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Benfica v Sporting Lisbon : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Bruno Lage's Benfica side are on home soil in the Liga NOS on Saturday evening, as Piero Braglia's Sporting Lisbon visit the Estádio da Luz. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major betting markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.

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Benfica's next match is v Braga at 18:00 on Saturday 17th May
Sporting Lisbon's next match is v V. Guimaraes at 18:00 on Saturday 17th May
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Benfica and S. Lisbon was on Saturday 10th May 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 10th 2025
Benfica 1
1 S. Lisbon
 
M. Aktürkoğlu 63'4' F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
 
BEF
SCL
Shots On
1
4
Shots Off
6
2
Corners
6
2
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
24
14
Yellow/red cards
5/0
2/1
 
BenficaS. Lisbon
 
A. Trubin
A. Fernández (A. Tué Na Bangna 83')
T. Araújo (A. Belotti 71')
N. Otamendi
A. Tavares Silva
O. Kökçü
F. Aursnes
F. Morris Luís
V. Pavlidis (A. Mendonça Cabral 90')
M. Aktürkoğlufootball icon (S. Dahl 84')
Á. Di María Hernández (A. Schjelderup 46')
R. Dantas da Silva
O. Diomande
G. Inácio
(C. Harder 82') E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões
(H. Morita 58') Z. Debast
(J. St. Juste 82') M. Araújo Vilches
M. Hjulmand
(M. Reis de Lima 81') football iconF. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
V. Gyökeres
(G. Quenda 71') P. Pereira Gonçalves
G. Cipriano Catamo

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant statistics, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we predict this tie will deliver both happiness and sadness to both sets of supporters. We predict both Benfica and S. Lisbon to find the back of the net during the 90 minutes, but the ultimate winner of the game seems less clear. The odds point towards a both teams to score bet, and that looks a wise bet to us.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Benfica are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Benfica
46%
23/20-
Draw
23%
12/5-
S. Lisbon
31%
9/4
4%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2-
Benfica 2-1
9%
8/1-
S. Lisbon 2-1
7%
11/1-
Benfica 1-0
7%
8/1
5%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1-
Benfica 2-0
6%
10/1
8%
-
Benfica 3-1
6%
16/1-
S. Lisbon 1-0
5%
11/1
8%
-
Benfica 3-2
4%
22/1-
S. Lisbon 2-0
4%
18/1-
Benfica 3-0
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
11/1
8%
-
S. Lisbon 3-1
4%
22/1-
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
28/1-
Benfica 4-1
3%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
3/4
1%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
21/20
1%
-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
47%
13/10-
No 1st Goal
2%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
65%
8/13-
BTTS - No
35%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
5/1-
Home/draw
69%
1/3
2%
-
Away/draw
54%
4/6-
Home/away
77%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/9-
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
42%
7/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
58%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1-
Home DNB
62%
8/15-
Away DNB
47%
11/8-
Benfica win to nil
19%
3/1-
S. Lisbon win to nil
12%
11/2-
Benfica / Benfica
24%
12/5-
Benfica / S. Lisbon
3%
28/1
12%
-
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Benfica
15%
9/2-
Draw / S. Lisbon
12%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
-
S. Lisbon / Benfica
4%
22/1-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
16%
4/1-
S. Lisbon / Draw
5%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Benfica have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Benfica have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Benfica have conceded 1 goal, scored none, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Benfica have played 16 games at home, winning 14, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 51 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

S. Lisbon lay in 1st place on 78 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 32 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 24, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored 85 goals and kept 14 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. S. Lisbon have conceded 26 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

S. Lisbon have played 16 away games, winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Benfica
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon Away3324725979 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
Benfica Home3325445679 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
3
Porto3321573268 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
4
Braga3319862565 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-4A
5
V. Guimaraes33141271254 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 17
d
 
4-4F
6
Santa Clara3316611354 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
7
Casa Pia3312912-445 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
8
Famalicao33111111444 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
9
Estoril33111012-943 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
10
Moreirense3391014-1137 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
11
Rio Ave3391014-1637 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
12
Arouca3381114-1735 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
13
Nacional339717-1534 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6F
14
Gil Vicente338916-1333 
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Estrela Amadora337818-2229 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-3F
16
Sporting Farense336918-2027 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-5F
17
AVS3351216-3227 
w
 
6-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
18
Boavista336621-3224 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
3
Benfica have won 3 consecutive league games
4
S. Lisbon have won 4 consecutive league games
13
Benfica have not lost in 13 consecutive league games
19
S. Lisbon have not lost in 19 consecutive league games
3
S. Lisbon have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
63
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica6 - 0AVS
Benfica2 - 2Arouca
Benfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Boavista
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Benfica4 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Benfica3 - 0Estoril
Benfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Benfica4 - 1Porto
Benfica5 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica5 - 1Gil Vicente
Benfica4 - 1Santa Clara
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica5 - 0Arouca
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Benfica3 - 0Moreirense
Benfica1 - 0Chaves
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABenfica2 - 1Estoril
HBenfica6 - 0AVS
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
ABenfica1 - 0Santa Clara
HBenfica3 - 2Moreirense
ABenfica3 - 2Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 3Casa Pia
HBenfica4 - 0Famalicao
HBenfica1 - 2Braga
ABenfica0 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Boavista0 - 5S. Lisbon
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
Casa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
AVS2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 0S. Lisbon
Moreirense2 - 1S. Lisbon
Braga2 - 4S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Arouca0 - 3S. Lisbon
Sporting Farense0 - 5S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Famalicao0 - 1S. Lisbon
Gil Vicente0 - 4S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Boavista
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
AS. Lisbon3 - 1Casa Pia
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
AS. Lisbon2 - 2AVS
HS. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Sporting Farense
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 4V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Boavista
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
15
16
Games: Scored
8 / 9
9 / 9
Clean sheets
0 / 9
1 / 9
BEF
4
D
3
SCL
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Benfica2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3S. Lisbon
Benfica4 - 3
Benfica2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 1
0 - 3S. Lisbon
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
6 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
4 / 10
BEF
4
D
3
SCL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0
0 - 2Benfica
2 - 4Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 16 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.8 against Sporting Lisbon on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Benfica 2nd S. Lisbon 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Benfica have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
+26
S. Lisbon have scored 26% more goals when away than predicted
3.2
average goals scored
2.8
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285336/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Benfica
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
BEF
SCL
2%
better
view stats
Games scored30
30
Failed to score2
2
Scored first25
27
Goals scored82
85
Avg. goals scored2.6
2.7
Avg. shots per game13
13
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for20
20
Avg. XG for2.2
2.1
KickOff rating
+2%
Defence rating
0%
better
BEF
SCL
view stats
Games conceded17
18
Clean sheets15
14
Conceded first7
4
Goals conceded26
26
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against12%
15%
Avg. XG against0.8
0.7
KickOff rating
0%

Benfica v S. Lisbon Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311899
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK31
1
-
T Araújo DEF2712
1
-
A Silva DEF2213
2
-
N Otamendi DEF3062
3
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF3131
9
-
F Aursnes MID2935
1
-
Florentino MID2521
7
-
O Kökcü MID3277
7
-
Ángel Di María FWD2485
5
-
V Pavlidis FWD33187
3
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD29119
3
-
Subs
S Soares GLK2
-
S Dahl DEF114
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-
L Barreiro MID2631
5
-
A Cabral FWD202
3
-
A Belotti FWD133
-
A Schjelderup FWD1913
-
Bruma  FWD912
-
T Gouveia FWD311
1
-
S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33381410
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoM Hjulmand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK16
2
-
E Quaresma DEF191
2
-
O Diomande DEF302
6
2
G Inácio DEF2732
6
-
G Catamo  MID2952
2
-
M Hjulmand MID2822
9
1
Z Debast MID303
2
-
M Vilches MID2733
8
1
F Trincão FWD33914
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD1344
3
-
V Gyökeres FWD32387
3
-
Subs
F Israel GLK11
1
-
M Reis DEF292
5
1
J Juste DEF13
3
-
I Fresneda DEF173
2
-
R Esgaio DEF9
-
H Morita MID2223
1
-
G. Quenda MID3324
3
-
C Harder FWD2755
1
Biel  FWD3
-