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CD Nacional v CD Santa Clara : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 4th Nov, 20:15 BST, Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)),

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Monday night, as Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his CD Nacional side host António Jorge Rocha Simão’s CD Santa Clara at the Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)). We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 78% chance of Nacional and Santa Clara a maximum of 3 goals combined during this Liga NOS game according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.40.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
30%
23/10
3%
23/10
Draw
28%
21/10
3%
11/5
Santa Clara
42%
5/4
2%
5/4
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
Santa Clara 1-0
12%
11/25/1
Nacional 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
13/26/1
Santa Clara 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Santa Clara 2-0
8%
9/1
5%
8/1
Nacional 2-1
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
10%
Nacional 2-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
15%
Santa Clara 3-1
4%
20/116/1
13%
Santa Clara 3-0
3%
20/116/1
Nacional 3-1
2%
28/122/1
Santa Clara 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Nacional 3-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Nacional 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
27/20
2%
13/10
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/7
2%
4/7
2%
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/11-
No 1st Goal
6%
13/2-
BTTS - Yes
48%
1/11/1
3%
BTTS - No
52%
3/48/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
13/26/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
18/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
Home/draw
58%
8/13
3%
8/13
Away/draw
70%
1/3
2%
3/10
2%
Home/away
72%
4/111/3
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/54/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
7/413/8
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
10/316/5
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/51/5
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/115/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/161/16
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
20/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/661/200
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
7%
6/1
Home DNB
50%
5/4
5%
13/10
2%
Away DNB
61%
4/7
3%
11/20
1%
Nacional win to nil
18%
4/1
9%
-
Santa Clara win to nil
25%
5/2-
Nacional / Nacional
15%
9/217/4
Nacional / Santa Clara
3%
28/122/1
10%
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Nacional
12%
6/16/1
8%
Draw / Santa Clara
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
Draw / Draw
19%
7/216/5
Santa Clara / Nacional
3%
33/125/1
Santa Clara / Santa Clara
22%
11/45/2
3%
Santa Clara / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league. Nacional are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 6 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Nacional have conceded 13 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 3 games at home, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Santa Clara lay in 4th place on 18 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 9 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Santa Clara have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Santa Clara have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Santa Clara
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
S. Lisbon1010003230 
l
 
1-6A
Jan 26
Apr 13
Nov 30
Porto98011924 
Jan 5
May 17
l
 
0-2A
Jan 26
Benfica86111719 
Dec 19
Mar 9
Feb 16
l
 
4-1F
Santa Clara A9603318 
Nov 4
Mar 30
-
-
Braga9522917 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
Dec 22
May 4
V. Guimaraes9432115 
May 4
Dec 22
Nov 10
Apr 6
Moreirense9423114 
Dec 15
Apr 27
Mar 9
l
 
1-0A
Famalicao9342213 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
Dec 29
Casa Pia9324-411 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
Feb 2
w
 
0-2F
Gil Vicente9243-310 
Apr 19
Dec 8
w
 
2-1F
Mar 16
Estoril9234-49 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Jan 19
w
 
1-4A
AVS9234-99 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 9
Rio Ave9225-128 
May 11
Dec 29
Dec 8
Apr 19
Arouca9216-127 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
Apr 27
Dec 15
Boavista9135-76 
Nov 30
Apr 13
w
 
1-0F
Mar 2
Estrela Amadora10136-126 
Apr 6
Nov 10
w
 
1-0F
Feb 23
Nacional Home8125-95 
-
-
Mar 30
Nov 4
Sporting Farense9117-124 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
Jan 5
May 17
Win / draw / win form
4
Nacional have failed to score in 4 consecutive league games
Nacional 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
D
3
Lost
15
Santa Clara 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics
Nacional 17th Santa Clara 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Santa Clara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-8
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-21
Santa Clara have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
2.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285147/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Santa Clara
1.1
1.3
Attack rating
NAC
SCL
54%
better
view stats
Games scored3
7
Failed to score5
2
Scored first2
6
Goals scored4
13
Avg. goals scored0.5
1.4
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal23
6
Conversion rate for4
17
Avg. XG for1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
NAC
SCL
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded6
6
Clean sheets2
3
Conceded first5
3
Goals conceded13
10
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
0.8
KickOff rating
+18%

Nacional v Santa Clara Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9114
L FrançaD PenhaM DiasUlisses
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK9
-
G García DEF9
1
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF9
1
-
Z Vitor DEF9
3
-
M Dias MID91
2
-
L Esteves MID91
1
-
A Appiah FWD9
1
-
Ulisses DEF7
3
1
D Penha MID71
-
I Tomich FWD71
2
-
A Butzke FWD71
2
-
N Thomas FWD71
2
-
R Macedo FWD7
-
B Costa MID6
-
M Baeza MID51
-
T Reis FWD5
1
-
L Santos DEF3
1
-
A Sousa MID3
1
-
G Santos FWD3
-
D. Soumaré MID2
-
A Freitas DEF1
-
D Sousa FWD1
-
Santa Clara Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9533
G BatistaV LopesM PereiraP Ferreira
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK9
-
F Venâncio DEF9
1
-
MT DEF91
1
-
S. Pena De Lima DEF911
2
-
L Soares DEF9
2
-
P Ferreira MID91
3
-
V Lopes FWD951
2
-
G Silva FWD912
-
Calila DEF81
2
-
M Pereira DEF83
3
-
A Firmino MID81
1
1
A Safira FWD822
3
-
L Rocha DEF7
2
-
Klismahn MID6
-
J. Augusto Mourão Costa FWD61
-
S. Lobo Araújo MID5
1
-
A. Oliveira Silva DEF2
-
B Almeida FWD2
-