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CD Santa Clara v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 15:30 BST, Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada

João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira pays counterpart Vasco Miguel Lopes Matos a visit on Saturday afternoon in the Liga NOS, as their Casa Pia and CD Santa Clara teams go head to head at the Estádio de São Miguel. Form, head-to-head statistics, predictions and odds are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We've backed under 3.5 goals, but why not take a look and see if there's another bet you prefer?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Santa Clara and Casa Pia have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards an extension of that record. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Santa Clara are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Santa Clara
48%
81/10010/11
Draw
26%
41/2011/5
Casa Pia
25%
4/118/5
Santa Clara 1-0
13%
4/14/1
Draw 1-1
12%
11/25/1
Santa Clara 2-0
9%
13/26/1
Santa Clara 2-1
9%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
9%
5/119/4
Casa Pia 1-0
8%
17/27/1
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
16/112/1
Santa Clara 3-0
5%
14/112/1
Draw 2-2
5%
20/116/1
Santa Clara 3-1
4%
18/114/1
Casa Pia 2-0
4%
22/116/1
Santa Clara 3-2
2%
40/128/1
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Santa Clara 4-0
2%
33/125/1
Santa Clara 4-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
8/58/5
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
19/404/9
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/64/6
Away 1st Goal
42%
15/819/10
No 1st Goal
5%
5/119/4
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/411/8
BTTS - No
52%
4/78/15
BTTS - Home Win
20%
9/24/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
12/19/1
Home/draw
75%
1/61/5
Away/draw
52%
10/1117/20
Home/away
74%
4/117/20
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/211/20
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
6/411/8
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
9/24/1
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
1/71/7
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
12/110/1
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/251/33
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
25/122/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/1501/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/91/9
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
11/219/4
Home DNB
67%
3/101/3
Away DNB
44%
12/521/10
Santa Clara win to nil
29%
13/8-
Casa Pia win to nil
14%
6/1-
Santa Clara / Santa Clara
27%
2/12/1
Santa Clara / Casa Pia
2%
40/133/1
Santa Clara / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Santa Clara
18%
7/210/3
Draw / Casa Pia
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Draw
19%
10/33/1
Casa Pia / Santa Clara
3%
28/122/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
11%
7/16/1
Casa Pia / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Santa Clara have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 1 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 13 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Santa Clara have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 9 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Casa Pia are winless in the 10 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Casa Pia have conceded 26 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1211102234 
Jan 4
May 16
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon1210112531 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 3
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
3
Benfica128401828 
Feb 15
d
 
1-1A
Apr 3
d
 
2-2A
4
Gil Vicente127231023 
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
Dec 13
Apr 25
5
Famalicao12552620 
Jan 18
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
6
Braga125431219 
Apr 25
Dec 15
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
7
Moreirense12615119 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 25
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
8
V. Guimaraes12525-317 
Mar 8
l
 
2-1F
Dec 28
May 9
9
Alverca12426-514 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 22
l
 
0-2A
Apr 11
10
Estoril12345113 
Feb 1
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
11
Rio Ave12273-513 
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
May 16
Jan 3
12
Santa Clara12336-412 
-
-
Apr 18
Dec 6
13
Nacional12336-512 
May 9
Dec 28
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
14
Estrela Amadora12255-511 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 8
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
15
Casa Pia12237-139 
Dec 6
Apr 18
-
-
16
Tondela12237-139 
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
May 2
Dec 21
17
Arouca12237-219 
Dec 21
May 2
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS12039-213 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 15
Jan 25
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
7
Casa Pia have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Santa Clara 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Santa Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
Santa Clara2 - 0AVS
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Santa Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara0 - 1Moreirense
Santa Clara2 - 1Famalicao
Santa Clara2 - 0Arouca
Santa Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 1Moreirense
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 3Estoril
Santa Clara0 - 0Sporting Farense
Santa Clara0 - 2Braga
Santa Clara1 - 0Rio Ave
Santa Clara1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Santa Clara2 - 1Gil Vicente
Santa Clara1 - 0Boavista
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASanta Clara1 - 1Rio Ave
HSanta Clara1 - 2S. Lisbon
ASanta Clara0 - 1Gil Vicente
HSanta Clara2 - 0AVS
ASanta Clara1 - 2V. Guimaraes
HSanta Clara1 - 2Tondela
HSanta Clara2 - 1Alverca
ASanta Clara1 - 1Benfica
ASanta Clara1 - 0Estoril
HSanta Clara0 - 0Estrela Amadora
HSanta Clara0 - 1Moreirense
ASanta Clara0 - 3Famalicao
ASanta Clara2 - 1Sporting Farense
HSanta Clara2 - 1Famalicao
ASanta Clara1 - 1Braga
HSanta Clara2 - 0Arouca
ASanta Clara1 - 1Rio Ave
HSanta Clara0 - 1S. Lisbon
ASanta Clara0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HSanta Clara1 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica2 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
AVS0 - 2Casa Pia
Famalicao2 - 1Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 0Casa Pia
AVS1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 0Casa Pia
Nacional3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense3 - 2Casa Pia
Santa Clara2 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista2 - 3Casa Pia
Braga1 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave2 - 2Casa Pia
S. Lisbon2 - 0Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia0 - 2Alverca
ACasa Pia2 - 2Benfica
HCasa Pia3 - 5Estrela Amadora
ACasa Pia0 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia2 - 2Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 2Moreirense
HCasa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
ACasa Pia2 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia0 - 2Nacional
ACasa Pia0 - 4Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 0AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 2S. Lisbon
ACasa Pia1 - 2Famalicao
HCasa Pia2 - 1Braga
ACasa Pia0 - 0Arouca
HCasa Pia1 - 3Estoril
ACasa Pia1 - 1AVS
HCasa Pia0 - 1Porto
ACasa Pia0 - 0Sporting Farense
HCasa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Goal Statistics

CD Santa Clara's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Casa Pia have conceded in each of their last 7 Liga NOS games. A PG of 1.5 for V. Lopes Matos's side suggests that run should continue.

Santa Clara 12th Casa Pia 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Santa Clara will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-21
Santa Clara have scored 21% fewer goals at home than predicted
+9
Casa Pia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Santa Clara
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.5
1
Attack rating
SCL
5%
better
view stats
Games scored8
7
Failed to score4
5
Scored first5
4
Goals scored10
13
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
7
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
16
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
29%
better
SCL
view stats
Games conceded9
10
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first6
8
Goals conceded14
26
Avg. goals conceded1.2
2.2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
21%
Avg. XG against1
1.6
KickOff rating
+29%

Santa Clara v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Santa Clara Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12425
G BatistaV LopesW. da Silva CostaA Firmino
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Batista GLK12
-
S. Pena De Lima DEF12
3
1
S. Lobo Araújo MID123
3
-
P Ferreira MID12
1
-
A Firmino MID12
4
1
V Lopes FWD114
3
-
P Victor DEF10
4
1
F Venâncio DEF10
2
-
M Pereira DEF101
2
-
L Soares MID10
2
-
MT MID91
2
-
Brenner FWD9
1
-
Calila MID8
2
-
W. da Silva Costa FWD812
1
-
G Silva FWD81
1
-
L Rocha DEF6
2
-
Luquinhas FWD6
1
-
J. Augusto Mourão Costa FWD61
-
E Manoel FWD5
1
-
A. Carter FWD51
1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12335
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Geraldes DEF12
2
-
G Larrazabal DEF121
3
-
Cassiano FWD122
3
-
J Livolant FWD1233
1
-
S Pérez MID11
2
-
R. Nhaga MID111
3
-
P Sequeira GLK10
2
1
J Fonte DEF101
2
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF9
2
-
T Morais FWD9
1
-
I Mohamed MID81
3
-
M Sousa MID81
2
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD8
1
-
D Sousa  DEF71
5
-
K Rocha DEF61
-
J Goulart DEF6
2
-
O Osundina FWD61
-
M Svensson FWD6
1
-
R Brito MID5
1
-
K Nsona  FWD51
-
D Tchamba  DEF41
1
-
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK3
1
-
A Conté DEF31
-
K. Prieto Machado MID3
-
Y Oukili MID3
-
X Severina FWD2
-
R Batista GLK1
-