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CD Nacional v CD Santa Clara : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido welcomes Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos to the Estadio da Madeira on Sunday afternoon, as their CD Nacional and CD Santa Clara charges clash in the Liga NOS. Statistics for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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CD Nacional's next match is v Rio Ave at 15:30 on Sunday 25th January
CD Santa Clara's next match is v Moreirense at 15:30 on Saturday 24th January
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Nacional and Santa Clara was on Sunday 11th January 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 11th 2026
Nacional 3
3 Santa Clara
 
J. Ramírez Díaz 21'4' V. Lopes da Silva
J. Ramírez Díaz 38'15' P. de Almeida Barbosa
J. Ramírez Díaz 50'90' E. Alves de Paula
 
NAC
SCL
Shots On
5
6
Shots Off
5
11
Corners
2
8
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
14
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
5/0
 
NacionalSanta Clara
 
K. Pereira Azarias
J. Coimbra Aurélio (Deivison Souza Brito 46')
J. Mendes Gomes
Matheus Dias
M. Baeza Pérez (C. Abidi 76')
J. Ramírez Díazfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon
P. Pereira da Silva (W. Quembo 76')
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
J. Lima Cardoso
I. Liziero Pereira (A. Carreira Sousa 90')
P. Messias Cardozo (D. de Melo Araujo Junior 46')
G. Batista de Souza
L. Rocha Rodrigues
G. Silva Vieira
S. Pena De Lima
(W. dos Santos 83') football iconP. de Almeida Barbosa
(P. Ferreira 76') S. Lobo Araújo
L. Soares de Almeida
(E. Alves de Paula 76') G. Dimaraes Miranda
(A. dos Santos da Silva 65') H. da Silva
football iconV. Lopes da Silva
(B. Gonçalves Santos 65') J. Rocha Tavares

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this game will have 4+ goals, and the odds and stats point in the same direction as KickOff's predictive algorithm on this one. Nacional and Santa Clara have rarely served up thrillers of late, whether that be in Liga NOS individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
37%
33/201/50
Draw
27%
15/814/1
Santa Clara
36%
7/4125/1
Draw 1-1
13%
9/24/1
Nacional 1-0
11%
11/25/1
Santa Clara 1-0
11%
6/19/2
Draw 0-0
9%
5/15/1
Nacional 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Santa Clara 2-1
8%
11/13/1
Nacional 2-0
7%
11/110/1
Santa Clara 2-0
6%
11/119/5
Draw 2-2
5%
18/12/1
Nacional 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Santa Clara 3-1
3%
28/19/2
Nacional 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Santa Clara 3-0
3%
28/119/4
Nacional 3-2
2%
40/11/4
Santa Clara 3-2
2%
40/14/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
17/102/13
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
4/919/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
21/2021/20
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/523/20
No 1st Goal
5%
5/15/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/108/15
BTTS - No
50%
4/611/8
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6/11/9
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/25/1
BTTS - Away Win
15%
13/233/1
Home/draw
64%
2/51/1000
Away/draw
63%
4/912/1
Home/away
73%
2/51/66
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
8/151/8
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/819/4
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
9/21/5
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/716/5
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
12/17/20
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/252/1
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
25/117/2
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/1001/20
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/91/10
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
11/25/1
Home DNB
56%
4/51/1000
Away DNB
55%
10/1128/1
Nacional win to nil
21%
11/4-
Santa Clara win to nil
21%
3/1-
Nacional / Nacional
18%
7/210/1
Nacional / Santa Clara
3%
33/140/1
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Draw / Nacional
14%
5/112/5
Draw / Santa Clara
13%
5/114/5
Draw / Draw
20%
3/16/4
Santa Clara / Nacional
3%
33/140/1
Santa Clara / Santa Clara
17%
15/411/1
Santa Clara / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 16 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Nacional have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 7 games at home winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 5 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Santa Clara are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 16 points having played 16 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 9 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Santa Clara have conceded 14 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Santa Clara
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
May 17
2
S. Lisbon1814314145 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
l
 
1-2F
Apr 4
3
Benfica1812602742 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
5
Braga188641430 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
6
Moreirense18837-127 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
l
 
0-1A
Jan 24
7
Famalicao18756726 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
8
V. Guimaraes18747-525 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
9
Estoril18657423 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca18729-923 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 22
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
13
Nacional18459-617 
-
-
May 10
d
 
3-3F
14
Santa Clara18459-617 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
-
-
15
Arouca18459-2317 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
16
Casa Pia183510-1814 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
17
Tondela183312-1812 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
18
AVS180414-334 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Santa Clara 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2018
Nacional
Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
3
6
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
NAC
1
SCL
2
League games at Santa Clara since 2019
Santa Clara
Nacional
Goals: Scored
8
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SCL
3
Goal Statistics

CD Santa Clara's defensive record is to be admired, V. Lopes Matos's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for CD Nacional makes sense in this context.

Nacional 13th Santa Clara 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Santa Clara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Santa Clara have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Santa Clara
1.2
1.2
Attack rating
29%
better
NAC
SCL
view stats
Games scored12
9
Failed to score4
7
Scored first7
6
Goals scored18
11
Avg. goals scored1.1
0.7
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal8
12
Conversion rate for13
8
Avg. XG for1.3
1
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
NAC
SCL
23%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
11
Clean sheets2
5
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded23
16
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against1.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+23%

Nacional v Santa Clara Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181246
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Azarias GLK12
2
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
L Santos DEF1721
6
-
Z Vitor DEF164
3
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1613
1
-
M Baeza MID7
-
M Dias MID17
3
1
Liziero  MID184
4
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD11
2
1
Chuchu FWD1812
4
-
P Bóia FWD1822
4
-
Subs
L França GLK6
1
-
L Vallier DEF6
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-
D Jr MID3
1
-
C. Abidi MID1611
3
-
A Sousa MID61
1
-
Deivison Souza Brito MID3
1
1
Witi FWD15
2
-
L João FWD111
-
Santa Clara Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18517
G BatistaV LopesG BatistaS. Pena De Lima
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK181
-
S. Pena De Lima DEF17
6
1
L Rocha DEF12
4
-
H. da Silva DEF5
-
L Soares MID15
2
-
S. Lobo Araújo MID1731
5
-
J. Rocha Tavares MID11
3
-
Klismahn MID2
1
-
P Victor MID151
4
1
V Lopes FWD155
4
-
G Silva FWD131
1
-
Subs
Neneca GLK
-
Calila DEF11
3
-
F Venâncio DEF131
2
-
A Firmino MID18
5
1
P Ferreira MID18
2
-
E Manoel FWD81
1
-
Brenner FWD15
1
-
Welinton FWD2
1
-