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Estrela Amadora v Arouca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Gomes, Amadora

the Estádio José Gomes plays host on Monday night, as Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's Estrela Amadora host Daniel Sousa's Arouca in the Liga NOS. All of the important stats for the tie, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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Estrela Amadora's next match is v Porto at 20:15 on Monday 16th December
Arouca's next match is v Santa Clara at 15:30 on Sunday 15th December
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Estrela Amadora and Arouca was on Monday 9th December 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
December 9th 2024
Estrela Amadora 2
1 Arouca
 
T. Sousa Esgaio (OG) 58'4' D. Remeseiro Salgueiro
R. Pereira de Pinho 68'
 
ARO
Shots On
2
4
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
2
7
Possession
46%
54%
Fouls
13
19
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
Estrela AmadoraArouca
 
B. Brigido de Oliveira
D. Melo Veiga
R. Rocha Lima
F. Reis Ferreira (I. Dramé 63')
N. Lopes
H. Almeida Costa Lopes
P. Valente Moreira (I. Lima 63')
L. Cordeiro de Lima Silva (M. Keliano 84')
A. Ruiz (L. Bucca 76')
J. Borges Cabral (R. Pereira de Pinho 46')
J. Alves Rodrigues
N. Mantl
(I. dos Santos Rodrigues 75') A. Dante
J. Fontán Mondragón
C. Camará Lamba
football iconT. Sousa Esgaio
(M. Puche García 87') M. Ndiaye
(P. Carvalho Santos 45') D. Martins Simão
(P. Gozalbez Gilabert 87') M. Sylla
A. Trezza Hernández
(G. Yalçın 75') H. Pereira Araújo
football iconD. Remeseiro Salgueiro

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this one, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during 90 minutes. Both Estrela Amadora and Arouca's current form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Estrela Amadora are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.55.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Estrela Amadora
48%
17/10
6%
8/5
6%
Draw
26%
21/10
5%
2/1
3%
Arouca
27%
17/10
4%
6/4
4%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
4%
Estrela Amadora 1-0
11%
13/26/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
9%
10/1
10%
17/2
6%
Estrela Amadora 2-0
9%
11/110/1
Arouca 1-0
8%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Draw 0-0
7%
7/1
6%
6/1
13%
Arouca 2-1
7%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Estrela Amadora 3-1
5%
22/1
10%
18/1
12%
Estrela Amadora 3-0
4%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
Arouca 2-0
4%
11/1
8%
10/1
Estrela Amadora 3-2
3%
33/125/1
13%
Arouca 3-1
2%
22/118/1
12%
Estrela Amadora 4-1
2%
50/140/1
21%
Arouca 3-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
5/4
8%
6/5
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
8/13
6%
8/13
5%
Home 1st Goal
52%
11/10
15%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
10/11
13%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
7/1
6%
-
BTTS - Yes
52%
19/20
2%
10/11
4%
BTTS - No
48%
4/5
6%
4/5
6%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
5/1
9%
9/2
10%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/19/2
5%
Home/draw
73%
4/9
3%
4/9
Away/draw
52%
4/9
4%
4/9
4%
Home/away
74%
4/11
2%
7/20
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/5
3%
2/5
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
7/4
8%
9/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3/129/10
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
2/92/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
8/17/1
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/141/16
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
18/114/1
15%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/80
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/141/12
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
8/1
6%
6/1
13%
Home DNB
66%
5/6
2%
17/20
3%
Away DNB
45%
5/6
4%
17/20
3%
Estrela Amadora win to nil
27%
10/3
8%
-
Arouca win to nil
14%
10/3
4%
-
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
5%
Estrela Amadora / Arouca
3%
28/122/1
Estrela Amadora / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Estrela Amadora
14%
5/119/4
Draw / Arouca
13%
5/119/4
4%
Draw / Draw
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
6%
Arouca / Estrela Amadora
3%
28/122/1
Arouca / Arouca
18%
7/2
5%
16/5
3%
Arouca / Draw
6%
14/111/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Estrela Amadora have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Liga NOS league table. Estrela Amadora have a shocking record against teams below them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 1 game against teams below in the table, having won 0, drawn 0 and lost 1 match. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Estrela Amadora have outscored their opponents by 10 goals to 6 goals.

Home League Performance

Estrela Amadora have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 8 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 9 goals at home.

Arouca are in 18th position in the Liga NOS on 8 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Arouca have conceded 21 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Estrela Amadora
Arouca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1311023233 
Mar 30
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-3A
Feb 16
2
Benfica1210112431 
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
Apr 13
3
Porto1310122231 
Apr 27
Dec 16
Mar 2
l
 
4-0A
4
Santa Clara13904427 
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
Dec 15
Apr 27
5
Braga13733924 
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
6
V. Guimaraes13634421 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 16
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
7
Moreirense13625120 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
Jan 24
l
 
3-1F
8
Famalicao13463218 
l
 
0-3A
Jan 25
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
9
Rio Ave13436-1015 
Dec 23
May 4
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
10
Casa Pia13355-614 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
May 4
Dec 20
11
Estoril13355-714 
Jan 5
May 17
Mar 16
l
 
4-1F
12
Gil Vicente13346-813 
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
Dec 27
May 11
13
Estrela Amadora H13337-1012 
-
-
Apr 19
l
 
2-1F
14
Boavista13256-811 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
May 17
Jan 4
15
AVS13256-1111 
May 11
Dec 28
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
16
Nacional12237-109 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 6
w
 
1-0F
Feb 2
17
Sporting Farense13238-129 
Apr 13
l
 
1-0A
Feb 23
w
 
0-1F
18
Arouca Away13229-168 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 19
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Estrela Amadora 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
Arouca 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Arouca of late. It has been 15 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday night against Estrela Amadora.

Estrela Amadora 13th Arouca 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Estrela Amadora will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Arouca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+8
Estrela Amadora’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Arouca have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285175/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Estrela Amadora
PG (predicted goals)
Arouca
1.5
1.1
Attack rating
7%
better
ARO
view stats
Games scored6
6
Failed to score6
6
Scored first2
5
Goals scored10
6
Avg. goals scored0.8
0.5
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal11
15
Conversion rate for10
7
Avg. XG for0.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
ARO
18%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
9
Clean sheets1
3
Conceded first10
6
Goals conceded21
21
Avg. goals conceded1.8
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded10
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against18%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+18%

Estrela Amadora v Arouca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13425
B BrígidoKikasD VeigaM Keliano
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Brígido GLK13
-
Ferro DEF7
3
-
M Lopes DEF7
2
-
R Lima DEF8
-
D Veiga MID112
3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID81
2
-
L Cordeiro MID13
2
-
Nilton MID132
1
-
A Ruiz MID121
4
-
J Cabral MID91
-
Kikas FWD134
2
-
Subs
M. Gudžulić GLK
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF5
-
I Dramé DEF6
-
G. Serrão Montóia DEF
-
I Jesus MID9
3
-
L Bucca MID122
3
-
M Keliano MID7
5
-
R Pinho FWD133
-
E. Gonçalves FWD1
-
Arouca Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13214
N MantlJasonA TrezzaB Pinto
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Mantl GLK13
2
-
T Esgaio DEF13
2
-
C Lamba DEF7
3
-
J Fontán DEF10
3
-
A Dante DEF9
1
-
M Loum MID6
3
-
B Pinto MID131
4
-
M Sylla MID131
2
-
Jason FWD122
3
-
H Araújo FWD92
1
-
A Trezza FWD1311
2
-
Subs
J Valido GLK
-
M Rocha DEF3
1
1
A Pinto DEF3
-
P Santos MID11
1
-
T Fukui MID11
1
-
P Gozálbez MID5
-
I Rodrigues FWD111
4
-
M Puche FWD6
-
G Yalcin FWD61
1
1