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CD Nacional v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido welcomes João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira to the Estadio da Madeira on Sunday afternoon, as their CD Nacional and Casa Pia charges clash in the Liga NOS. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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CD Nacional's next match is v Santa Clara at 14:30 on Sunday 30th March
Casa Pia's next match is v Rio Ave at 15:30 on Saturday 29th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Nacional and Casa Pia was on Sunday 16th March 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
March 16th 2025
Nacional 3
1 Casa Pia
 
D. dos Santos Penha 45'49' G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
P. Pereira da Silva 60'
D. Tagueu Tadjo 75'
 
NAC
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
5
5
Corners
2
5
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
NacionalCasa Pia
 
L. Oliveira de França
G. García dos Santos
U. Rocha
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
D. Soumaré
D. dos Santos Penhafootball icon (Matheus Dias 70')
L. Leite Esteves (A. Carreira Sousa 90')
I. Aguiar Tomich (D. Tagueu Tadjo 63')
A. Appiah
P. Pereira da Silvafootball icon (F. Yamada 70')
L. Teodora da Silva (R. Fonseca Macedo 63')
P. Sequeira Mejías
football iconG. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
(M. Svensson Río 84') D. Tchamba Bangou
L. Cruz Lelo
J. Goulart Silva
R. Kluivert
(H. Martins Pereira 70') M. Ferreira de Sousa
(A. Kraev 46') R. Brito
P. dos Santos
(J. Livolant 46') O. Osundina
(C. Dias Moreira 61') C. Vinicius dos Santos

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Nacional and Casa Pia's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record adds further weight to the argument. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.35.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
42%
5/4
6%
13/10
6%
Draw
26%
12/5
3%
9/4
Casa Pia
32%
21/10
7%
21/10
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Nacional 1-0
10%
6/16/1
8%
Nacional 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
Casa Pia 1-0
9%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
Nacional 2-0
7%
9/1
9%
17/2
5%
Casa Pia 2-1
7%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
8/1
6%
13/2
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Casa Pia 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Nacional 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
Nacional 3-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
Casa Pia 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Nacional 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Casa Pia 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Casa Pia 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
43/40
5%
21/20
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/11
5%
7/10
5%
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
46%
13/10
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
53%
10/11
2%
17/20
5%
BTTS - No
47%
10/11
6%
17/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1
9%
18/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
15/410/3
4%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/25/1
Home/draw
68%
4/11
3%
7/20
4%
Away/draw
58%
8/13
6%
3/5
3%
Home/away
74%
3/10
2%
1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1/3
2%
7/20
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
9/4
8%
2/1
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
11/4
6%
13/5
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1
11%
6/1
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12
1%
1/12
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/401/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
18%
13/2
Home DNB
61%
8/13
6%
8/13
5%
Away DNB
50%
6/5
10%
23/20
5%
Nacional win to nil
23%
11/4-
Casa Pia win to nil
17%
4/1
11%
-
Nacional / Nacional
22%
11/4
6%
27/10
3%
Nacional / Casa Pia
3%
33/122/1
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Nacional
15%
9/217/4
5%
Draw / Casa Pia
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
8%
Draw / Draw
18%
15/417/5
Casa Pia / Nacional
3%
25/1
10%
20/1
9%
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
9%
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 3 and won 4. Nacional have conceded 29 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 12 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 7th place on 36 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 23 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon2619524762 
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica2519243959 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto2616553153 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga2616552053 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
May 11
w
 
1-2F
5
Santa Clara261349243 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
6
V. Guimaraes2610115941 
May 4
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
7
Casa Pia Away2610610-336 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
-
-
8
Estoril26998-736 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
Apr 27
w
 
0-2F
9
Famalicao268108034 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
May 17
10
Moreirense268711-631 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
11
Nacional Home268513-1029 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
12
Rio Ave267811-1429 
May 11
l
 
2-1A
Mar 29
d
 
2-2F
13
Arouca267811-1429 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
May 4
14
Gil Vicente255812-1323 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora265813-1723 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
AVS2641111-1723 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
17
Sporting Farense263815-2017 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 7
18
Boavista263617-2715 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Casa Pia have lost 3 consecutive away league games
Nacional 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
2
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
HNacional2 - 2Estoril
ANacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional3 - 1AVS
HNacional2 - 0Porto
ANacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional1 - 0Moreirense
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional0 - 0Boavista
ANacional0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HNacional2 - 0Santa Clara
ANacional0 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
Casa Pia 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Portimonense2 - 2Casa Pia
Vizela0 - 4Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 3S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia2 - 3Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia1 - 2Santa Clara
HCasa Pia3 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia3 - 2Boavista
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 1Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Arouca
ACasa Pia2 - 0Estoril
HCasa Pia1 - 1AVS
ACasa Pia0 - 2Porto
HCasa Pia1 - 1Sporting Farense
ACasa Pia2 - 2Rio Ave
HCasa Pia1 - 0Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
Goal Statistics
Nacional 11th Casa Pia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+32
Casa Pia have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285278/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
NAC
26%
better
view stats
Games scored14
19
Failed to score11
6
Scored first9
13
Goals scored23
31
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal11
7
Conversion rate for9
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
0%
better
NAC
view stats
Games conceded18
20
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first14
12
Goals conceded35
32
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.3
KickOff rating
0%

Nacional v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26437
L FrançaD PenhaL EstevesD. Soumaré
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK26
3
-
L Santos DEF11
2
-
Ulisses DEF232
5
1
D. Soumaré DEF1611
7
-
G García MID262
4
-
D Penha MID2341
1
-
L Esteves MID253
4
-
A Appiah MID20
3
-
Dudu FWD1832
-
I Tomich FWD2331
4
-
P Bóia FWD711
1
-
Subs
R Encarnação GLK1
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF
-
J Aurélio DEF101
1
-
C. Abidi MID111
3
-
A Sousa MID10
3
-
M Dias MID222
5
-
R Macedo FWD191
-
F Yamada FWD61
1
1
J Tagueu FWD61
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26837
J GoulartCassianoG LarrazabalG Larrazabal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK25
2
-
J Goulart DEF262
5
-
R Kluivert DEF181
4
-
D Tchamba  DEF1711
4
-
G Larrazabal MID2413
6
1
M Sousa MID19
3
-
R Brito MID201
4
-
L Lelo MID2612
2
-
O Osundina FWD4
-
Cauê FWD151
3
1
Pablo FWD15
2
-
Subs
R Batista GLK1
1
A Geraldes DEF191
2
-
D. Bandeira DEF
-
I Mohamed MID3
-
J Livolant MID1932
1
-
A Kraev MID201
7
-
Cassiano FWD1881
2
-
M Svensson FWD2313
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD1711
1
-