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CD Nacional v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido welcomes Francesco Farioli to the Estadio da Madeira on Sunday afternoon, as their CD Nacional and FC Porto troops do battle in the Liga NOS. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


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In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
22%
--
Draw
23%
--
Porto
54%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
--
Porto 1-0
10%
--
Porto 2-1
10%
--
Porto 2-0
9%
--
Nacional 1-0
6%
--
Porto 3-1
6%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
--
Nacional 2-1
6%
--
Porto 3-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
5%
--
Nacional 2-0
3%
--
Porto 3-2
3%
--
Porto 4-1
3%
--
Porto 4-0
2%
--
Nacional 3-1
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
--
Home 1st Goal
42%
--
Away 1st Goal
54%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
--
BTTS - Yes
54%
--
BTTS - No
46%
--
BTTS - Home Win
11%
--
BTTS - Draw
17%
--
BTTS - Away Win
25%
--
Home/draw
46%
--
Away/draw
78%
--
Home/away
77%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
--
Home DNB
39%
--
Away DNB
71%
--
Nacional win to nil
11%
--
Porto win to nil
29%
--
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Nacional have conceded 23 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Nacional have played 10 games at home, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 55 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 41 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 6 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 11 away games, winning 10, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2018113555 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2016314351 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
2-1A
Feb 9
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2013703146 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
4
Gil Vicente2110741437 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
5
Braga2010642336 
Feb 28
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
6
Estoril21867830 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
7
Moreirense21939-230 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
8
Famalicao20857529 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
May 17
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
10
Alverca207310-1424 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
12
Arouca216510-2023 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 21
Feb 27
w
 
0-4F
13
Nacional205510-320 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
14
Rio Ave20488-1620 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
15
Casa Pia204610-1718 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
d
 
3-3A
May 10
May 17
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela213513-2114 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS200515-375 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Santa Clara
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional1 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional4 - 0Rio Ave
ANacional1 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional3 - 3Santa Clara
ANacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional2 - 2AVS
HNacional3 - 1Tondela
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
1
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Sporting Farense0 - 1Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente3 - 1Porto
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
6
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
5 / 20
Clean sheets
15 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
APorto2 - 0Gil Vicente
HPorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
NAC
1
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
20
1
Games: Scored
6 / 6
1 / 6
Clean sheets
5 / 6
0 / 6
PTO
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.8 against CD Nacional on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Nacional 13th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
Nacional have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
-7
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
NAC
PTO
35%
better
view stats
Games scored16
19
Failed to score4
1
Scored first8
17
Goals scored27
41
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+35%
Defence rating
NAC
PTO
70%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
5
Clean sheets3
15
Conceded first12
2
Goals conceded30
6
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
21
Conversion rate against14%
5%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.6
KickOff rating
+70%

Nacional v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201348
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Liziero  MID204
4
-
Chuchu FWD2013
4
-
P Bóia FWD2022
4
-
L Santos DEF1931
8
-
M Dias MID191
3
1
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1814
2
-
Z Vitor DEF1841
5
1
C. Abidi MID1811
3
-
Witi FWD171
2
-
J Aurélio DEF15
2
-
K Azarias GLK14
2
-
L João FWD131
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD11
2
1
J Silva MID10
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
A Sousa MID81
1
-
A Duarte DEF711
1
-
M Baeza MID7
-
L França GLK6
1
-
L Vallier DEF6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
M. Nourani FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
D Jr MID5
1
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF4
1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201367
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaA BaioJ Bednarek
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK20
1
-
V. Froholdt MID2023
1
-
J Bednarek DEF19
7
-
B Sainz FWD1952
5
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD19131
2
-
G Veiga MID1814
3
-
A Varela MID182
4
-
A Baio DEF176
3
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD175
3
1
Pepê FWD1724
1
-
F Moura DEF1622
3
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1611
-
J Kiwior DEF151
1
-
P Rosario MID1521
5
-
D Gül FWD152
1
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF131
2
1
Zaidu  DEF811
-
S Eustaquio MID8
-
N Pérez DEF51
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
L Jong FWD51
1
-
C Ramos GLK1
-
Y Karamoh FWD1
-