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Estoril v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

It's an away trip for Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido's CD Nacional side on Sunday evening, as they make their way to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota for a Liga NOS tie with Ian Cathro's Estoril. All of the important stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across seventeen major markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Estoril's next match is v Rio Ave at 23:00 on Saturday 21st September
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estoril and Nacional was on Sunday 15th September 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
September 15th 2024
Estoril 1
0 Nacional
 
J. Antunes Carvalho 19'
 
EST
NAC
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
6
11
Corners
3
4
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
22
12
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/1
 
EstorilNacional
 
J. Robles Blázquez
K. Boma
P. Gaspar Amaral
P. Costa Álvaro
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho (A. Orellana Gómez 62')
M. da Silva Rocha (F. Garcia Andrade 77')
J. Antunes Carvalhofootball icon
Michel Costa (W. Cardoso Pina 62')
V. de Souza Zanocelo
Y. Begraoui (E. Mangala 77')
H. Sousa Azevedo Costa (A. Marqués Méndez 48')
L. Oliveira de França
J. Lima Cardoso
G. García dos Santos
U. Rocha
J. Mendes Gomes
L. Leite Esteves
(G. dos Santos Francisco 70') D. dos Santos Penha
(L. Rodrigues dos Santos 70') Matheus Dias
(B. Almeida Costa 54') R. Fonseca Macedo
(I. Aguiar Tomich 54') A. Appiah
(D. Ferreira Sousa 63') T. Rodrigues dos Reis
Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There is 74% chance of Estoril and Nacional no more than 3 goals combined during this Liga NOS match according to our predictive algorithm and, without a strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Calculations are made based on recent form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can back it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estoril are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.30.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
39%
31/20
21%
6/4
9%
Draw
27%
11/5
6%
11/5
6%
Nacional
34%
15/8
15%
19/10
3%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
Estoril 1-0
11%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Nacional 1-0
10%
13/2
25%
6/1
13%
Estoril 2-1
8%
9/1
11%
8/1
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
7/1
16%
6/1
13%
Nacional 2-1
8%
10/1
8%
17/2
Estoril 2-0
7%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
Nacional 2-0
6%
12/1
24%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
Estoril 3-1
4%
22/1
35%
16/1
13%
Nacional 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
Estoril 3-0
3%
22/1
21%
18/1
12%
Nacional 3-0
2%
28/1
29%
22/1
Estoril 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
13%
Nacional 3-2
2%
40/1
21%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
13/10
12%
6/5
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
3/5
9%
8/13
5%
Home 1st Goal
48%
5/6
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20
8%
19/20
5%
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
8%
4/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
22%
17/4
14%
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2
7%
19/4
Home/draw
66%
2/5
8%
2/5
Away/draw
61%
1/2
12%
1/2
4%
Home/away
73%
4/11
5%
7/20
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/5
8%
2/5
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
7/4
19%
7/4
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
10/3
24%
3/1
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/5
7%
2/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/1
25%
7/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/16
2%
1/16
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
20/1
24%
16/1
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/66
1%
1/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/12
2%
1/12
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
7/1
16%
6/1
18%
Home DNB
58%
8/11
15%
8/11
4%
Away DNB
53%
1/1
20%
1/1
5%
Estoril win to nil
22%
3/1
14%
-
Nacional win to nil
19%
10/3
28%
-
Estoril / Estoril
20%
10/3
24%
29/10
5%
Estoril / Nacional
3%
33/125/1
13%
Estoril / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw / Estoril
14%
9/2
10%
9/2
5%
Draw / Nacional
13%
11/2
13%
5/1
8%
Draw / Draw
17%
7/2
10%
16/5
13%
Nacional / Estoril
3%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Nacional / Nacional
17%
15/4
14%
18/5
Nacional / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Estoril
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Nacional
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Sep 27
Mar 2
 S. Lisbon55001715 
l
 
1-6A
Jan 26
Mar 30
Nov 3
 Porto5401612 
Jan 5
May 17
Jan 26
l
 
1-0A
 V. Guimaraes5401412 
May 4
Dec 22
May 4
Dec 22
 Benfica5311510 
Oct 6
Mar 9
Dec 1
Apr 13
 Famalicao5311510 
Mar 2
Sep 29
l
 
1-4F
Jan 19
 Santa Clara530219 
Nov 4
Mar 30
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Braga522118 
Sep 20
Feb 23
Dec 29
May 11
 Moreirense5212-17 
Dec 15
Apr 27
Nov 9
Apr 6
 AVS5212-17 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 2
 Gil Vicente5131-16 
Apr 19
Dec 8
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Casa Pia5203-36 
Mar 16
Oct 25
Feb 23
Sep 21
 Rio Ave5203-36 
May 11
Dec 29
-
-
 Estoril Home5122-35 
Feb 16
l
 
1-0A
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
 Boavista4112-14 
Nov 30
Apr 13
w
 
1-0F
Feb 16
 Nacional Away5113-54 
-
-
Oct 26
Mar 16
 Arouca5104-63 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
May 17
Jan 5
 Estrela Amadora4013-51 
Apr 6
Nov 10
Mar 9
Oct 6
 Sporting Farense5005-100 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
Win / draw / win form
Estoril 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
2
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 4Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Famalicao
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Estoril1 - 0Portimonense
Estoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Estoril1 - 3Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Arouca
Estoril1 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 0Sporting Farense
Estoril4 - 0Chaves
Estoril4 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril0 - 1Benfica
Estoril2 - 2Vizela
Estoril1 - 2Boavista
Estoril2 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril3 - 1Maratimo
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril0 - 0Boavista
HEstoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 4Santa Clara
AEstoril1 - 2Moreirense
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril2 - 3Sporting Farense
HEstoril1 - 0Famalicao
AEstoril2 - 2Chaves
HEstoril0 - 1Braga
AEstoril0 - 0Casa Pia
HEstoril1 - 0Porto
HEstoril1 - 0Portimonense
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril1 - 3V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 3Vizela
HEstoril1 - 3Gil Vicente
AEstoril1 - 2Boavista
HEstoril1 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 1Rio Ave
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
AVS1 - 1Nacional
Famalicao3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense2 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Tondela2 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara5 - 1Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 0Nacional
P. Ferreira2 - 1Nacional
Belenenses2 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave0 - 0Nacional
Benfica1 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes3 - 1Nacional
Porto2 - 0Nacional
Portimonense1 - 0Nacional
Maratimo0 - 0Nacional
Braga2 - 1Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 1Nacional
Belenenses3 - 0Nacional
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
2
D
2
Lost
16
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
ANacional0 - 1Arouca
HNacional1 - 6S. Lisbon
ANacional1 - 1AVS
HNacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional0 - 3Famalicao
HNacional1 - 3Benfica
ANacional2 - 2Moreirense
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 2Tondela
HNacional0 - 1Porto
ANacional1 - 5Santa Clara
HNacional1 - 5Portimonense
ANacional0 - 2Gil Vicente
HNacional1 - 2Maratimo
ANacional1 - 2P. Ferreira
HNacional1 - 2Braga
ANacional1 - 2Belenenses
HNacional2 - 3Sporting Farense
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Estoril of late. It has been 6 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against CD Nacional.

Estoril 16th Nacional 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Nacional will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-1
Estoril’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-42
Nacional have scored 42% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285108/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
EST
NAC
59%
better
view stats
Games scored1
3
Failed to score3
1
Scored first1
2
Goals scored1
4
Avg. goals scored0.3
1
Avg. shots per game6
10
Avg. shots per goal23
10
Conversion rate for4
10
Avg. XG for0.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+59%
Defence rating
35%
better
EST
NAC
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded5
8
Avg. goals conceded1.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded12
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
6
Conversion rate against10%
18%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.4
KickOff rating
+35%

Estoril v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4113
P ÁlvaroA MarquésY BegraouiE Mangala
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK3
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF3
-
P Álvaro DEF4
2
-
K Boma DEF
-
P Amaral DEF4
-
V Zanocelo MID4
2
-
Michel Costa MID4
1
-
Xeka  MID1
1
-
H Costa FWD4
-
Y Begraoui FWD41
1
-
J Carvalho FWD2
2
-
Subs
K Chamorro GLK
-
G Costa DEF
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF4
1
-
I. Sierra Arnal DEF
-
E Mangala DEF4
3
-
J Orellana MID4
1
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD4
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1
1
-
A Marqués FWD41
-
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4112
L FrançaD PenhaM DiasUlisses
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L França GLK4
-
G García DEF4
1
-
Ulisses DEF4
2
-
Z Vitor DEF4
1
-
J. Mendes Gomes DEF4
-
D Penha MID31
-
M Dias MID41
1
-
L Esteves MID41
2
-
R Macedo FWD4
-
T Reis FWD2
1
-
A Appiah FWD4
-
Subs
R Encarnação GLK
-
J Aurélio DEF
-
L Santos DEF
-
B Costa MID4
-
A Sousa MID2
-
M Baeza MID31
-
D Sousa FWD
-
I Tomich FWD31
1
-
G Santos FWD2
-