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Estoril v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Saturday evening sees Ian Cathro’s Estoril and Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal’s Sporting Braga go up against one another in a Liga NOS clash at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. You'll find statistics supporting our top of under 3.5 goals below, but there are 16 other betting markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Liga NOS performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 77% chance of Estoril and Braga 3 goals or less combined during this Liga NOS fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Braga coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
28%
7/2
15%
-
Draw
27%
13/5
6%
-
Braga
45%
3/4
8%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
-
Braga 1-0
12%
6/1-
Braga 2-1
9%
15/2-
Estoril 1-0
9%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
5%
-
Braga 2-0
8%
7/1
11%
-
Estoril 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Estoril 2-0
5%
22/1
21%
-
Braga 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
-
Braga 3-0
4%
12/1
24%
-
Estoril 3-1
2%
40/1
21%
-
Braga 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
-
Estoril 3-0
2%
50/1
24%
-
Estoril 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
19/20
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
17/20
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
15/8
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1/2
4%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
10/11-
BTTS - No
51%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
8/1
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
11/4
13%
-
Home/draw
55%
1/1
9%
-
Away/draw
72%
2/11
6%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/7
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
5/2
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
12/5
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
3/10
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
16%
-
Home DNB
47%
12/5
24%
-
Away DNB
64%
3/10
7%
-
Estoril win to nil
16%
7/1
23%
-
Braga win to nil
26%
2/1
8%
-
Estoril / Estoril
11%
13/2
15%
-
Estoril / Braga
4%
22/1-
Estoril / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Estoril
9%
17/2
19%
-
Draw / Braga
18%
7/2
5%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Braga / Estoril
2%
33/1-
Braga / Braga
30%
7/4
14%
-
Braga / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 1 and won 3. Estoril have conceded 30 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Braga lay in 4th place on 60 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Braga have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Braga have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Braga
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1A
2
Benfica2922344669 
May 3
l
 
3-0A
May 17
w
 
1-2F
3
Porto3019563162 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
4
Braga Away2918652460 
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
-
-
5
V. Guimaraes29121251248 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
May 3
w
 
0-2F
7
Famalicao3011109643 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
3-3A
Apr 25
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 28
l
 
1-2A
May 10
9
Estoril Home2910910-839 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
10
Moreirense309813-935 
d
 
2-2A
May 11
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
11
Rio Ave308913-1533 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Nacional309516-1432 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
13
Arouca297913-1630 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
May 17
w
 
2-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
16
AVS3041214-2624 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-1F
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Boavista305619-2721 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
5
Braga have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril2 - 1Famalicao
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 4Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Famalicao
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Estoril1 - 0Portimonense
Estoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril0 - 3Famalicao
AEstoril3 - 0AVS
HEstoril1 - 2Porto
AEstoril1 - 1Arouca
HEstoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
AEstoril1 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
AEstoril2 - 2Nacional
HEstoril2 - 1Boavista
AEstoril2 - 1Gil Vicente
HEstoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 2Santa Clara
AEstoril4 - 2Estrela Amadora
HEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 3Benfica
HEstoril0 - 2Casa Pia
AEstoril2 - 2Braga
HEstoril2 - 1Famalicao
HEstoril0 - 0AVS
AEstoril0 - 4Porto
Braga 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
Sporting Farense0 - 1Braga
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
Moreirense1 - 2Braga
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
Benfica1 - 2Braga
Santa Clara0 - 2Braga
AVS0 - 1Braga
Arouca1 - 2Braga
Porto2 - 1Braga
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Gil Vicente0 - 0Braga
Boavista0 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Portimonense3 - 5Braga
Rio Ave0 - 0Braga
Boavista0 - 4Braga
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBraga4 - 1AVS
ABraga1 - 1S. Lisbon
HBraga2 - 1Arouca
ABraga1 - 0Sporting Farense
HBraga1 - 0Porto
ABraga1 - 2Rio Ave
HBraga1 - 0Nacional
ABraga0 - 0V. Guimaraes
HBraga2 - 0Gil Vicente
ABraga2 - 1Moreirense
HBraga3 - 0Boavista
ABraga1 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABraga2 - 1Benfica
HBraga1 - 2Casa Pia
ABraga2 - 0Santa Clara
HBraga3 - 3Famalicao
HBraga2 - 2Estoril
ABraga1 - 0AVS
HBraga2 - 4S. Lisbon
ABraga2 - 1Arouca
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
12
Braga have not lost to Estoril in 12 consecutive league meetings
4
Braga have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive away league meetings with Estoril
League games at Estoril since 2015
Estoril
Braga
Goals: Scored
2
12
Games: Scored
2 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
4 / 6
EST
1
D
1
BRG
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
0 - 1Braga
0 - 2Braga
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 6Braga
1 - 3Braga
Estoril1 - 0
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
Estoril
Goals: Scored
20
5
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
D
2
BRG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
Draw2 - 2Draw
Braga3 - 1
Braga4 - 1
Braga2 - 0
Braga6 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Braga2 - 0
Goal Statistics

Sporting Braga's defensive record is to be admired, C. Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

Estoril 9th Braga 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 58% probability that Braga will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Estoril have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+7
Braga’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285308/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
1.1
1.4
Attack rating
EST
BRG
25%
better
view stats
Games scored19
26
Failed to score10
3
Scored first12
20
Goals scored38
49
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
EST
BRG
39%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
15
Clean sheets6
14
Conceded first14
7
Goals conceded46
25
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
11%
Avg. XG against1.5
1
KickOff rating
+39%

Estoril v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26938
P ÁlvaroA MarquésJ HolsgroveP Álvaro
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK24
3
-
K Boma DEF231
7
-
P Álvaro DEF2611
8
-
P Amaral DEF232
2
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho MID14
1
-
V Zanocelo MID241
7
-
J Holsgrove MID2313
4
-
G Costa MID132
1
-
Y Begraoui FWD2873
1
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD2142
2
-
R Guitane FWD1
-
Subs
K Chamorro GLK3
-
T. Parente DEF
-
P. Lanquetin DEF
-
E Mangala DEF8
4
-
A. Florea MID
-
T Brito MID
-
A Marqués FWD279
1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD22
3
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD9
-
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25856
R HortaR HortaR HortaJ Ferreira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Hornicek GLK10
-
V Gómez DEF201
1
-
P Oliveira DEF151
2
-
S Niakaté DEF1711
3
-
F. Rodrigues DEF
-
U Račić MID711
3
-
J Moutinho MID161
4
-
I Gharbi MID1721
1
-
R Zalazar  MID1224
4
-
R Horta MID2785
1
-
A. Cruz Patrão FWD2
-
Subs
T Sá GLK1
1
R Bambu DEF101
4
-
J Ferreira DEF181
6
-
A Marín DEF102
-
V Carvalho MID20
3
-
Gorby MID161
3
-
A Ouazzani FWD2761
1
-
R Fernandes FWD2433
1
-
G Martínez FWD2542
4
-