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Estoril v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril

Ian Cathro welcomes Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira to the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota on Saturday evening, as their Estoril and Tondela charges go head to head in the Liga NOS. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) statistics for this fixture are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Estoril's next match is v AVS at 18:00 on Sunday 15th February
Tondela's next match is v Alverca at 20:45 on Friday 13th February
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estoril and Tondela was on Saturday 7th February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 7th 2026
Estoril 2
2 Tondela
 
J. Antunes Carvalho 26'12' P. Pereira dos Santos
F. Reis Ferreira 29'16' P. Pereira dos Santos
 
EST
CDT
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
7
1
Corners
5
4
Possession
68%
32%
Fouls
8
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
EstorilTondela
 
J. Robles Blázquez
R. Sánchez Sendra
F. Reis Ferreirafootball icon (A. Tsoungui 83')
J. Holsgrove
A. Marqués Méndez (A. Ramos das Neves 74')
J. Antunes Carvalhofootball icon
P. Gaspar Amaral (G. Faria Costa 83')
F. Bacher
L. Fernandes (A. Orellana Gómez 55')
Y. Begraoui
R. Guitane
R. Machado
C. Marques
B. Medina
(H. Sequeira 65') J. Hodge
(H. Lopes Vieira Tavares 90') S. Sithole
(Van Der Heide 74') football iconfootball iconP. Pereira dos Santos
R. Fernandes Conceição
B. Parise Fontes
C. Alves Santana
(B. Mbunga-Kimpioka 65') T. Siebatcheu
M. Aiko

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Estoril to win

We are predicting Estoril will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estoril are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estoril
60%
-5/1
15%
Draw
21%
-2/9
14%
Tondela
19%
-10/1
23%
Estoril 2-1
10%
-6/1
6%
Draw 1-1
10%
-19/4
8%
Estoril 2-0
9%
-13/2
6%
Estoril 1-0
9%
-11/2
Estoril 3-1
7%
-11/1
8%
Estoril 3-0
6%
-11/1
15%
Draw 2-2
5%
-2/9
8%
Tondela 2-1
5%
-17/4
9%
Tondela 1-0
5%
-8/1
26%
Draw 0-0
4%
-8/1
29%
Estoril 3-2
4%
-5/1
19%
Estoril 4-1
3%
-22/1
17%
Estoril 4-0
3%
-20/1
27%
Tondela 2-0
3%
-13/2
27%
Tondela 3-2
2%
-10/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
-1/14
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
-13/2
11%
Home 1st Goal
56%
-3/5
8%
Away 1st Goal
42%
-17/10
10%
No 1st Goal
3%
-8/1
29%
BTTS - Yes
57%
-2/9
3%
BTTS - No
43%
-14/5
5%
BTTS - Home Win
30%
-9/2
15%
BTTS - Draw
16%
-1/5
9%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
-9/1
15%
Home/draw
81%
-1/33
6%
Away/draw
40%
-1/9
19%
Home/away
79%
-3/1
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
-1/20
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
-8/1
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
-2/5
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
62%
-17/10
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
-29/10
17%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
-2/9
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
-20/1
17%
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
-1/1000
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
-1/20
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
-8/1
29%
Home DNB
75%
-2/5
10%
Away DNB
34%
-9/5
30%
Estoril win to nil
30%
--
Tondela win to nil
8%
--
Estoril / Estoril
31%
-11/2
17%
Estoril / Tondela
3%
-40/1
12%
Estoril / Draw
6%
-20/1
8%
Draw / Estoril
17%
-6/4
10%
Draw / Tondela
9%
-17/4
13%
Draw / Draw
13%
-11/5
20%
Tondela / Estoril
5%
-28/1
11%
Tondela / Tondela
11%
-14/1
22%
Tondela / Draw
6%
-22/1
8%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estoril have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 7, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Estoril have outscored their opponents by 41 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Estoril have played 10 games at home winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 14 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 13 points having played 20 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 3 and won 3. Tondela have conceded 31 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 13 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estoril
Tondela
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 27
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
3
Benfica2114703249 
May 17
l
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
4
Braga2111642639 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
Feb 22
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
6
Famalicao21957732 
Apr 26
l
 
4-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
7
Estoril21867830 
-
-
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
8
Moreirense21939-230 
d
 
3-3A
Apr 19
May 10
l
 
1-0A
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
10
Alverca217311-1524 
w
 
4-1F
May 10
Feb 13
l
 
1-0A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-5F
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
12
Arouca216510-2023 
w
 
4-3A
Apr 4
w
 
3-1A
May 17
13
Nacional215610-321 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
Mar 22
w
 
0-4F
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2F
May 3
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-4F
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
17
Tondela213513-2114 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
-
-
18
AVS210516-395 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
3
Tondela have lost 3 consecutive away league games
4
Tondela have failed to score in 4 consecutive league games
Estoril 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Estoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Estoril1 - 0Braga
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Estoril4 - 3Arouca
Estoril1 - 1Nacional
Estoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
Estoril3 - 1AVS
Estoril0 - 1Santa Clara
Estoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Estoril4 - 0Estrela Amadora
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
Estoril0 - 2Braga
Estoril1 - 2Porto
Estoril2 - 2Sporting Farense
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Boavista
Estoril1 - 0V. Guimaraes
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Estoril0 - 2Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AEstoril4 - 2Santa Clara
HEstoril4 - 2V. Guimaraes
AEstoril5 - 0Estrela Amadora
AEstoril1 - 3Benfica
HEstoril4 - 1Alverca
HEstoril1 - 0Braga
AEstoril0 - 4Famalicao
HEstoril3 - 3Moreirense
AEstoril0 - 1Porto
HEstoril4 - 3Arouca
AEstoril4 - 0Rio Ave
HEstoril1 - 1Nacional
AEstoril2 - 2Casa Pia
HEstoril0 - 1S. Lisbon
AEstoril0 - 2Gil Vicente
HEstoril3 - 1AVS
HEstoril0 - 1Santa Clara
AEstoril2 - 2Tondela
AEstoril2 - 3V. Guimaraes
HEstoril1 - 1Estrela Amadora
Tondela 17TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Famalicao3 - 0Tondela
Moreirense1 - 0Tondela
Nacional3 - 1Tondela
Gil Vicente0 - 1Tondela
AVS2 - 2Tondela
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Santa Clara1 - 2Tondela
Alverca1 - 0Tondela
Benfica3 - 0Tondela
Braga3 - 0Tondela
Gil Vicente3 - 0Tondela
P. Ferreira1 - 1Tondela
Moreirense2 - 0Tondela
Maratimo1 - 3Tondela
Porto4 - 0Tondela
Famalicao2 - 1Tondela
Estoril1 - 0Tondela
Portimonense1 - 2Tondela
Santa Clara2 - 2Tondela
Boavista1 - 1Tondela
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
7 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
13 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HTondela0 - 0Benfica
ATondela0 - 3Famalicao
HTondela0 - 1Braga
ATondela0 - 1Moreirense
HTondela3 - 1Arouca
HTondela1 - 2Casa Pia
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
ATondela0 - 3Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Estoril have beaten Tondela in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
Estoril have not lost to Tondela in 9 consecutive league meetings
3
Estoril have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Tondela
League games at Estoril since 2016
Estoril
Tondela
Goals: Scored
8
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
EST
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Estoril1 - 0
Estoril3 - 0
Estoril2 - 0
Estoril2 - 1
League games at Tondela since 2015
Tondela
Estoril
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
EST
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Estoril
2 - 3Estoril
0 - 2Estoril
0 - 1Estoril
Goal Statistics

Estoril's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Saturday evening.

Estoril 7th Tondela 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Estoril will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
35%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+36
Estoril have scored 36% more goals at home than predicted
-25
Tondela have scored 25% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Estoril
PG (predicted goals)
Tondela
2
1.1
Attack rating
54%
better
EST
CDT
view stats
Games scored15
7
Failed to score5
13
Scored first10
5
Goals scored41
12
Avg. goals scored2.1
0.6
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal4
13
Conversion rate for22
8
Avg. XG for1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
2%
better
EST
CDT
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets3
3
Conceded first10
13
Goals conceded33
33
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
16%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+2%

Estoril v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
211585
J RoblesY BegraouiJ CarvalhoR Sánchez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Robles GLK21
2
-
R Sánchez DEF1423
5
-
F Bacher DEF21
2
-
Ferro DEF161
1
-
P Amaral DEF172
3
-
Pizzi MID144
-
J Holsgrove MID2015
5
-
J Carvalho MID2168
4
-
R Guitane FWD1835
1
-
Y Begraoui FWD21151
1
-
A Marqués FWD154
1
-
Subs
M Turk GLK
-
A Tsoungui DEF12
4
-
G Costa DEF7
1
-
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF152
4
-
J Orellana MID101
2
-
N Lominadze MID142
4
-
Xeka  MID2
-
K Edwards FWD1
-
A. Ramos das Neves FWD5
1
-
Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21518
B FontesP HenryqueP HenryqueB Medina
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK21
1
-
Bebeto DEF15
4
-
C Marques DEF19
3
-
B Medina DEF17
6
2
R Conceição DEF7
1
-
J Hodge MID14
1
-
S Sithole MID171
4
-
P Henryque MID2151
4
-
C. Alves Santana MID121
3
-
M. Aiko MID51
-
Jordan FWD171
2
-
Subs
L Cañizares GLK
1
-
J Silva DEF
-
T. Silva Manso DEF181
5
-
J Afonso DEF9
3
-
H Tavares MID12
1
1
J. Rodríguez López MID18
3
-
H. Sequeira MID15
1
-
B Kimpioka FWD1
-
A Heide FWD1
-