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Sporting Braga v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga

Saturday night at the Estádio Municipal de Braga, and it’s a Liga NOS clash between Sporting Braga and FC Porto. Rui Pedro Viegas Silva Gomes Duarte and Sergio Conceicao going all-out to ensure the win. We want you to make a smart bet on this match, so we've delved into our extensive database and dug out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Braga and Porto was on Saturday 18th May 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 18th 2024
Braga 0
1 Porto
 
84' W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno
 
BRG
PTO
Shots On
1
5
Shots Off
3
17
Corners
4
8
Possession
31%
69%
Fouls
13
11
Yellow/red cards
3/1
1/0
 
BragaPorto
 
M. Lima Magalhães
S. Niakate
C. Borja González
P. Rodrigues de Oliveira
V. Gómez Perea
J. Iria Santos Moutinho
L. Fernandes (V. Carvalho Vieira 20')
R. Zalazar Martínez (Á. Dias Fernandes 67')
R. Horta
A. Ruiz Ortega (S. Banza 81')
A. Tué Na Bangna (M. Mesquita Lopes 82')
D. Meireles Costa
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
(J. Neto Lopes 46') M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
Otavio Ataide
W. Nascimento Borges
(S. Antunes Eustáquio 76') N. González Iglesias
A. Varela
football iconW. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno
(G. Albuquerque Borges 90') E. Aquino Cossa
(M. Grujić 90') F. de Lima Barbosa
(M. Taremi 77') F. Conceição
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Braga or Porto are in the kind of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Porto coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Braga
32%
9/4
8%
9/4
8%
Draw
24%
13/5
3%
27/10
Porto
44%
11/10
7%
11/10
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/16/1
8%
Porto 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
Porto 1-0
9%
10/18/1
6%
Braga 2-1
8%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Braga 1-0
7%
14/1
15%
10/1
10%
Porto 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
10/19/1
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/111/1
9%
Porto 3-1
5%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
Braga 2-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Porto 3-0
4%
20/114/1
12%
Braga 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
Porto 3-2
3%
20/114/1
12%
Braga 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Braga 3-0
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
3/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
47%
5/4
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/6
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1/2
2%
8/15
3%
BTTS - No
41%
6/4
5%
11/8
3%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
3%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
13/5
4%
12/5
8%
Home/draw
56%
7/10
5%
8/11
4%
Away/draw
68%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Home/away
76%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/6
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/3
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Home DNB
49%
11/8
8%
11/8
8%
Away DNB
61%
8/15
6%
8/15
4%
Braga win to nil
15%
6/1
8%
-
Porto win to nil
21%
10/3
4%
-
Braga / Braga
16%
4/1
5%
4/1
9%
Braga / Porto
4%
20/116/1
11%
Braga / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Braga
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Draw / Porto
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Porto / Braga
3%
25/120/1
Porto / Porto
25%
12/5
6%
11/5
3%
Porto / Draw
6%
12/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Braga have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. Braga are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Braga have conceded 12 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Braga have played 16 games at home, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 33 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 3rd place on 69 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below them in the table, winning 20, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 55 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Porto have played 16 away games, winning 10, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Braga
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Porto
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
l
 
5-0A
 S. Lisbon3429326790 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-1F
 Benfica3425544980 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Porto Away3422663672 
-
-
-
-
 Braga Home3421582168 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3A
 V. Guimaraes3419691463 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Moreirense3416711155 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-1F
 Arouca3413714446 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
 Famalicao34101212-442 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-3F
 Casa Pia3410816-1238 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Sporting Farense3410717-537 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Rio Ave346199-537 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
 Gil Vicente349916-1036 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
 Estoril349619-933 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-4F
 Estrela Amadora3471215-2033 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Boavista3471116-2332 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
6-1A
w
 
3-5F
 Portimonense348818-3332 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Vizela3451118-3026 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-4F
 Chaves345821-4123 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
5
Porto have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
Porto
Goals: Scored
11
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
BRG
3
D
3
PTO
2
All league games since 2015
Braga
Porto
Goals: Scored
16
25
Games: Scored
10 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
7 / 17
BRG
4
D
4
PTO
9
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.6 against Sporting Braga on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Braga 4th Porto 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+12
Braga have scored 12% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264937/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Braga
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
1%
better
BRG
PTO
view stats
Games scored28
29
Failed to score6
5
Scored first19
20
Goals scored71
63
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game12
13
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate17%
14%
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
BRG
PTO
30%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
21
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first14
13
Goals conceded50
27
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate16%
13%
KickOff rating
+30%

Braga v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
342168
MatheusS BanzaR Zalazar J Moutinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheus GLK34
3
-
V Gómez DEF302
2
1
P Oliveira DEF202
6
-
S Niakaté DEF19
4
1
C Borja DEF3015
4
-
R Zalazar  MID3266
4
-
J Moutinho MID3011
8
-
R Horta MID2894
3
-
Pizzi MID2913
1
-
Bruma  MID2662
3
-
A Ruiz FWD3063
6
-
Subs
L Hornicek GLK
-
S Saatci DEF173
5
-
J Fonte DEF19
8
-
A Marín DEF8
-
C Ndour MID91
1
-
V Carvalho MID2711
8
-
Álvaro Djaló FWD3085
6
-
R Lopes FWD2321
1
-
S Banza FWD28214
2
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3313711
D CostaEvanilson GalenoWendell
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK33
1
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF41
2
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF122
1
-
O Silva DEF121
3
-
Wendell DEF2542
10
1
A Varela MID3023
8
-
N González  MID2521
7
-
F Conceição MID2754
11
-
Pepê MID3446
4
-
Galeno MID3197
5
-
Evanilson  FWD27133
5
1
Subs
C Ramos GLK2
-
F Cardoso DEF1711
4
1
J Mário DEF2722
5
-
S Eustaquio MID2822
3
-
M Grujić MID101
1
-
R Baró MID10
-
M Taremi FWD2364
3
-
D Namaso FWD1612
1
-
G Borges FWD172
2
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds