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CD Nacional v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Dec, 15:30 BST, Estadio da Madeira, Funchal

Tondela, led by manager Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira, visit Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his CD Nacional side at the Estadio da Madeira on Saturday afternoon in the Liga NOS. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and changing between them will display bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also provided. Hit the tabs below to see it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Nacional and Tondela will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it available at 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Nacional are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Nacional
39%
6/513/10
Draw
25%
11/523/10
3%
Tondela
36%
11/521/10
3%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/15/1
Nacional 1-0
9%
13/211/2
Nacional 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Tondela 1-0
8%
17/2
6%
7/1
7%
Tondela 2-1
8%
11/117/2
5%
Nacional 2-0
6%
10/1
10%
17/2
Draw 0-0
6%
8/1
6%
7/1
Draw 2-2
6%
14/111/1
8%
Tondela 2-0
6%
14/111/1
Nacional 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Tondela 3-1
4%
25/120/1
11%
Nacional 3-0
3%
20/114/1
12%
Nacional 3-2
3%
28/120/1
Tondela 3-2
3%
33/122/1
Tondela 3-0
3%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
21/20
2%
21/20
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
3/4
3%
7/10
2%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/65/6
1%
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/55/4
2%
No 1st Goal
4%
8/1
6%
7/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/5
6%
17/20
3%
BTTS - No
44%
19/20
2%
17/20
3%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
15/4
5%
18/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
18%
11/25/1
Home/draw
64%
4/117/20
1%
Away/draw
61%
8/133/5
Home/away
75%
4/111/3
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/37/20
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
9/42/1
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/413/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/121/12
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
16/1
11%
14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/40
1%
1/80
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8/17/1
Home DNB
57%
8/13
3%
8/13
Away DNB
54%
6/5
2%
6/5
2%
Nacional win to nil
20%
11/4-
Tondela win to nil
18%
9/2-
Nacional / Nacional
22%
11/413/5
3%
Nacional / Tondela
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
12%
Nacional / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw / Nacional
15%
9/217/4
Draw / Tondela
12%
6/111/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/118/5
Tondela / Nacional
3%
25/122/1
10%
Tondela / Tondela
16%
4/14/1
9%
Tondela / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Nacional have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 14th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have scored in every game. Nacional have outscored their opponents by 12 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

Nacional have played 6 games at home winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 5 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Tondela are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 9 points having played 13 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 5 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Tondela have conceded 20 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Nacional
Tondela
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1312102437 
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
2
S. Lisbon1310212532 
l
 
1-4F
Feb 1
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
3
Benfica138501829 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 11
Feb 1
l
 
3-0A
4
Gil Vicente137331024 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
5
Braga136431322 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
6
Famalicao13553520 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
7
Moreirense13625120 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 8
May 9
Dec 28
8
V. Guimaraes13535-318 
May 16
Jan 4
l
 
0-1A
Apr 3
9
Alverca13526-417 
Apr 18
l
 
1-0A
Feb 15
l
 
1-0A
10
Rio Ave13373-416 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
11
Santa Clara13436-315 
Dec 28
May 9
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
12
Estoril13355114 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
Feb 8
13
Estrela Amadora13355-314 
Apr 3
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 22
14
Nacional13337-612 
-
-
Apr 25
Dec 13
15
Casa Pia13238-149 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Dec 21
May 2
16
Tondela13238-159 
Dec 13
Apr 25
-
-
17
Arouca13238-239 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 22
Jan 3
May 16
18
AVS130310-223 
May 2
Dec 21
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
Nacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Nacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 2Estoril
Nacional1 - 2Arouca
Nacional3 - 1AVS
Nacional2 - 0Porto
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
Nacional1 - 0Moreirense
Nacional0 - 0Boavista
Nacional2 - 0Santa Clara
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANacional0 - 1Alverca
HNacional1 - 2Benfica
ANacional1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HNacional0 - 1Famalicao
ANacional1 - 1Estoril
HNacional3 - 2Moreirense
ANacional1 - 0Braga
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional2 - 0Casa Pia
HNacional1 - 4S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1Rio Ave
HNacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
ANacional0 - 3Porto
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Tondela 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente0 - 1Tondela
AVS2 - 2Tondela
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Gil Vicente3 - 0Tondela
P. Ferreira1 - 1Tondela
Moreirense2 - 0Tondela
Maratimo1 - 3Tondela
Porto4 - 0Tondela
Famalicao2 - 1Tondela
Estoril1 - 0Tondela
Portimonense1 - 2Tondela
Santa Clara2 - 2Tondela
Boavista1 - 1Tondela
V. Guimaraes5 - 2Tondela
S. Lisbon2 - 0Tondela
Arouca2 - 0Tondela
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
ATondela0 - 3Braga
HTondela2 - 2Boavista
ATondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
ATondela1 - 1P. Ferreira
HTondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela0 - 2Moreirense
HTondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela3 - 1Maratimo
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Nacional have beaten Tondela in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Nacional since 2016
Nacional
Tondela
Goals: Scored
11
5
Games: Scored
4 / 4
3 / 4
Clean sheets
1 / 4
0 / 4
NAC
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
Nacional3 - 2
Nacional3 - 2
Nacional3 - 1
League games at Tondela since 2015
Tondela
Nacional
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
D
1
CDT
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Tondela2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Tondela2 - 0
Tondela1 - 0
Goal Statistics
Nacional 14th Tondela 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Nacional will score 1 or more goals
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+5
Nacional’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-20
Tondela have scored 20% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Nacional
PG (predicted goals)
Tondela
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
45%
better
NAC
CDT
view stats
Games scored9
4
Failed to score3
8
Scored first7
3
Goals scored12
7
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.5
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal8
16
Conversion rate for12
6
Avg. XG for1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
11%
better
NAC
CDT
view stats
Games conceded10
10
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded17
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
15%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.6
KickOff rating
+11%

Nacional v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13734
Liziero ChuchuLiziero L Santos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Santos DEF132
4
-
Liziero  MID133
4
-
Witi FWD13
1
-
Chuchu FWD137
4
-
P Bóia FWD1311
2
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF1213
1
-
M Dias MID12
1
1
Z Vitor DEF111
3
1
C. Abidi MID11
3
-
J Aurélio DEF10
1
-
F Soares MID10
2
-
L João FWD8
-
K Azarias GLK7
-
J Silva MID7
-
P. Messias Cardozo FWD7
1
1
L França GLK6
1
-
M. Silva Watts Rodrigues FWD6
1
-
Ulisses DEF5
3
1
M. Nourani FWD5
1
-
A Duarte DEF4
-
L Vallier DEF3
-
A Sousa MID3
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF2
1
-
M Baeza MID2
-
Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13326
B FontesP HenryqueR LopesB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK13
1
-
T. Silva Manso DEF131
3
-
J. Rodríguez López MID13
2
-
P Henryque FWD133
4
-
C Marques DEF11
1
-
B Medina DEF11
5
1
E Maviram DEF11
1
-
S Sithole MID111
3
-
J. Rodriguez FWD10
1
-
I Cavaleiro FWD101
1
-
Y. Augusto FWD10
-
Bebeto DEF9
3
-
H Tavares MID9
1
1
Jordan FWD9
1
-
H. Sequeira MID8
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD7
-
J Hodge MID6
-
R Lopes FWD612
1
-
J Afonso DEF5
1
-
C. Alves Santana MID5
2
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID3
-
A Rodrigues FWD2
-