ave12273-513 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 18
Dec 28
May 9
12
Santa Clara12336-412 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 15
Apr 3
w
 
1-2A
13
Nacional12336-512 
Apr 11
w
 
1-2A
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
14
Estrela Amadora12255-511 
Jan 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 11
15
Casa Pia12237-139 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 3
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
16
Tondela12237-139 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 1
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
17
Arouca12237-219 
w
 
5-0F
Mar 15
w
 
6-0F
Jan 25
18
AVS12039-213 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
Dec 13
Apr 25
Win / draw / win form
6
S. Lisbon have won 6 consecutive away league games
27
Benfica have not lost in 27 consecutive league games
16
S. Lisbon have not lost in 16 consecutive away league games
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
27
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica5 - 0Arouca
ABenfica0 - 0Porto
HBenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica1 - 1Rio Ave
ABenfica3 - 0AVS
HBenfica1 - 1Santa Clara
ABenfica2 - 1Alverca
HBenfica3 - 0Tondela
ABenfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 1Braga
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Famalicao1 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Casa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
Benfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Famalicao
HS. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Boavista
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
16
17
Games: Scored
9 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
1 / 10
BEF
4
D
4
SCL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3S. Lisbon
Benfica4 - 3
Benfica2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 1
0 - 3S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
6 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
4 / 10
BEF
4
D
3
SCL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0
0 - 2Benfica
2 - 4Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is very strong, R. Gomes Borges's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga NOS games. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

Sporting Lisbon have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 31 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Benfica on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Benfica 3rd S. Lisbon 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+18
Benfica have scored 18% more goals at home than predicted
+12
S. Lisbon have scored 12% more goals when away than predicted
2.9
average goals scored
2.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
BEF
SCL
19%
better
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score1
0
Scored first9
8
Goals scored25
31
Avg. goals scored2.1
2.6
Avg. shots per game12
15
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for2.3
2.3
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
BEF
SCL
2%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
5
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first2
4
Goals conceded7
6
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
5
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
11
Conversion rate against9%
9%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.6
KickOff rating
+2%

Benfica v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
121035
F AursnesV PavlidisV PavlidisN Otamendi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dahl DEF121
1
-
L Barreiro MID122
-
F Aursnes MID1211
-
V Pavlidis FWD12103
1
-
N Otamendi DEF111
5
-
R Ríos MID11
5
-
E Barrenechea MID11
5
-
A Trubin GLK10
-
F Ivanovic FWD103
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD1012
-
A Dedic DEF912
2
1
A Silva DEF9
2
-
T Araújo DEF91
-
H Sudakov MID93
2
-
G Prestianni FWD921
3
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID61
-
D Lukébakio FWD63
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12953
G InácioL SuárezP GonçalvesM Hjulmand
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Inácio DEF122
2
-
M Hjulmand MID1221
3
-
L Suárez FWD1292
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD1285
3
-
G. Quenda FWD1214
-
F Trincão FWD1234
-
R Silva GLK10
-
I Fresneda DEF101
3
-
G Kochorashvili MID10
-
G Catamo  MID102
1
-
A Santos FWD101
-
G Vagiannidis DEF91
2
-
M Vilches DEF91
2
1
H Morita MID91
-
Z Debast DEF8
2
-
F Ioannidis FWD72
-
R Mangas DEF62
2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID5
1
-
O Diomande DEF4
1
-
M Reis DEF31
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
E Quaresma DEF21
-