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Estoril v FC Porto : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Ian Cathro welcomes Francesco Farioli to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Sunday night, as their Estoril and FC Porto sides go head to head in the Liga NOS. Our goal is for you to win betting on this match, so every stats you could ever need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Flip between 17 betting markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and the best odds for it all.

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Estoril's next match is v Moreirense at 20:15 on Monday 20th April
FC Porto's next match is v Nottm Forest at 20:00 on Thursday 16th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estoril and Porto was on Sunday 12th April 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 12th 2026
Estoril 1
3 Porto
 
Y. Begraoui 78'14' E. Aquino Cossa
32' (OG)M. da Silva Rocha
72' V. Froholdt
 
EST
PTO
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
4
12
Corners
1
8
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
13
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
EstorilPorto
 
J. Robles Blázquez
R. Sánchez Sendra
A. Tsoungui
A. Orellana Gómez (N. Lominadze 77')
M. da Silva Rochafootball icon (R. Guitane 63')
J. Holsgrove (L. Fernandes 77')
J. Antunes Carvalho
Y. Begraouifootball icon
P. Gaspar Amaral (P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho 71')
F. Bacher
A. Ferreira Lacximicant (A. Marqués Méndez 71')
D. Meireles Costa
J. Kiwior
J. Bednarek
(F. Moura 70') Z. Sanusi
football iconV. Froholdt
(R. Mora Carvalho 70') G. Veiga Novas
(S. Fofana 83') football iconE. Aquino Cossa
A. Costa
A. Varela
(T. Moffi 70') D. Gül
(B. Sainz Eguskiza 60') O. Pietuszewski

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Estoril and Porto will score at least a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 81%. The bookmakers have it at 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Porto coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
28%
5/11/50
Draw
23%
7/2125/1
Porto
49%
21/501/300
Draw 1-1
11%
15/217/2
Porto 2-1
10%
15/211/2
Porto 1-0
8%
7/16/1
Porto 2-0
7%
13/229/20
Estoril 2-1
7%
18/120/1
Estoril 1-0
6%
18/112/1
Draw 2-2
6%
16/125/1
Porto 3-1
6%
10/12/5
Draw 0-0
5%
14/19/1
Porto 3-0
4%
9/123/20
Estoril 2-0
4%
33/125/1
Porto 3-2
4%
22/115/2
Estoril 3-1
3%
40/150/1
Estoril 3-2
3%
40/180/1
Porto 4-1
2%
20/110/3
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/131/2
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
5/429/20
Home 1st Goal
45%
15/85/2
Away 1st Goal
52%
2/52/5
No 1st Goal
3%
14/19/1
BTTS - Yes
60%
4/516/5
BTTS - No
40%
19/201/5
BTTS - Home Win
15%
10/1125/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
9/240/1
BTTS - Away Win
26%
2/11/1000
Home/draw
51%
13/890/1
Away/draw
72%
1/81/50
Home/away
77%
2/111/300
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
2/111/14
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
7/213/2
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
6/413/20
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1/223/20
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/219/4
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
2/111/9
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/133/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/161/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/331/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/19/1
Home DNB
44%
4/1125/1
Away DNB
65%
1/61/1000
Estoril win to nil
12%
12/1-
Porto win to nil
23%
6/4-
Estoril / Estoril
8%
10/1125/1
Estoril / Porto
4%
18/11/50
Estoril / Draw
5%
16/11/50
Draw / Estoril
6%
12/1100/1
Draw / Porto
19%
10/380/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1100/1
Porto / Estoril
2%
40/140/1
Porto / Porto
39%
6/51/100
Porto / Draw
5%
14/116/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn zero and won 2. Estoril have conceded 15 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Estoril have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 27 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Porto lay in 1st place on 73 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 23, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 56 goals and kept 18 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Porto have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Porto have played 14 away games, winning 12, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Porto
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Benfica2920904369 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
4
Braga2815762852 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
5
Famalicao2913881147 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
6
Gil Vicente2812971445 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
7
Estoril2910712137 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 20
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2A
10
Alverca299812-1535 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
May 3
w
 
0-3F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
12
Arouca299515-2132 
w
 
4-3A
l
 
3-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
15
Nacional296716-1025 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
17
Tondela274815-2520 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Win / draw / win form
8
Porto have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
Estoril 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril1 - 2Rio Ave
Estoril0 - 0Casa Pia
Estoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
Estoril2 - 2Tondela
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril2 - 3Arouca
HEstoril1 - 2Rio Ave
AEstoril1 - 0Nacional
HEstoril0 - 0Casa Pia
AEstoril0 - 3S. Lisbon
HEstoril3 - 1Gil Vicente
AEstoril0 - 3AVS
HEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
8
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
1
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga1 - 2Porto
Benfica2 - 2Porto
Nacional0 - 1Porto
Casa Pia2 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Santa Clara0 - 1Porto
Alverca0 - 3Porto
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Famalicao0 - 1Porto
Moreirense1 - 2Porto
Arouca0 - 4Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
Gil Vicente0 - 2Porto
Boavista1 - 2Porto
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Porto
Casa Pia0 - 1Porto
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Braga1 - 0Porto
Arouca0 - 2Porto
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto2 - 2Famalicao
APorto2 - 1Braga
HPorto3 - 0Moreirense
APorto2 - 2Benfica
HPorto3 - 1Arouca
HPorto1 - 0Rio Ave
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Porto have beaten Estoril in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Porto
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
7 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
0 / 7
EST
1
D
1
PTO
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
1 - 2Porto
Estoril1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Porto
1 - 3Porto
1 - 2Porto
1 - 3Porto
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Estoril
Goals: Scored
17
3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
1 / 8
EST
1
PTO
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto1 - 0
Porto4 - 0
0 - 1Estoril
Porto3 - 2
Porto2 - 0
Porto4 - 0
Porto1 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's defensive record is to be admired, F. Farioli's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Estoril makes sense in this context.

FC Porto have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 20 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.8 against Estoril on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Estoril 7th Porto 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Estoril will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+29
Estoril have scored 29% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Porto’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Porto
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
EST
PTO
26%
better
view stats
Games scored20
27
Failed to score8
1
Scored first13
24
Goals scored50
56
Avg. goals scored1.8
2
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
19
Avg. XG for1.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
EST
PTO
61%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
10
Clean sheets5
18
Conceded first14
3
Goals conceded47
13
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded10
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
13
Conversion rate against17%
8%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.7
KickOff rating
+61%

Estoril v Porto Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2919129
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoR Sánchez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK29
3
-
R Sánchez DEF2223
9
-
A Tsoungui DEF19
6
-
F Bacher DEF292
2
-
P Amaral DEF222
3
-
J Orellana MID181
2
-
Xeka  MID71
-
J Holsgrove MID2817
8
-
J Carvalho MID28612
8
-
Y Begraoui FWD29191
1
-
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD1922
3
-
Subs
M Turk GLK
-
Ferro DEF222
2
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF232
4
-
Pizzi MID215
-
L. Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes MID
-
R Guitane MID2535
2
-
N Lominadze MID152
4
-
A Marqués FWD234
1
-
A. Ramos das Neves FWD7
1
-
Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29578
D CostaV. FroholdtA BaioJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK29
2
-
A Baio DEF2417
6
-
J Bednarek DEF281
8
-
J Kiwior DEF221
1
-
Zaidu  DEF1511
2
-
V. Froholdt MID2957
2
-
A Varela MID262
7
-
G Veiga MID2627
4
-
Pepê FWD2634
1
-
D Gül FWD242
1
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD1132
2
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK1
-
T Silva DEF5
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
F Moura DEF1922
3
-
P Rosario MID1921
6
-
S Fofana MID83
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2311
-
B Sainz FWD2752
5
-
T Moffi FWD811
1
-