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CD Nacional v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional side are on home soil in the Liga NOS on Sunday afternoon, as Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves's FC Porto travel to the Estadio da Madeira. Team form, head to head (H2H) stats, predictions and odds are all laid out below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed Nacional to win, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?

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CD Nacional's next match is v AVS at 15:30 on Sunday 19th January
FC Porto's next match is v Gil Vicente at 20:30 on Sunday 19th January
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Nacional and Porto was on Sunday 12th January 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 12th 2025
Nacional 2
0 Porto
 
L. Teodora da Silva 17'
J. Lima Cardoso 44'
 
NAC
PTO
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
2
7
Corners
1
10
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
8
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
6/0
 
NacionalPorto
 
L. Oliveira de França
U. Rocha
J. Mendes Gomes
J. Lima Cardosofootball icon
G. García dos Santos
D. Soumaré
Matheus Dias (A. Carreira Sousa 90')
L. Leite Esteves (L. Rodrigues dos Santos 90')
B. Almeida Costa (D. dos Santos Penha 90')
I. Aguiar Tomich (D. Ferreira Sousa 70')
L. Teodora da Silvafootball icon (J. Coimbra Aurélio 83')
D. Meireles Costa
(J. Neto Lopes 46') M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
N. Pérez
Otavio Ataide
(G. Albuquerque Borges 62') A. Russo Franco
(V. Cardoso Sousa 43') A. Varela
(D. Gül 69') R. Mora Carvalho
S. Antunes Eustáquio
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno
(D. Loader 43') E. Aquino Cossa
S. Omorodion Aghehowa

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Porto to win

Playing as the away side at Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira)) and winning is never easy, especially in Liga NOS, but we're predicting Porto gaffer Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves is capable of inspiring his side to do exactly that. Stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and odds from the bookies all add credence to the away win, and we make it the best bet on this match in particular.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 62% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
16%
7/1
16%
13/2
21%
Draw
21%
10/3
18%
19/5
13%
Porto
62%
2/5
8%
2/5
8%
Porto 1-0
12%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Porto 2-0
11%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw 1-1
10%
15/2
15%
15/2
11%
Porto 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Porto 3-0
7%
8/1
13%
7/1
7%
Porto 3-1
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
23%
10/1
8%
Nacional 1-0
5%
16/1
19%
14/1
12%
Nacional 2-1
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
10%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Porto 4-0
4%
16/1
31%
12/1
18%
Porto 4-1
3%
20/1
11%
16/1
13%
Porto 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Nacional 2-0
2%
40/128/1
15%
Porto 5-0
1%
33/1
31%
22/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
17/20
12%
3/4
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
19/20
11%
19/20
11%
Home 1st Goal
39%
10/3
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
2/7
6%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
23%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
11/10
2%
11/10
2%
BTTS - No
50%
4/6
2%
4/6
2%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
BTTS - Draw
15%
5/1
14%
5/1
14%
BTTS - Away Win
26%
5/2
13%
23/10
10%
Home/draw
38%
7/4
19%
19/10
15%
Away/draw
84%
1/12
1%
1/12
2%
Home/away
79%
1/5
3%
2/11
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/4
4%
1/4
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
13%
13/5
14%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
9/4
24%
19/10
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
8%
4/11
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
33%
17/4
21%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
5%
2/15
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
30%
9/1
25%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
2%
1/25
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
10/1
8%
Home DNB
31%
5/1
25%
19/4
18%
Away DNB
77%
1/8
4%
1/9
4%
Nacional win to nil
8%
12/1
13%
-
Porto win to nil
36%
11/10
5%
-
Nacional / Nacional
7%
12/1
24%
10/1
15%
Nacional / Porto
4%
20/118/1
12%
Nacional / Draw
4%
18/1
10%
16/1
Draw / Nacional
6%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Draw / Porto
21%
11/43/1
3%
Draw / Draw
12%
11/2
13%
11/2
7%
Porto / Nacional
2%
50/1
24%
40/1
Porto / Porto
39%
11/10
10%
1/1
8%
Porto / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
16/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Nacional have conceded 23 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 7 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 2nd place on 40 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 40 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 7 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Porto have played 7 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1713223441 
l
 
1-6A
Jan 25
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Porto Away1713132940 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
-
-
3
Benfica1712232738 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 9
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
4
Braga179441131 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 23
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
5
Santa Clara171016231 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
6
V. Guimaraes17674425 
May 4
d
 
2-2F
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
7
Casa Pia17665-124 
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
8
Moreirense17647-322 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 27
May 4
w
 
0-3F
9
Famalicao17485020 
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
10
Rio Ave17557-1020 
May 11
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
11
Gil Vicente17476-719 
Apr 19
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
12
Estoril17467-1018 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
13
Nacional Home17449-1016 
-
-
May 17
l
 
2-0A
14
Estrela Amadora17449-1316 
Apr 6
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
15
AVS17296-1115 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
16
Arouca174310-1515 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
17
Sporting Farense17359-1214 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
18
Boavista17269-1512 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 13
w
 
4-0F
May 11
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
1
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Nacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
Nacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
Nacional1 - 2Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 3Benfica
Nacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Nacional1 - 5Portimonense
Nacional1 - 2Maratimo
Nacional1 - 2Braga
Nacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional0 - 1Moreirense
Nacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
Nacional2 - 0Tondela
Nacional1 - 3Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
HNacional1 - 0Moreirense
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional0 - 0Boavista
ANacional0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HNacional2 - 0Santa Clara
ANacional0 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 0Famalicao
HNacional0 - 3Braga
ANacional0 - 1Estoril
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional0 - 3Famalicao
HNacional1 - 3Benfica
ANacional2 - 2Moreirense
Porto 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense0 - 3Porto
Famalicao1 - 1Porto
Benfica4 - 1Porto
AVS0 - 5Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Santa Clara0 - 2Porto
Braga0 - 1Porto
Chaves0 - 3Porto
Casa Pia1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Portimonense0 - 3Porto
Gil Vicente1 - 1Porto
Arouca3 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense1 - 3Porto
Boavista1 - 1Porto
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
Famalicao0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Porto
Vizela0 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto4 - 0Boavista
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
APorto1 - 1Famalicao
HPorto2 - 0Casa Pia
APorto1 - 4Benfica
HPorto4 - 0Estoril
APorto5 - 0AVS
HPorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto2 - 1Sporting Farense
APorto0 - 2S. Lisbon
HPorto2 - 0Rio Ave
APorto2 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0Braga
HPorto2 - 1Boavista
APorto3 - 0Chaves
HPorto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Porto have beaten Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
8
Porto have not lost to Nacional in 8 consecutive league meetings
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Nacional
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
1
11
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
16
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.9, CD Nacional look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that FC Porto haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long afternoon for T. Carvalho Margarido's men.

FC Porto have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS outings. Their PG of 1.9 against CD Nacional on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nacional 13th Porto 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-22
Nacional have scored 22% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Porto have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285201/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
0.9
1.9
Attack rating
NAC
PTO
60%
better
view stats
Games scored8
15
Failed to score8
1
Scored first5
13
Goals scored11
40
Avg. goals scored0.7
2.5
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal15
5
Conversion rate for7
21
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
NAC
PTO
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
5
Clean sheets5
11
Conceded first9
3
Goals conceded23
9
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
11
Conversion rate against14%
9%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+50%

Nacional v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17325
L FrançaI TomichG GarcíaUlisses
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK17
2
-
G García DEF172
2
-
Ulisses DEF151
4
1
Z Vitor DEF161
4
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF171
3
-
M Dias MID152
4
-
D. Soumaré MID9
4
-
Dudu MID911
-
L Esteves MID171
3
-
B Costa MID1211
-
I Tomich FWD1431
3
-
Subs
R Encarnação GLK1
1
-
J Aurélio DEF71
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF
-
L Santos DEF6
1
-
C. Abidi MID6
-
D Penha MID1311
-
A Sousa MID5
1
-
A Appiah FWD14
1
-
D Sousa FWD6
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
171356
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaM. Moreira Moutinho FernandesO Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK17
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF155
2
-
N Pérez DEF131
4
-
O Silva DEF11
6
-
Galeno DEF168
3
-
A Varela MID161
5
-
S Eustaquio MID15
3
-
A Franco MID71
2
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID833
2
-
Pepê MID1632
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD14132
2
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK
-
J Mário DEF113
2
-
T Djaló DEF3
-
Zaidu  DEF
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF8
1
-
F Vieira MID1012
2
-
V Sousa MID9
1
-
I Jaime MID822
1
-
D Andrade MID
-
D Gül FWD31
-
G Borges FWD1411
3
-
D Namaso FWD142
1
-