Casa Pia's team badge Estrela Amadora's team badge

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Campo do Cevadeiro, Vila Franca de Xira

It's a long trek for Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's Estrela Amadora side on Sunday night, as they head to the Campo do Cevadeiro for a Liga NOS meeting with João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira's Casa Pia. Form, head-to-head stats, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 2.5 goals, but why not use the stats to find the perfect bet for you?

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Casa Pia's next match is v Gil Vicente at 15:30 on Saturday 22nd February
Estrela Amadora's next match is v Santa Clara at 15:30 on Sunday 23rd February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Casa Pia and Estrela Amadora was on Sunday 9th February 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 9th 2025
Casa Pia 1
0 Estrela Amadora
 
C. Dias Moreira 37'
 
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
9
6
Corners
5
2
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
17
16
Yellow/red cards
4/0
4/0
 
Casa PiaEstrela Amadora
 
P. Sequeira Mejías
R. Kluivert
J. Goulart Silva
L. Cruz Lelo
J. da Rocha Fonte
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea (A. Geraldes de Barros 78')
R. Brito (P. dos Santos 89')
M. Ferreira de Sousa (A. Kraev 72')
J. Livolant
N. Rocha Moreira (H. Martins Pereira 78')
C. Dias Moreirafootball icon (M. Svensson Río 72')
J. Santos da Costa
F. Reis Ferreira
I. Dramé
(J. Alves Rodrigues 82') R. Rocha Lima
N. Lopes
D. Martins Travassos
(F. Costa Conceição 46') M. Keliano
(G. Saches Sousa 68') L. Bucca
(P. Valente Moreira 82') A. Oudrhiri Idrissi
(L. Cordeiro de Lima Silva 46') F. Sacalumbo
R. Pereira de Pinho

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We are expecting a relatively tight affair here and, as such, our prediction is under 2.5 goals. That means we a suggesting 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Casa Pia and Estrela Amadora go head-to-head. Tight defences and clear heads will be required to deliver us a winner, but we trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below point in this direction too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Casa Pia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Casa Pia
56%
17/20
7%
10/11
4%
Draw
26%
23/10
6%
9/4
4%
Estrela Amadora
18%
10/3
13%
10/3
4%
Casa Pia 1-0
16%
9/29/2
Casa Pia 2-0
12%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Draw 0-0
10%
13/2
6%
11/2
7%
Casa Pia 2-1
9%
8/115/2
6%
Estrela Amadora 1-0
8%
17/2
14%
15/2
6%
Casa Pia 3-0
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Casa Pia 3-1
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
15%
Estrela Amadora 2-1
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw 2-2
3%
18/114/1
Estrela Amadora 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
16/1
Casa Pia 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Casa Pia 4-1
2%
40/1
21%
28/1
12%
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Estrela Amadora 3-1
1%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
27/20
4%
11/8
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
4/7
3%
8/15
6%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/7
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
2/1
6%
-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
41%
11/1023/20
2%
BTTS - No
59%
4/613/20
1%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/4
10%
18/5
6%
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/119/5
BTTS - Away Win
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
6%
Home/draw
82%
2/11
1%
1/5
Away/draw
44%
10/11
7%
17/20
5%
Home/away
74%
1/3
3%
1/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
3%
4/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8
5%
8/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
7/2
13%
17/5
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
22%
8/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
1/20
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/801/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/121/11
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/111/2
7%
Home DNB
74%
1/3
6%
7/20
4%
Away DNB
36%
9/4
13%
2/1
3%
Casa Pia win to nil
38%
7/4
5%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
11%
11/2
19%
-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
26%
21/10
13%
2/1
4%
Casa Pia / Estrela Amadora
2%
40/128/1
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Casa Pia
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
Draw / Estrela Amadora
10%
15/2
15%
7/1
6%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
7%
Estrela Amadora / Casa Pia
3%
25/120/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
11%
13/2
12%
6/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
5%
16/112/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Casa Pia have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 5 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Casa Pia have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Casa Pia have played 10 games at home winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 10 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 17 points having played 20 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 4 and won 4. Estrela Amadora have conceded 30 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 8 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2216424152 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
Mar 30
l
 
5-1A
2
Benfica2216243250 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Porto2214442846 
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
Apr 27
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2213541844 
May 11
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
5
Santa Clara221228238 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
6
Casa Pia Home22967133 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
7
V. Guimaraes227105531 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
d
 
2-2A
Mar 16
8
Estoril22877-631 
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-4A
May 17
9
Famalicao226106028 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
10
Moreirense227510-526 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
11
Rio Ave22688-1226 
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
May 4
12
Arouca226610-1324 
w
 
3-1F
May 4
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
13
Nacional226511-923 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
14
Gil Vicente225710-1122 
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
15
Estrela Amadora A225512-1520 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
-
-
16
AVS223109-1519 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
May 11
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense223613-1815 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
18
Boavista222614-2312 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Casa Pia 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
7
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
6 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
14 / 20
Draw
9
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goal Statistics

Casa Pia have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Estrela Amadora on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Casa Pia 6th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Casa Pia will score 1 or more goals
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 83% probability of Estrela Amadora scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Casa Pia have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
-62
Estrela Amadora have scored 62% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
0.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285236/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Casa Pia
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.5
0.7
Attack rating
%
better
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Casa Pia v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22857
J GoulartCassianoN MoreiraG Larrazabal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK21
2
-
J Goulart DEF222
4
-
J Fonte DEF16
3
-
R Kluivert DEF161
3
-
G Larrazabal MID203
6
1
M Sousa MID15
3
-
R Brito MID161
3
-
L Lelo MID2212
1
-
J Livolant FWD1532
1
-
Cassiano FWD1781
2
-
N Moreira FWD2155
2
1
Subs
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK
-
D Tchamba  DEF131
2
-
A Geraldes DEF191
2
-
Pablo MID11
-
A Kraev MID17
6
-
M Svensson FWD1913
1
-
O Osundina FWD
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD131
1
-
Cauê FWD1
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22526
NiltonR PinhoNiltonL Bucca
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Andorinha GLK2
-
Ferro DEF10
3
-
I Dramé DEF141
1
-
R Lima DEF171
2
-
D. Martins Travassos MID141
3
-
M Keliano MID141
4
-
Amine MID3
-
Nilton MID222
4
-
L Bucca FWD2021
6
-
R Pinho FWD225
3
-
C Banza FWD31
-
Subs
F Meixedo GLK1
-
G. Tunguliyadi DEF
-
R Pantalon DEF1
-
M Lopes DEF91
2
-
P. Valente Moreira MID171
3
-
L Cordeiro MID1911
2
-
Kikas FWD204
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD3
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD1
-