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Estoril v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th May, 18:00 BST, Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Estrela Amadora pay Liga NOS competitors Estoril a visit on Saturday evening, as Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins leads his side into an away clash with Ian Cathro & co. at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It would probably be a little strong to say that we expect Ian Cathro and Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins to batten down the hatches here, but we certainly don't expect to see a flood of goals as Estoril and Estrela Amadora go head-to-head. The stats belowimply under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we're saying that looks like a strong prediction. With best odds of 1.80 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estoril are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
39%
13/8-
Draw
28%
23/10-
Estrela Amadora
33%
13/8-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Estoril 1-0
12%
15/2
6%
-
Estrela Amadora 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
10%
9/1-
Estoril 2-1
8%
9/1-
Estoril 2-0
7%
12/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-1
7%
9/1-
Estrela Amadora 2-0
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
12/1-
Estoril 3-1
3%
20/1-
Estoril 3-0
3%
25/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-1
3%
20/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-0
2%
25/1-
Estoril 3-2
2%
28/1-
Estrela Amadora 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
1/1
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
4/5
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
48%
20/21-
Away 1st Goal
45%
20/21-
No 1st Goal
7%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
46%
3/4-
BTTS - No
54%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
9/2
10%
-
Home/draw
68%
4/9-
Away/draw
61%
4/9-
Home/away
72%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
3/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
33%
12/5
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
5/2
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
2/7
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/1-
Home DNB
59%
5/6-
Away DNB
52%
5/6-
Estoril win to nil
24%
7/2-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
20%
7/2-
Estoril / Estoril
19%
10/3-
Estoril / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/1
12%
-
Estoril / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Estoril
14%
5/1-
Draw / Estrela Amadora
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Estrela Amadora / Estoril
3%
28/1
12%
-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
19%
10/3-
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 9th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 17 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 9 and lost 1 match. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Estoril have outscored their opponents by 44 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Estoril have played 16 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 23 goals at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 29 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 22 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 10 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 6 and won 6. Estrela Amadora have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 14 fixtures and have kept 6 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3324725979 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-1A
2
Benfica3325445679 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
2-3A
l
 
1-0A
3
Porto3321573268 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga3319862565 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
5
V. Guimaraes33141271254 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Santa Clara3316611354 
l
 
1-4F
w
 
2-3F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
7
Casa Pia3312912-445 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
8
Famalicao33111111444 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
d
 
0-00-0
9
Estoril Home33111012-943 
-
-
l
 
2-4A
May 17
10
Moreirense3391014-1137 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
11
Rio Ave3391014-1637 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
12
Arouca3381114-1735 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
13
Nacional339717-1534 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
14
Gil Vicente338916-1333 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
15
Estrela Amadora A337818-2229 
May 17
w
 
2-4F
-
-
16
Sporting Farense336918-2027 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
AVS3351216-3227 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
18
Boavista336621-3224 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Estoril have lost 3 consecutive home league games
Estoril 9TH
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estoril2 - 1Famalicao
Estoril0 - 0AVS
Estoril4 - 1Arouca
Estoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Estoril0 - 0Gil Vicente
Estoril1 - 4Santa Clara
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril1 - 0Famalicao
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Estoril1 - 0Porto
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
HEstoril1 - 2Benfica
AEstoril3 - 1Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 2Braga
AEstoril0 - 3Famalicao
AEstoril3 - 0AVS
HEstoril1 - 2Porto
AEstoril1 - 1Arouca
HEstoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
AEstoril1 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril2 - 1Rio Ave
AEstoril2 - 2Nacional
HEstoril2 - 1Boavista
AEstoril2 - 1Gil Vicente
HEstoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
AEstoril3 - 2Santa Clara
AEstoril4 - 2Estrela Amadora
HEstoril2 - 2Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 3Benfica
HEstoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
9
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Moreirense1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Boavista0 - 1Estrela Amadora
Casa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Famalicao0 - 0Estrela Amadora
AVS1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Sporting Farense1 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estrela Amadora
Gil Vicente3 - 0Estrela Amadora
Santa Clara1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Benfica1 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Vizela4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Arouca0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Boavista1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Moreirense2 - 2Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1AVS
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Rio Ave
HEstrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Arouca
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Sporting Farense
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Nacional
HEstrela Amadora0 - 3S. Lisbon
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2V. Guimaraes
HEstrela Amadora1 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1Moreirense
HEstrela Amadora0 - 0Santa Clara
AEstrela Amadora1 - 0Boavista
AEstrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
HEstrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
AEstrela Amadora0 - 0Famalicao
HEstrela Amadora0 - 1Braga
HEstrela Amadora2 - 4Estoril
AEstrela Amadora1 - 1AVS
HEstrela Amadora1 - 0Rio Ave
AEstrela Amadora0 - 2Porto
Goal Statistics
Estoril 9th Estrela Amadora 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Estrela Amadora will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Estoril have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-49
Estrela Amadora have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
0.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285343/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
1.2
1.1
Attack rating
32%
better
EST
view stats
Games scored22
16
Failed to score11
17
Scored first13
9
Goals scored44
24
Avg. goals scored1.3
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
10
Avg. XG for1.1
0.8
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
EST
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
26
Clean sheets6
7
Conceded first17
22
Goals conceded53
46
Avg. goals conceded1.6
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against17%
14%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+4%

Estoril v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311149
P ÁlvaroA MarquésW. Cardoso PinaP Álvaro
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Begraoui FWD3383
1
-
A Marqués FWD3211
1
-
P Álvaro DEF3111
9
-
W. Cardoso Pina DEF3024
5
1
J Robles GLK29
3
-
V Zanocelo MID292
8
-
P Amaral DEF282
3
-
K Boma DEF281
7
-
J Carvalho MID2763
5
1
J Holsgrove MID2714
5
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD2642
3
-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD24
3
-
J Orellana MID2311
3
-
F Bacher DEF2221
7
-
R Guitane MID204
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF191
2
-
G Costa DEF172
1
-
Xeka  MID1411
6
-
I. Salazar Piriz FWD11
-
E Mangala DEF9
4
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
256212
NiltonKikasL BuccaA Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Pinho FWD325
7
-
Kikas FWD3161
4
-
L Bucca MID2922
8
-
Nilton DEF272
5
-
L Cordeiro MID2611
3
-
A Ruiz MID2612
12
-
P. Valente Moreira MID251
3
-
J Cabral FWD2521
4
-
R Lima DEF242
3
1
D. Martins Travassos DEF231
5
-
M Keliano MID211
7
-
I Dramé DEF201
3
-
Ferro DEF17
6
-
M Lopes DEF141
2
-
Andorinha GLK13
-
C Banza FWD131
4
-
R Pantalon DEF11
1
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF11
3
1
Amine MID10
2
-
F Ronaldo FWD10
-
G. Saches Sousa FWD6
1
-
T Ferreira FWD3
-
M. Gudžulić GLK2
1
-
S. Commey DEF2
-
F Meixedo GLK1
-
J Mina DEF1
-
A. Mussolo Sola MID1
-
D Cabral MID11
-